EWI Takes the Gloves Off

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The market has been frustrating a lot of folks, not the least of which our friends at Elliott Wave International. However, they have finally issued their clearest "this is it!" proclamation as of Friday's STU…….

 0116-wave3

Of course, what would STU be without some wiggle room in the text somewhere?

0116-weasal

In other words, "this is what's happening, unless it's not." Joking aside though, I always respect clear projections and declarations. EWI's chief Bob Prechter is no less clear, and his view of a bear market isn't the least bit forgiving. Observe:

0116-WAVEC
Yes, that's a level of about 400 or so on the Dow. I'm not even sure a nuclear apocalypse could produce that kind of result, but there you have it.

So at this point, a number of folks I respect have projections all over the map……..

  • Evil (molecool) is in "hibernation mode";
  • Gary Savage is going for an all-out bull market in gold and silver;
  • Good ol' Tim is still in a grind-it-out bear market mode, but with an ultimate low closer to 6000 than 400!

The handful of longs that I had, I sold on Friday morning. I am 100% short, although 40% of my portfolio is in cash, and I still have used $0 of margin. All the same, a 60% commitment is the highest level I've been at thus far.