I don’t think there’s ever been a single stock I’ve suggested as a short more than Finish Line (symbol FINL). My poor tastytrade viewers probably got sick to death of hearing about it, but it’s one of the most amazing topping patterns I’ve ever seen, and given how far it’s fallen, I doubt anyone’s bitching about my frequent mentionings of it.
One problem I’ve had as a trader is covering shorts too soon. One great example is Chicago Bridge & Iron, which I yammered on about endlessly as well. It did indeed fall hard, and I took my profits. The problem is……….it won’t stop falling.
I had been having a grand old time shorting retailers, but they picked up some serious strength last week. In spite of this, I think the pattern is wholly intact, and the bounce to the neckline merely presents another shorting opportunity. From what I’ve read, next week is seasonally super-bearish, so we’ll see if we can get another round of selling going.
Home Depot (HD) beat on EPS, Revenues, and Same Store Sales when it reported on Tuesday prior to the market open. However, after initially popping 2.5% to 158.11 from Monday’s 154.26 close, HD reversed sharply into negative territory at 153.00/10 in pre-market action and closed the day at 150.17, down 2.6%.
I am not sure what the selling is all about, except for a “sell-the-news” reaction, but one look at my 4-hour chart of HD, we can see that HD actually peaked back in mid-May, and since has established a series of lower-highs (including Tuesday morning’s spike to another lower-high).
From a near-term perspective, HD needed to hold support in the 152.40/60 area to avert triggering a potentially significant sell signal from one of a handful of powerful, still relevant and profitable, brick and mortar retailers.
It’s another fine day in Slope-land. I’m up 2.5% (completely short portfolio……….duh) while the QQQ is down 0.01%. So, yeah, I’m beating it.
Of aid here is retail:
My infatuation with retail shorts is aided greatly by the collapse in auto retailers. Here, for instance, is my first post about shorting O’Reilly. It has fallen 35% in the half-year since that post. Of course, in typical Sloper fashion, instead of thanking me effusively for a great idea offering for free, I get this………