I have a question for my beloved readers today and I’m hoping one of you has a good answer. I’ve teamed up with an options expert friend to run a directional options portfolio based main on futures options for the last three months, and we’ve been recording the (very impressive so far) trades and results on a spreadsheet. We’d like to move this onto a professional web based alternative that we can publish from. The setup needs to work with futures options, auto-update the options prices, and not be restricted to basic options strategies etc. Do any of you know a good way to do this? The winning reply gets three months free membership if we later launch this as a paid service, which is where this is probably heading.
Onto the equity indices. I was mentioning yesterday that the daily middle band on SPX would be an ideal target for this rally and that has been tested on both SPX and ES this morning. Some rejection there so far and it’s possible that the rally high is in, though I’m sceptical about seeing a lot of downside in what remains of today, on an opex Friday, going into a three day weekend, so we’ll see. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF:
Here’s the daily middle band test on SPX. Possible hourly RSI 5 sell signals are brewing on both SPX and RUT and one has fixed on NDX. Everyone have a great holiday weekend. SPX daily chart:
A couple of announcements today. Firstly tonight’s webinar at theartofchart.net has been delayed a week due to an unavoidable conflict, and will now be held on the same night as our Big Five & Sectors webinar on Thursday next week. You can register for either or both on our February Free Webinars page.
The second announcement is that Stan and I are finally starting serious work on writing a book on TA and trading futures. We have an outline and a publisher and will be trying to finish that this year, so watch this space
The hourly RSI 14 buy signals on NDX and RUT have reached target, and the SPX signal has reached the possible near miss target. There is hourly negative divergence here, and all three indices are in the ideal rally high zone, we are expecting a rally high high soon and tomorrow is a possible cycle trend day on which we could see a significant decline. Discussed in detail on my intraday video below.
This is the whole intraday video covering nineteen futures and forex charts, as I haven’t posted one of these in a couple of weeks, and if you are just interested in the equity indices they are at the start and there is also a possible very speculative equities decline scenario that I look at in the bonds/ZB section starting in the ninth minute. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)
There has been a remarkable similarity on the patterns from last Friday’s low on all of ES, NQ and TF, with rising wedges forming, then breaking down. I was expecting consolidation to establish less steep support trendlines and in a remarkable convergence all three of those initial rising wedges evolved into perfect rising channel with the channel support trendlines established at the premarket spike down lows this morning. Will these make it back to channel resistance? Maybe yes, I look at options in the video below. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)
I’m preparing a post putting a strong technical argument that the bull market from the 2009 low is not finished, and having a look at where SPX is likely to be within the structure of that bull market. The post may not be out until after the close tomorrow, but the video segment will be posted on our YouTube channel and I’ll be posting the link to that video on my twitter later today.
For today this is a nice rally from Friday’s low. Not expecting that to be the retracement low but there are fixed hourly RSI 14 buy signals that are not close to target and my lean would be that there is at least some more upside coming. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)
In Chart Chat on Wednesday morning Stan and I were looking at the next support levels on SPX and my pick was triple support at rising support from the Feb 2016 low, and the 200dma and annual pivot levels at 2538/9, all a match with a retest of the ES globex low on Monday night. We were thinking that might well yield a bounce but that SPX would likely go lower afterwards. SPX tested that today, and is bouncing so far, but rising support from the February 2016 low is now broken, after that also broke on RUT on Tuesday morning. Both breaks are likely to follow through to the downside before this retracement is finished. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF:
ES made Stan’s target area 2700-40 for the rally and all three of ES, NQ and TF have turned back down towards likely retests of the retracement lows so far. There is still a possible case for high retests on these to make double tops to deliver that move, but I was only assigning a maximum one in three to that scenario on the video below, and the odds have reduced further since then. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: