Each candle on the following chart of the SPX represents a period of one quarter. Much of the action on the current Q2 candle has occurred above the top one-quarter of Q1, and price is hovering above its close of 2362.72.
The Momentum indicator has been sluggish since July 2014 on this timeframe, likely caused by the rise in volatility, large price swings and inability of this index to gain traction, until its breakout two years later.
When SlopeCharts first came out a couple of weeks ago, I said it was very much a version 0.1 product (even though, in some respects, it’s already the best charting product on the web). I’d say we’ve moved up to version 0.2 by now with the introduction of our first technical indicators, which are accessed with this button:
I had almost forgotten about the post I did in January, but in it I pointed out the very bullish pattern that bitcoin (of all things) was exhibiting. Here’s what it looked like four months ago:
And now, having shown that technical analysis works even on goofy new digital financial instruments, we have seen it double in that short amount of time (original base highlighted):
The three levels that I was watching on Friday for resistance on SPX were all tested and held. The lowest of those levels are the 5dma, currently at 2379/80. That was broken intraday but SPX returned to close on it. The next level is the 50 hour MA, currently at 2385/6, and then the daily middle band, currently at 2389/90. SPX is currently over all three but needs to sustain the breaks to open the retest of the all time high.
The pattern setup leans bearish and hourly sell signals are now brewing on all of SPX, ES, NQ and TF. If bears can break back below the ES monthly pivot at 2366 then we’ll be expecting lower lows with an obvious next target at possible double top support at 2322 SPX. (more…)