Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

NetFlix Blowout

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Well, my one (count ’em, one) NFLX put is going to get clobbered in the morning, now that after-hours trading shows NetFlix exploding higher by about 16% as of this writing. During my TastyTrade show, Tony expressed convincing bullishness for NFLX, which I confess spooked me a bit, so I reduced the size of my short substantially. Needless to say, I’m glad I did. This one has become a monster again.

Tinted below is approximately where it’s trading right now.

0422-nflx

Friday’s Advance GDP Projections and Gold

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The Advance GDP q/q estimate for Q1 of 2013 is forecast at 3.0%, as shown on the graph below…up from the 0.4% revised data reported for Q4 of 2012…and it is being released on Friday, April 26 at 8:30 am EST.

As you can see, the GDP numbers have been in a downtrend from January of 2010. If such a rise were to occur as forecast, it would penetrate above this trend, but would still lie within the 3-year range. It would take a higher number for the next quarterly report (for Q2) to confirm that the current downtrend has, in fact, been broken. (more…)