Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Yellen Responds as a Central Banker Would

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By Biiwii

Let’s try to untangle the web of Fed-speak going on here. “Reality” for our purposes is defined as my opinion, obviously.

Yellen Defends Seven Years of Low Interest Rates in Letter to Nader

Fed-Speak:

Warning that “an overly aggressive increase in rates would at most benefit savers only temporarily,” she argued in the letter released Monday in Washington that the Fed’s seven-year era of zero rates had sheltered American savers from dramatic declines in the value of their homes and retirement accounts.

Reality: (more…)

Holiday Tape

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The last two cycle trend days both delivered. There is a third this week on Friday but the volume will be very low and I’m doubtful about any decent trending move. We may well not see much in the way of any moves on the equity indices before next week now.

The retracement on SPX stopped just short of a test of the important 50 hour MA. As long as that holds the uptrend is intact. If that breaks then there is a nice looking pattern setup to retest the 2043 area. Resistance is at the current high at 2097. If we see a decent break above we should see a test of 2116 next. SPX 60min chart:

151125 SPX 60min Poss Topping Setup

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