Category Archives: Long-Term

The S&P 500 Is Headed Over 3000

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Note from Tim: In case it isn’t screamingly obvious, I did not write this post.

Many will simply read the headline to this article, and use it as support for their belief in the market striking a multi-year top right now. I mean, aren’t headlines like this proof that the market is overheated?

Well, the answer is a definite “sometimes.” You see, back in 2015 and 2016 I was writing articles with headlines saying that we are going to target the 2500SPX region. And, if you thought that those headlines were portending the end of the bull market, then you were clearly wrong. So, consider, maybe this headline is prescient rather than a contrarian signal.

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Sunday Stroll through Index Park

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Based on what I saw during my visit last night, Disneyland’s newest ride is the Leap Over an Opioid Addict attraction just outside the park. They were all white males around thirty years old or so, sprawled out on the ground. At least it was more engaging than the boring Monsters Inc. ride inside the park itself.

But that’s not why we’re here. It’s a Sunday morning, and I’m out of posts (except for one waiting in the wings for the appropriate afternoon), so I’ll cobble one together. It isn’t easy, though. See, here’s what a normal market looks like:

1015-volatile

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US, Global, Commodity & Precious Metals Big Picture Views

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Time once again for a review of the big picture, because… perspective. For example, in my mind I feel that training has been done to not expect a real whopper of an inflation trade. That was from the conditioning of the global deflationary force, post 2007. Yet the technicals for industrial metals are bullish for more upside, as you’ll see below.

Anyway, here are big picture monthly charts with limited word interference from me (and hence, not comprehensive analysis). It’s just for your own individual reflection if you’re even into this stuff like I am. (more…)

So Long!

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Another day, another SlopeCharts improvement. We have deepened the historical data for indexes and added a couple of new ones. Those of you who are Plus subscribers can, of course, fetch my own list of 36 indexes (and the mark-ups) via the Publish feature to which you have access (just look for my watch list cleverly titled “Indexes“). Here’s one new index, the Dow Jones Composite, which goes back to January 1966.

slopechart_$COMP

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Ye Olde Stocke Charte

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This is dumb, silly, and just for fun………

On Sunday night, I happened to stumble across some really old index data (yes, my friends, this is the kind of thing I do FOR FUN on a weekend). It was from the late 1700s up until 1900, and it was representative of the US stock market. This was before the days of even the Dow Industrials, of course, so I’m not sure what they cobbled together, but it was interesting data nonetheless. I made a simple line chart out of it:

0924-ancient

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