Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Shanghai Index in Weak Rally as China’s Credit Rating Downgraded to A+

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The Shanghai Index has recently begun to rally, after remaining in a large sideways congestion zone since mid-2015, as shown on the following Daily chart.

It’s currently trading under the bullish influence of a moving average Golden Cross formation, with the RSI, MACD and PMO technical indicators making a corresponding higher swing high. However, the MACD and PMO have recently made a bearish crossover “SELL” signal…if the RSI drops and holds below the 50 level, we may see price drop and retest near-term support at 3250, or fall to, potentially 3000, or lower.

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USD/JPY Mired in a 31-Year Congestion Zone

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The USD/JPY Forex pair is mired in a 31-year sideways congestion zone, as shown on the following Monthly chart.

Major resistance and support are formed by a long-term 40% Fib retracement level at 124.34 and 23.6%  level at 105.69, respectively. The momentum and rate of change technical indicators have been in downtrend since mid-2013.

Until we see a clear breakout above or breakdown below one of those Fib levels, the Yen will likely continue to be subject to volatile, non-directional whipsaw price action in between them.