Want to see a financial instrument that’s been carving out a series of higher highs and higher lows later, and has enjoyed a 15% appreciation since early August? Believe it or not, it’s that poor old battered beast we haven’t spoken about in years, the double-bearish ETF SRS:
To be sure, SRS has been viciously destroyed for years now, having peaked on a split-adjusted basis at $16,408.77 (yes, I’m serious) and presently trading at a level 99.8% lower than that. All the same, as my post earlier today about softening Palo Alto house prices suggested, we may well be past the peak of this particular bubble.
If there’s one clear downtrend out there (which has been in place for – what – decades now?) it’s interest rates, in spite of all the blather about “normalization” (news flash: it ain’t gonna happen, folks). Here’s the $TNX, with the persistent series of lower highs marked:
Some wild-assed (but still carefully considered) guesses about a few ETFs: