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08/27/2008

Has June 16th Returned?

Looking at the Russell 2000 (and, ergo, the IWM), it seems to me we've returned to June 16th. We're in a situation in which:

  1. we surged inexplicably above the retracement line;
  2. we broke a countertrend rally;
  3. we fell back;
  4. we surged again, but not as high
If we are simply repeating this cycle, what we expect to see next, of course, is a trip back to plunge-land. That would be nice. This morning has been pretty rocky so far; I was stopped out of XLU, FINL, DVN, ANR, FLR, and CMP.

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