Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
Let's dial in the ratio of the HUI Gold Bugs index vs. the S&P 500 that we have been reviewing from a monthly 'big picture' perspective. This weekly chart is also a big picture, but it adds the 250 week moving average and weekly MACD, along with its slower brother, TRIX, for more definition.
People should realize that while there is significant reason for fundamental optimism about quality companies within the gold stock sector this is, on a pound for pound basis, one of the most aggressively hyped stock sectors on the planet. The same can be said for gold itself.
Why is this? I believe it stems from a core and righteous belief by many gold bugs that things are not right with the system (thanks Captain Obvious :-)), gold should be money again (or at least it should anchor the paper of the modern realm) and it is simply a matter of time before destiny is achieved.
Gold, while in a predictable phase of under performance due to the Euro relief and US earnings and temporary 'jobs' pumps, has been beaten back from its impulsive highs during the acute phase of the Euro crisis. Hype took gold up, and hype is taking it down or more accurately, is causing it to under perform what is now being hyped; namely the salvation of the system as we know it and the ever present tout of conventional stocks.
Well, I really thought the long-term trendline on Apple would mark a turning point. Nope. Apple rolled its eyes, kicked the trendline out of the way, and has gone stratospheric.
When it's going to top out? At this point, your guess is as good as mine. I can tell you this, though – – I'm not touching this thing.