Daily Archives: January 12, 2017

One Index. Three Views.

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This will be a simple, straightforward post: just a look at the Dow Jones Composite with a short-, medium-, and long-term view.

The short-term view reveals something which has been the case for many indexes lately – an entire month – – a whole stinkin’ month – – of going nowhere. You can see the upper and lower bounds of this range, and many indexes (including the Dow 30) look exactly like this. After the Trump victory, the market doesn’t quite know what to do with itself.



IWM & SPY in Precarious Near-Term Technical Positions

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Both iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) and SPY (lower chart) are in tenuous technical positions right now.

IWM has violated key support at 134.80/40, but has yet to follow-through to the downside, while SPY is probing, piercing, its Nov support line.

Let’s see if the bears can get any traction to the downside after inflicting initial technical damage.

full-1r3IMTwcf0XH995S17BBsOriginally published on MPTrader.com.

Peering Over The Edge

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This is obviously a very toppy looking setup on SPX and it’s highly likely that SPX is topping out here in the short term, and very possibly making a major bull market top. In terms of timing, topping processes on SPX tend to be slow and my working assumption has been that SPX would kick around until Inauguration at the end of next week, and at that point the decline would get going. I was planning to describe the decline as the ‘Trump Dump’, but I may reconsider doing that depending on any further alleged revelations about the President-Elect’s personal habits in the interim :-)

SPX may of course not wait that long, as there is a very decent looking double top setup already formed and ready to go to take SPX back to the 2180 area, which might be a good match with rising wedge support by the time it is reached. Rising wedge support is currently in the 2150 area. SPX daily chart:

170112 SPX Daily