Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

The Threatening Breakout

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Well, after all the good reasons why the market would be down this week, it just isn't happening. 2012 appears to be the year when everything goes up a little, day after day.

The Russell 2000 has been threatening to break out. The level at 773 appears to have tremendous sway over this index, having represented firm support for a long time and, most recently, resistence. A clean break above this level might open the floodgates. Be wary.


Dead Cat Bounce? (by Springheel Jack)

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We've been having a lot of days where the low has been made about 10.30 and equities then rose for the rest of the day. Yesterday broke that with a bounce that petered out and then drifted downwards until the close. That doesn't mean that we've seen a top, but it is a change in the character of the market. On ES we have broken down from last week's rising channel into a shallower one. A break below channel support in the 1280 area would look immediately bearish. Channel resistance is in the 1308 area: