Category Archives: ETFs

Wait For It…….

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All four days this week have been about recovering from last week’s action; I suspect/hope the unraveling can resume on schedule next week. Aligned with that, Japan is setting itself up for a bigger fall than we’ve seen for a while. If DXJ can fight its way back to about $47, I think it will provide the proverbial lay-up shot of a shorting opportunity.

0417-dxj

Emerging Fear

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My largest short heading into the day was EEM. In spite of yet another ridiculous mini-rally this morning, things are once again falling to pieces. As the daily chart shows, the repetition of buying-based-on-unicorn-farts followed by a stall (tinted thrice) and then a plunge-based-on-reality is getting a little predictable.

0415-EEMN

VXX Sux

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I have traded the VXX only once or twice in my entire life, and I know nothing of its nuances. I was surprised, however, to see what I saw today: while the $VIX was up double-digits, the VXX was up something pathetic like 1.8%. I (naively) assumed that VXX and $VIX moved in lockstep. I decided to lay down the two items on top of one another in ProphetCharts, and as you can see, the VXX (in blue) excels in pretty much going down all the time, almost irrespective of the $VIX’s wild moves: (more…)

1795 or Boost

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To an extent Friday went much as I laid it out in the morning. SPX overshot the perfect retests of the daily middle band and the 50 hour MA by a couple of points, but on the NDX and RUT patterns I was looking at we saw perfect tests and reversals at pattern resistance. This gives the bears the edge as long as resistance on those patterns holds, and gives me two excellent marker patterns to watch as we wait to see whether the double-top on SPX is going to break support at 1839/40.

While these last I’ll be posting both of the NDX and RUT patterns every day, and on RUT the next obvious target is the double-top target in the 1130 area, the 61.8% fib retrace just above at 1132, and falling channel support which is currently in the same area. RUT 60min chart: (more…)