Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Nightly Report. December 27, 2011

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Tonight’s report will be short as nothing much has changed from last week and not much action in the market either.

I wrote on December 23 that I am expecting a minor correction by December 27, 2011.                                ( )  Although we had a slight dip in DIJA, the SPX and Nasdaq ended the day in Green. Tomorrow morning would be the only last chance of a dip before we go flying higher. I added a tiny little bit to my existing long position as I was waiting for a bigger pull back which did not arrive. Let us see how tomorrow unfurls. However one more buy signal was initiated today, as follows:


As you can see, this has been a very reliable indicator in the past and should run at least for few more days. This is a lagging indicator and is just a confirmation of the existing trend.

AUD is continuing with its continuation pattern and is possibly setting up a base for the spring forward. I expect AUD to move up-to 1.0265 in the next two days and finally test 1.0370 before getting rejected. That will also signal the time to close the entire long positions. The funny thing is, I do not even trade forex.

During my intraday tweet I mentioned that I am disappointed with TBT. I know for sure that US Bonds are on a downward cycle but it is not being reflected in the price of TBT. I hope it also races through the gate in the next few trading days.

Once again, I urge readers not to be biased. The concept of bull vs. bear exists only in the mind of retail investors and traders. For the big boyz, no such silly difference exists. They can be both at different time, sometime switching sides multiple times in a day. Very soon, may be within seven trading days, we will also change our costume and wear the bearskin.


We have sowed the seeds for this trading cycle; the fruits are hanging and getting ready for harvesting. Till the time is ripe, let us be patient. You cannot force the grain to ripen before its time, nor can you open the door of the microwave oven before that slice of pizza has been heated up properly. Try it yourself and you will know what I am talking about.

I am extremely thankful for your show of support and for following me in Twitter (@BBFinanceblog). Till I set up a Facebook page for the blog, the Twitter is going to be my major way of communicating with my readers. Please forward this to your friends and family, who might benefit from unbiased trading. Visit regularly to profit from the world of finance.

What I Learned in 2011

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(NOTE: I had actually composed this for New Year's Eve, but it's so dead quiet, and guest contributors have been totally invisible, so I'm going to go ahead and deploy it now. Good night – Tim).

Today finishes up 2011, and I'll be spending the entire day traveling back home. The market is closed anyway, and I imagine most folks are doing things besides reading finance blogs, but I thought I'd put up a post with a few parting words for this year.

I took a look back at my final thought for 2008, which was a glorious year for me as a trader. Not surprisingly, I was in a terrific mood:


Follow the Leader (by Springheel Jack)

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One thing I aways look around for in the event that trendlines aren't lining up that well on SPX is another major index that may have assumed the lead for the time being. That index for the moment is the Transports index, and I say that because the last low there was a perfect hit of the rising support trendline from the October low. On the transports index I'm seeing what looks like a 70% bullish ascending triangle, which just needs (ideally) another reversal from the upper resistance trendline to confirm it. That resistance level is now 2% above and 'll be seeing that as strong resistance this week:


Start Spreading the News……..

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Greetings from New York City!

Yes, The Book of Mormon has had such a powerful pull on me that, as promised, I have uprooted myself (which, for me, a notorious homebody, is extraordinary) to spend the week here. I see the show tonight and expect to man up all over myself.

Because I intend to give my family the Tim-time that you good people usually get, Slope is going to be a little slower than usual, but I expect that the energetic pace of the comments section will keep things relatively lively. Thing will be fully back to normal by Tuesday, January 3rd, when the new trading year starts for us all.

Hasa diga eebowai!