Plosser: Taper Pace May be Too Slow
My second favorite Bad Cop says…
“We must back away from increasing the degree of policy accommodation in a manner commensurate with an improving economy,” Plosser told a panel in Paris. “Reducing the pace of asset purchases in measured steps is moving in the right direction, but the pace may leave us well behind the curve if the economy continues to play out according to the FOMC forecasts.” (more…)
A point I have been trying to make since the beginning, which in my case for public writing was 2004, is “but it is what it is” (biiwii). The name of the website was a direct (and bullish) response to my own bearish bias (which endures to this day because I have seen no improvement in monetary policy making) as the Greenspan era credit fueled cyclical bull market was getting ramped up. In other words, it is what it is; don’t fight it. It was bullish. (more…)
In January of 2013 NFTRH used the Semiconductor sector as a ‘canary in a coal mine’ to a potential coming phase of US manufacturing strength and an economic bounce. This had negative implications for gold but normally would have had positive implications for commodities positively correlated to the economy. (more…)
If the monthly chart of the COMP is to be believed, 4% is the ‘reward’ side of the risk/reward equation in tech stocks. COMP could gobble that up in 3 days.
Note from author: Immediately after contributing this post I noticed DDD down nearly 6% this morning due to a downgrade by Merrill Lynch.
Valuation – Tech, 1999?
At a current price to sales ratio of 17.99 and a forward PE ratio of 93.88 (according to Yahoo Finance), we’ll let the individual reader decide what represents value when talking about 3D Systems (DDD). Similar lofty valuations are present in competitors like Stratasys (SSYS) and ExOne (XONE). But we will make a case that these companies should be valued closer to traditional automated manufacturing equipment makers than some sort of first mover in a transformative and disruptive technology. Or at least that this is going to be their eventual destiny. (more…)
Gold is Monetary Value
We preface the post with a statement that has not changed since I began public writing nearly 10 years ago: Gold is not about price; gold is about value. This point was hammered home to me 11 years ago by a person who had much influence upon my viewpoint toward the financial system and its various diseased components at a time when I was ready to listen and understand. (more…)
Oh man, it just piles up higher and higher.
Yellen is Going to Talk the Markets Up to New Highs
If you can get past the photo that leads this story with your breakfast intact, you will be treated to…
“Asset purchases are not on a preset course,” Yellen told Congress , “and the committee’s decisions about their pace will remain contingent on its outlook for the labor market and inflation.”
Actually the Treasury bond market’s decisions about their pace will remain contingent on yields. (more…)