Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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The Year Bias Died

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“All of us show bias when it comes to what information we take in. We typically focus on anything that agrees with the outcome we want.” – Noreena Hertz

I have been wanting to write this article for some time now this year. I wanted to wait until the results I was attempting to achieve became overwhelming. I think we’re there, so I am eager to share. Before I do, let me take a step back and share briefly my history as a trader and investor. I would divide my investing & trading history into three segments.

1998-2007 – Long term investor. Buying and holding assets.

2007-2014 – Combination of buying long term investments & discretionary trading

2015 – Combination of buying long term investments & ATR based trading

I graduated from college in 1998, began working, and investing. My focus was accumulating capital, and putting it to work buying companies that I believed in, understood, had good balance sheets, and for the most part paid dividends. It worked. I enjoyed it. I was good at it. At this point in my life my expertise was understanding companies, not the global economy, or technical analysis. My father was an executive, and my brother was an entrepreneur. I had grown up in business, and been educated in the management of companies.