Category Archives: Financials

“Shock Event” for 3 Top Insurance ETFs

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Price on three top Insurance ETFs has been dropping since mid-August, as shown on the following Daily charts of IAKKBWP and KIE. In the process, they made some extreme lower swing lows on each of their respective three technical indicators, suggesting that further weakness lies ahead.

As of Friday’s close, they are trading around their 200-day moving averages, so failure to regain an upward bias from that level could spell further sharp drops for these ETFs. Watch for any major volume spikes on further weakness to indicate possible panic selling. In the short term, we may, first, see a retest of their 50-day moving average (possible “Dead Cat Bounce”) before the next leg down occurs. (more…)

Financial ETF Still Churning After Failed Breakout

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I last wrote about the Financial ETF (XLF) on July 11th.

Since then, it failed to hold a brief breakout above the 25.00 major resistance level (convergence of 40% Fib retracement and upper channel), as shown on the following Monthly chart.

Price is sitting at the bottom of the upper quarter of a long-term uptrending channel…a segment that it hasn’t typically remained in for very long, or ventured above, since it began its long ascent from its 2009 lows after the financial crisis. (more…)

Financial Analog

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Anyone else feeling the summer doldrums? I am. It can vary from day to day. Yesterday, for instance, seemed like kind of a kick. Today was three letters: M, E, and H. Oh, well. There’s just not much going on. Earnings season hasn’t started, and the political scene just has boring nonsense like this Trump/Russia thing, whose bombshell news today rocked the market for about seven minutes.

In spite of all the ho-hum, I’d like to offer up one chart that kind of grabbed me: the financials ETF. As you can see below, there’s quite a compelling analog happening (click the chart to see a bigger, easier-to-read version). Hopefully the simple colored lines and arrows on this SlopeChart speak for themselves………

0711-xlf

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