Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Macro Geek Interlude

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While charting a potential bullish scenario for commodities in NFTRH
213, I became distracted by thoughts of the deflationary mindset that
has been cooked up since ‘Bond King’ Bill Gross tugged on Superman’s
cape in the spring of 2011 by announcing his short positions against
long-term US Treasury bonds, which was in essence a bet that the monthly
EMA 100 boundary (red line, chart below) that had been in force for
decades would be broken this time.

Sorry Bill, the inflation cycle into that time frame blew out right on your signal.

For reference, here is our favorite big picture chart once again; the
‘Continuum’ AKA the monthly view of the 30 year T bond yield.