Browse Symbol Stacks: IEF


slopechart_XLU,IEF,TLT.jpg
slopechart_XLU,IEF,TLT.jpg
utilities vs bonds
Baby Bear
1
A deflationary yield curve steepener
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
NFTRH
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
So we have a booming jobs report... and the bond market's inflation signaling is not buying it.
NFTRH
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
NFTRH
1
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
If the 'real' 10yr yield turns down a tail wind for gold ensues.
NFTRH
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From t...
Treasury bonds continue to indicate an oncoming contrarian play...
NFTRH
Does this look like inflation? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does this look like inflation? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does this look like inflation? I didn't think so.
NFTRH
1
slopechart_IEF.jpg
slopechart_IEF.jpg
Frankly this is scary - look I want my parents to live off their pension because I don't want them living with me!
DadTrader
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
NFTRH
high yield credit spreads
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
NFTRH
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this are… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
NFTRH
slopechart_IEF.jpg
slopechart_IEF.jpg
7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF breakdown today
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_IEF.jpg
slopechart_IEF.jpg
Glad I held on to my IEF puts yesterday, although they hit my stop loss level.
Baby Bear
slopechart_IEF.jpg
slopechart_IEF.jpg
Short term T-Bond fund (7-10 yrs)
Baby Bear
yield curve
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
NFTRH
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
NFTRH
30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
NFTRH
5 year inflation rate
5 year inflation rate
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
NFTRH
30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr-5yr yield curve did tw...
NFTRH
2
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
SPX finally cracks as TIP/TLT had foretold well before effing COVID effing 19. This is the lever.
NFTRH
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Bonds are in full tank mode amid the deflationary rush by the herds... ha ha ha bring on the inflation.
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve steepens to highest point since the summer mini-inversion. Steepener currently deflationary, but can l...
NFTRH
spx and yield curve
spx and yield curve
Last summer the media got the public puking about the inverted yield curve. They puked the market too. Now, the MS...
NFTRH
2
yield curve
yield curve
Will this condition hold to close the week? If it does and if the yield curve steepens, better have a plan for an...
NFTRH
1
tnx
tnx
2018's inflationary pressure gives way to 2019's deflationary pressure.
NFTRH
FOMC at Center Stage (NFTRH 530 excerpt) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
FOMC at Center Stage (NFTRH 530 excerpt) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum back below the limiter and all is right with the world. Bond bears BANISHED. BBB...
NFTRH
slopechart_IEF.jpg
slopechart_IEF.jpg
If this is the "Big One" for stocks, we might see Treasury yields on both 10 and 30 year paper sporting handles th...
Tantalus
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... inflation expectations in the tank.
NFTRH
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... The Continuum back below the limiter...
NFTRH
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... herds running risk 'off' drives yields down, bonds up.
NFTRH
1
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...
Yield curve all over the news... DOOOOM!!! But it has not yet begun to steepen. Look elsewhere for doom right now...
NFTRH
A Brief Look at Earnings Season and a Measure of SPX Over Valuation – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A Brief Look at Earnings Season and a Measure of SPX Over Valuation...
Picture of SPX over valuation. SPX dividend yield of 1.92% vs. 10yr T note yielding 3.2%!
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Market bulls should be wary of the yield curve's slow grind this time as opposed to Feb's big spike (which was a b...
NFTRH
image.jpeg
image.jpeg
JBLWealth
tlt.ief.iei.shy
tlt.ief.iei.shy
Given the reduced risk, I bought back 'cash equiv' SHY and IEI. Not interested in the longer end stuff until I ge...
NFTRH
30yr.optix
30yr.optix
T bond sentiment backdrop is improved from 3 weeks ago. Way over bullish Optimism Index back then.
NFTRH
tbond.optix
tbond.optix
Public in love with long-term Treasuries. Year ago, hated. T bonds are are short IMO. Over done.
NFTRH
bkx.spx
bkx.spx
Time for Banks to bounce? Could be because it's time for T Bonds to drop.
NFTRH
3
10.5.2.yields
10.5.2.yields
Yield curve drops again today w/ nominal yields rising. That implies risk still 'ON' and is theoretically not goo...
NFTRH
tnx
tnx
10 year...
NFTRH
10.2.yields
10.2.yields
Yield spread has been flattening for a week now, indicating a little burst of risk 'ON'.
NFTRH
10.2.yields
10.2.yields
Yield spreads continue to look to bottom, with the 2 year down hard and the 10 much less so. Today is a precious...
NFTRH
30.2
30.2
...Gold bugs need to be watching yield relationships closely. Further drop in long term yields vs. short term yie...
NFTRH
1
usb.wk
usb.wk
Long bond not overly concerned about interest rates rising on the long end...
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
A reminder - in the shadow of FOMC - that the 30 year yield is at a reversal point defined by decades. Expect mos...
NFTRH
tnx
tnx
10 year yield w/ a bullish pattern.
NFTRH
tnx.tyx
tnx.tyx
10 year targets 2.2% (ish) and 30 year 3.3% (ish). Pending today's ISM of course...
NFTRH
tyx.fvx
tyx.fvx
Gold had favored bounces in long term yields until the current cycle. Top panel shows that gold actually favors r...
NFTRH
30.2.30.5
30.2.30.5
Yield spreads continue to look constructive for further rise, regardless of whether nominal yields rise or drop. T...
NFTRH
bkx.spx.tnx
bkx.spx.tnx
BKX-SPX ratio not quite broken yet but could indicate a decline in yields (bounce in T bonds) if it does break dow...
NFTRH
1
ust
ust
Huey, Dooey & Louie are in the media jawboning 'TAPER' and yet the 10 year is in a bottom stance... hmmm
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
The rising yield on the long bond would normally indicate inflation, but this cycle the yield has been declining v...
NFTRH
1
au.debt
au.debt
Where is the bubble? In gold or in developed nations' ability and willingness to create credit/debt to meet every...
NFTRH
kre
kre
Interest rates are popping today and the banks love it. Surprised? ZIRP + rising yields = profit motive for the Pigs.
NFTRH
tnx
tnx
Say, isn't there some hype in the news about consumer confidence? Isn't consumer confidence tied to a new would-be...
NFTRH
1
tlt
tlt
Long term T bonds fund TLT breaks out of a bullish wedge, above support.
NFTRH
30.2.au
30.2.au
Gold has stopped following the yield curve... for now.
NFTRH
30.2.au
30.2.au
30 yr / 2 yr spread gently...
NFTRH
30yr/2yr spread & gold
30yr/2yr spread & gold
Gold & 30 yr / 2 yr yield spread will get back in alignment.
NFTRH
adjbase
adjbase
Op/Twist has constrained Adjusted Money Supply by sanitizing bond monetization
NFTRH
30.2.au
30.2.au
Gold follows yield curve...
NFTRH
30.2.au
30.2.au
Do you think gold follows the yield spread? Do you think the yield spread is manip'd? You should because the man...
NFTRH
tlt
tlt
Long term T bonds out perform short term bonds... Op/Twist alive and well as Fed manip's the curve.
NFTRH
tlt
tlt
Long term T bonds are on a counter trend move. Expect TLT to get no higher than 127.50
NFTRH
Biiwii TA and Commentary: Another view of the long bond...
Biiwii TA and Commentary: Another view of the long bond...
Another view of the long bond... which way will it break, into upward blowoff or back toward the inflation end of...
NFTRH
Biiwii TA and Commentary: No more room for yields to fall...
Biiwii TA and Commentary: No more room for yields to fall...
Chart says it all... yield continue to decline and everyone who reviled Prechter will be forced to recant.
NFTRH