After dramatically dropping 34% from its historical high of 151.85 from mid-2016 to a low of 99.98 in May of this year, the Dow Jones US Retail REITs Index has been stuck in a sideways trading range and is attempting to maintain a stable position above a long-term 40% Fib retracement level of 102.42, as shown on the following Monthly, Weekly and Daily charts.
Longer term, the Monthly momentum and rate of change technical indicators are hinting of further weakness.
In the medium term, the Weekly momentum and rate of change technical indicators are hinting of potential strength. (more…)
I don’t think there’s ever been a single stock I’ve suggested as a short more than Finish Line (symbol FINL). My poor tastytrade viewers probably got sick to death of hearing about it, but it’s one of the most amazing topping patterns I’ve ever seen, and given how far it’s fallen, I doubt anyone’s bitching about my frequent mentionings of it.
One problem I’ve had as a trader is covering shorts too soon. One great example is Chicago Bridge & Iron, which I yammered on about endlessly as well. It did indeed fall hard, and I took my profits. The problem is……….it won’t stop falling.
I had been having a grand old time shorting retailers, but they picked up some serious strength last week. In spite of this, I think the pattern is wholly intact, and the bounce to the neckline merely presents another shorting opportunity. From what I’ve read, next week is seasonally super-bearish, so we’ll see if we can get another round of selling going.
It’s another fine day in Slope-land. I’m up 2.5% (completely short portfolio……….duh) while the QQQ is down 0.01%. So, yeah, I’m beating it.
Of aid here is retail: