Earlier this morning, I sold my SPY October $245 puts for an overnight profit of over 50%. I have several remarks about this:
- It’s kind of stupid of me to buy options that don’t expire for something like ten weeks and sell them the next freakin’ day, but what can I say………I’m a wimp.
- I’m going to be driving 20 hours (round trip) to see the eclipse Monday morning, and frankly I’d like to enjoy it without worrying about my stupid options position.
- I hardly ever trade options.………literally one trade for every few hundred equity trades…..but I had a “feeling” yesterday morning to give it a shot.
- Most importantly, this trendline below compels me to not be greedy.
Of course, this all probably means a CRASH on Monday, so………you’re welcome!
Piper Jaffray Raises Tesla Target
On Talk Markets Thursday, The Fly noted that Piper Jaffray had raised its price target on Tesla (TSLA) to $386 per share. Portfolio Armor is currently more bullish than Piper on Tesla; our site estimates shares could hit $413 in 6 months. Historically, actual returns have averaged about 0.3x our site’s potential return estimates though. (more…)
There are a couple of types of trading which appear to generate ungodly sums of profits (at least judging from the advertisements) – – FOREX and options trading. My personal experience with both of those has been bad enough to swear off them both years ago. Indeed, pretty much all options traders get their body parts handed to them in short order.
Some folks, however, fare better, and our own Baywolf shared this success story with the group:
While I’m with people playing top golf I wanted to write an article on delta.
To recap an option is out of the money when the strike price it diverges the current price. For example for call options if the strike price is below the current price that option is in the money. It will have both extrinsic value and intrinsic value. Remember when we mentioned intrinsic value that means that if the option is exercised at this moment the amount of value between the strike price of a current price represents the intrinsic value. Because options expire in the future they also have an extrinsic value which is governed by four primary factors.
The four Greeks that truly matter are delta, theta, gamma, and vega. The first three are derived from Greek letters by the last one is a common name that has been derived by options traders. These are known as the “greeks”.
The Slope PLUS post I did on June 9th pegged, ALMOST TO THE SECOND, the top in the Russell 2000 index. Since then, we’ve been weakening.
Observant readers may recall that I wouldn’t stop bitching about selling my QQQ puts too early. What I haven’t mentioned is that, over the past few days, I’ve been building up the exact same options position (again, July 21st puts, these priced at $142) against the IWM. I solemnly pledge not to completely bungle the exit on these.
As a reminder, I haven’t traded options in ages, and unlike you fancy folks, I am just a dumb old bear who buys puts. My little account is up about 40% since I started just a few weeks ago, though, and hopefully this IWM trade will make up for my “left too much on the table” QQQ trade. Here’s my fingers-crossed anticipation:
As a follow up to my post about last Friday’s closing of my QQQ puts – – in green is the buy point, in red is the sell point, and the face indicates how I felt this morning when my $2,500 profit was “coulda been” $19,000………..
Anyway, I’m not going to chase my QQQ screw-up, so I’ve started legging into an IWM put position with a pledge to myself not to royally fuck it up this time (that’s fancy technical analysis talk, in case you’re confused).