Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Through the Lens of a Few ETFs

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Well, I’ve been in “retreat and regroup” mode today. I’ve scaled back to 20% cash, 60% shorts, 20% longs, and 0% margin. The jobs report tomorrow morning is a big, looming uncertainty.

I just wanted to share a trio of ETFs and some thoughts on each.

First, the past year of the DIA illustrates quickly and simply the “grind” we’ve all been going through. It is astonishing to me how trendless this market has been for such a long amount of time. The bulls and bears just keep shoving each other back and forth. The only party happy in this market are the brokers, thanks to their commissions. At the current price level, we are definitely in “no one knows what’s next” mode.


I’ve had pretty good luck with individual retail stocks lately, and the recent recovery in RTH might be a good short set-up if the jobs figures doesn’t blast the market higher tomorrow. I personally have zero large short positions right now. My only large position at all is IWM, on the long side.


Lastly, there is the all-important financials. This chart is screaming “potential breakdown”, but until it slashes below that lower price level, this is nothing more than the range from hell.


Slopers know all too well there is a direct correlation between my participation in comments and frequency of posts to how I’m doing in the market. Things have stunk the past couple of days, so I have been laying low. I think this post will wrap it up for me today, and we’ll see what tomorrow morning brings us. As things stand now, I have positions that will profit from either direction, but I am not strongly committed either way.

Hurricanes Suck (by Nathaniel Goodwin)

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I wasn't planning on doing a post this week, I'm terribly busy working on some sort of shelter to protect me from this hurricane that might hit. Stun Gun and I are working around the clock trying to reinforce our cardboard home.

Here are some quick chart updates…. 

TLT (2) 


I think TLT has topped, it hit resistance. $TNX hit support. Bears couldn't crack that down-sloping black trendline in SPX, now the rising black trendline is going to be some support. Unless we plunge down with force below it very quickly, it could act as support and we might keep drifting up.

Finally, I saw some great advice from many on an earlier post. I hope everyone is okay. My biological father would drink whiskey and gin to help him through tough times. I suffer from acid reflux, and don't recommend that at all. I prefer boxed wine mixed with 7-up or gingerale. I also like good tunes to lift my spirits. (I apoligeze for any spelling errors in this post and the crude charts, I'm drunk and my spell cherker is not working)