Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Short Term High Probably In (by Springheel Jack)

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I sent the following tweet out shortly after the highs yesterday morning:

If we are going to see a reversal on SPX soon, odds favor the high this morning. Hit the top SPX rising wedge. Hit support Vix falling wedge.

After the retracement yesterday I think the odds are excellent that a short term high is in, and my retracement targets on SPX would be a test of support in the 1305-10 area, though that would be disappointingly shallow, then a test of rising support from November in the 1270-80, and if that was broken then main support from the October low in the 1250-60 areas. Those last two targets have ten point ranges because they are moving targets, and the exact target would depend on when those trendlines were reached. The lowest risk long entry IMO would be at the test of rising support from the November lows, with a stop below the rising support trendline from the October lows:

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