Long Twitter (TWTR)
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I’m noticing a terribly-interesting breakdown happening place in real estate, encapsulated nicely with the sector fund shown below. Take note of how the long-term trendline is already broken, and as I’ve shown in the inset, we’ve got a nice little breakdown taking place on a short-term basis as well.
Another week, another inflection point on indices, and after eleven days of compression we are likely to see a resolution up or down today and whichever way this resolves is likely to deliver a daily upper or lower band ride in the direction of the break. Today is a cycle trend day and the odds of seeing a full trend day in either direction are unusually high. We’ll see how that goes. The setup favors downside resolution, but the day is starting with a spirited attempt at a break up. We’ll see whether that lasts.
I’ll start with NDX here as Nasdaq is still driving the equities bus, and on NDX there is a possible H&S right shoulder forming here that is currently overshooting the ideal right shoulder high, but not to an extent that weakens the setup. There is an alternate read that a bull flag forming wedge is forming here, and if that wedge resistance currently in the 5800 area is tested from here then that option becomes a lot more likely. If that bull flag wedge was then to break up the minimum target would be an all time high retest on NDX. NDX 60min chart: (more…)
Allow me to present to you something from this morning’s paper: