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Stacks
:
Trading
: Stocks
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Of al the gains in stocks since 2011, a full 27% is from share buybacks
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$NVDA has entered the second quartile of the third stacked pitchfork. John Glenn made it to the top of the first s...
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Top 10 market capitalization: Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me And 16T is s...
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S&P 500 is up for 14 of the last 15 weeks for the first time since March 1972...
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biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
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This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade. As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
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S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
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Some food for bears
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Nice illustration about how trading based on statistics can be a giant waste of time
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Slope of Hope Logo
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Price gap breech on MDB
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Equity futures positioning
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Despite being within 6% of its highs, the S&P is still in historical bear-market territory.
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Shown below are is the performance of the SPX after each 3rd Friday expiration.
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Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
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US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
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The S&P 500 is now ~3% higher than where it was when the Fed started hiking rates in March 2022...
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American now and then
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Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
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Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
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horizontal axis is 2022 returns and the vertical axis is 2023 returns
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6-week trading range in S&P
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"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
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US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
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Quarter-End Pension Fund Portfolio Rebalancing: You are now funded. Big equity rebalance for sale:
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Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
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Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
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S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
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Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
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Very interesting times to say the least
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Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
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French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
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End of an era precursor?
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Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
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Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
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And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
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May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
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45% of corporates will be in the black out window by mid June.
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Nasdaq was this high relative to small caps was the peak of the dotcom bubble...
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The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
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The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
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It is unusual to have breadth this low.
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5 stocks = 23% of S&P 500
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The short sale ban in 2008
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Apple re-testing its prior weekly gap down range from late Summer 22
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And tech is now trading almost as rich as it has ever traded to the overall market...
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P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
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The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
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Bloomberg data reveals that IPOs have only managed to raise $2.4 billion in 2023, which is 43% lower than the amou...
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The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
US stock market leadership: semiconductor stocks, tech stocks, b...
Preferred US stock market leadership view is intact to the Q4-Q1 bear market rally theme.
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Daily chart of NQ is at clear support, needs to hold to remain normal to an ongoing rally situation.
Emerging markets ETF (EEM) and US dollar (UUP, USD)
If you ever want to short USD, just buy EEM. Inverse EM is USD.
S&P 500 (SPX) weekly chart
SPY inverted H&S test happening and it's for all the marbles... bear market rally test of the highs or the next le...
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Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
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Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
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US equity markets have been - in one veteran trader's words - "an utter shitshow of instant trends and trend-reversal...
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The percentage of assets (sum of equity, bond & money market assets) in money market funds is about ~17%. Goldman'...
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The gap between base rates and earnings yields has closed - no more TINA.
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The gap between SPX and the 10 year (inverted) stays very wide.
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NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
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Planet Fitness
hui gold bugs index, monthly chart
HUI is locked and loaded for 500 in next 1-2 years.
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Number nine, number nine, number nine
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
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"Most Shorted" stocks continued their huge squeeze higher, now up 20% from the post-payrolls dip...
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Best of Cramer 2022
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Worst of Cramer 2022
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tsx Venture index, TSX-V
Speculative 'resources' and inflation traders should be aware that da 'V' is still on the 510 Express (gap fill)....
xop/xle ratio of energy sector internals
If you believe in this internal indicator (XOP/XLE ratio) and you're an Energy bull, 'ruh roh!' might be the appropri...
hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
Gold stock leadership to broad stocks now 4 months along...
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