Author Archives: Tim Knight

Turn Back, Oh Man

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Here’s an interesting one: Manpower had a bullish breakout above the trendline I’ve drawn below. It painted out a trio of higher highs and higher lows, but over the past week – bam! – it gapped beneath the same trendline and, as God intended, the trendline changed role from one of support to one of resistance. Thus, I shorted it yesterday, and I’ve got a stop-loss price at 86.70, which is just above Friday’s high.


I’ll have some videos for you folks this weekend.

Alcoa Analog Takes a Twist

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The Alcoa Analog (read about it here) was one of the cleanest trades I’ve suggested all year. It preceded a virtually uninterrupted plunge lower. I assumed that once it reached its long-term trendline, it would find support and gain strength. Nope – check out the chart below. The price fell well below the trendline, and, wouldn’t you know it, the trendline is now acting as resistance. It looks like Alcoa is going to remain quite ill.


Looking Above

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I am struck by the similarity of almost all the indexes and ETFs I am looking out. Simply stated, the relief rally that I anticipated (exactly one day too soon, it turns out!) is raging away, and we’ve tacked 1300 points – THIRTEEN HUNDRED! – on the Dow in just a few days. The amount we may have left to go varies somewhat from index to index, but I’ve tinted below what I consider the major overhead supply zones for a variety of them. Enjoy!

0827-indu (more…)