Another Day, Another New High

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Another day with no significant pullback and a new all time high yesterday. There is still definitely a small retracement needed soon but that will happen when it happens. In the meantime SPX is getting close to testing my main resistance zone, which is now in the 2011-21 area. On the daily chart the resistance levels in the zone are the daily upper band, currently at 2011, and rising wedge resistance from the January low, currently in the 2015 area. The daily upper band will most likely cross 2015 within a couple of days. SPX daily chart:

140827 SPX Daily Trendlines BBs MAs

On the weekly chart the resistance levels in the zone are the weekly upper band, currently at 2021, and rising wedge resistance from the 1343 low, also currently in the 2021 area. As well as being resistance levels these are all also targets, so if we are to see a strong reversal from that resistance zone my ideal high would currently be in the 2021 area. SPX weekly chart:

140827 SPX Weekly Rising Wedge from 1343

If we do see some retracement today then I have SPX rising wedge support in the 1993 area, and possible rising wedge turns channel support in the 1985 area. We could see a deeper retracement, but if so that would suggest strongly that 2005 was the first high of a small double top. SPX 60min chart:

140827 SPX 60min Rising Wedge from 1904 Low

As a marker for when a high could be made, the RUT chart may be useful. The larger IHS never formed well but the original IHS has a target in the 1190 area and that is a decent fit with my strong resistance zone on SPX. I’ll be keeping an eye on this chart. RUT 60min chart:

140827 RUT 60min IHS

My primary scenario here is that SPX hits the 2011-21 resistance zone and makes the second high of a double top targeting the 1800 area on a break below the 1904 low. If we see a clear break above that zone my next resistance area is possible rising channel resistance from the 1343 low in the 2060-2100 area, but I’ll see whether SPX breaks up before I have a really close look at that scenario.