Category Archives: Fed-Reserve

Is the Yield Curve Really Flattening?

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There is a lot of talk now about a flattening of the yield curve. This talk has been among the most intense right here at the website you are reading at this moment. A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, is an indicator of a coming recession.

Why you should care about the yield curve

But is the curve really flattening or is this all hype based on Janet Yellen’s press conference comments? Here is a chart the likes of which we have been using in NFTRH for many months now, the 30 year vs. the 5 year yield. (more…)

And Here Comes the Fed

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I suspect I’ll be busy dodging bullets for the afternoon, so I’m just going to toss up this fitting image to give me some breathing room while managing my positions through the tumult


By the way, some of you have received spam from the SocialTrade system from a “” (or something like that). The system doesn’t “reveal” your email to anyone, although apparently it can still let junk like this find its way to you through SocialTrade. Rest assured we’ll track down this bug and nuke it.

“Yellen is Going to Talk the Markets Up to New Highs”

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Oh man, it just piles up higher and higher.

Yellen is Going to Talk the Markets Up to New Highs

If you can get past the photo that leads this story with your breakfast intact, you will be treated to…

“Asset purchases are not on a preset course,” Yellen told Congress , “and the committee’s decisions about their pace will remain contingent on its outlook for the labor market and inflation.”

Actually the Treasury bond market’s decisions about their pace will remain contingent on yields. (more…)

Following The Yellow Brick Road

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New Fed Chairgnome Yellen will be addressing Congress this morning, addressing the very serious problem of deflation at the Fed and detailing her plans for tackling it. As you can see from the image below this is a serious issue, which if not addressed may mean that financial policy may be determined by a leprechaun in the easily foreseeable future, and possibly even a gerbil a decade or two further down this path. A committee is looking into whether that would be likely to have a positive or negative impact on the quality of Fed policy. Deflation at the Fed since 1980: (more…)