Category Archives: Energy

Higher Prices in Store for Crude Oil?

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The last three day’s candle pattern on WTIC Crude Oil could very end up being a “Three White Soldiers” pattern, which is, technically, bullish [Definition (courtesy of StockCharts.com): “Three White Soldiers: A bullish reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive white bodies, each with a higher close. Each should open within the previous body and the close should be near the high of the day.”]

“Three White Soldiers” candle pattern

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A Lower-Risk Way To Bet Against Oil

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Our Highest-Ranked ETF is a Bet Against Oil – And The Global Economy

Each trading day, Portfolio Armor calculates potential returns for every security with options traded on it in the U.S. Potential returns are high-end estimates of how the security might perform over the next six months, and they’re based on an analysis of price history and on option market sentiment. On Friday, the security with the 5th highest potential return in our universe (which consists of all securities with options traded on them in the U.S.) was the ProShares Ultra Short Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF (SCO), which is 2x short oil.

SCO had a potential return of 19%, which was 5th overall, but the highest of any ETF in our system. Here’s a way an investor who wants to bet against oil (and, by extension, much of the global economy) can own SCO while limiting his downside risk to a decline of no more than 15% if SCO moves against him. The best part is, the cost of this hedge is negative, so our investor would essentially be getting paid to hedge.

Getting Paid To Hedge SCO (more…)

Snake Oil Sales

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The best thing about weekly scheduled “news” events is that they can offer volatility and entertainment.  The worst thing is that unsuspecting retailers regarding them as actual “news” and don’t recognize news events and scheduled releases for the scams that they truly are.

This week’s exhibit in the you-can’t-make-this-stuff-up category is none other than light, sweet, and lately crude West Texas Intermediate.

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The Neverending Story

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This is a comment cleaner, and little more, but I will say this: if there’s one core thing I’m worried about these days, it’s when the steady descent of crude ceases. This thing has been nothing short of spectacular. My dumb guess is that we’ll see the high 30s before we get any bounce-back. In any event, I haven’t seen a drop this steady in anything else for a while:

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