Category Archives: Financials

Deutsche Bank Isn’t the Only Sick Mega-Bank

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I have been writing about Deutsche Bank for about six months now.  My first post, back in October 2015, showed how DB, then trading above $29/share, was sitting on multi-decade support.  The chart was showing warning signs that bad things were on the horizon, particularly if it broke below $25.

Low and behold, price did indeed break below $25 which I noted in my December 11, 2015 post titled Deutsche Bank: Something is Seriously Wrong.  I showed again not only how broken the long-term chart was, but how DB had grossly underperformed relative to its financial peers (re-posted here):

Financials ETF Looks Weak

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In my post of December 29, 2015, I stressed the importance of the Financials ETF (XLF) in, potentially, propelling the SPX to an increase of 5-6% for 2016.

You can see from the Daily ratio chart below of XLF:SPX, that price weakened considerably afterwards and fell to new lows not seen since 2012. Price is attempting to stabilize above that low, but all three indicators are still in downtrend and display new “SELL” signals, and price action is still under the bearish influence of the Death Cross formation of the moving averages.

If price drops and holds below near-term support of 0.0105, we could see a significant drop in the SPX, likely to new lows for the year, as I mentioned on April 3.

Banks Strong Ahead of FOMC

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Ahead of the FOMC decision tomorrow morning, the banks are moving in anticipation of a rate hike that is expected to improve– perhaps significantly– their net-interest profitability.

Be that as it may, Bank of America Corporation (BAC) remains poised to enter a new upleg off of its Aug-Sept spike lows in the vicinity of 14.60, and to emerge from a larger, near-2 yr sideways, bullish-digestion period, the result of which, has the potential to thrust BAC to 19.50-20.00, in route to 23.00-25.00, thereafter.

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Originally published on MPTrader.com.

Financials Poised For Another 8-10% Downside

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Shortly after closing out the previous FAS short trade for a 29% gain in exactly one month, with a nearly perfectly timed exit on the morning the big August 24th meltdown, FAS (3x long financial ETF) was once again posted as a new short setup in this post last week & went on to trigger an entry later that day when XLF dropped below 22.95.

FAS ETF chart

FAS Bearish Pennant Formation

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Financial Services Industry Eats Clients

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By Biiwii

Ref: Why the big broker behind your financial adviser might be working against you

Tell me, which of them (the big brokers and investment houses) warned anyone about it being time to sell in 2000, or in 2007? There are exceptions out there, especially in smaller boutique style shops. But generally speaking, this thing we call Wall Street (big firms and the media that is their propaganda arm) exists to sell people the dream, then mark it up, front run it (in one way or another, legally or otherwise) extract fees from it and ultimately fleece it on the way down again (as regular people puke a tanking market and pay trading commissions for the privilege).

Here I cue up the old story about when I bought my first and only BMW (it was fine, but really it was not me) back in 2002. The deal was done and I sat with the business manager to finalize the transaction. He was a kid who had been fired from Merrill Lynch not 2 years earlier for keeping his clients in cash and totally safe at the market top. Problem was, he was not turning tricks, err I mean commissions for Merrill. All done.

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