I firmly believe we are going to see a surge in the VIX to the mid-20s. Until then, I am shorting, and shorting, and then shorting some more. If and when we reach the happy day when something resembling the chart below is realized, I shall finally cover.
An article by Mark Hulbert jogged the title’s question into my mind:
With respect to the reasons for owning gold, I never flinch when taking a long-term value perspective. In the monetary and financial world gold is insurance and insurance is something you buy, but hope to never need. The value of insurance is in one of its definitions: “a thing providing protection against a possible eventuality”.
It is good news that this ‘thing’ has not been needed as modern policy making has worked to mostly desired effects, as asset markets have been pumped by inflationary policies that have not (yet) had a commensurate level of risk discovery.
I’ve done many, many posts about the insane real estate market here in the Bay Area. I’m not going to bore you with another “can you believe how much they want for this?” because, by now, I think you kind of get the point.
However, this week, in the venerable Palo Alto Weekly (which, as is typical for the newspapers around here, has a publishing frequency that has absolutely no correlation to its moniker) a local real estate agent, Xin Jiang (pronounced “Xin Jiang”) composed the following article, which I have helpfully highlighted for you: (more…)
“This is the most hated rally in history”
“It isn’t a bubble because people think it’s a bubble”
“Everybody is bearish”