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After careful consideration, I have decided selling my XLI puts early today was an error. Heh.
In any event, I’m still heavily short, and my departure from bond puts on Friday DID make sense. What we are witnessing is extraordinary. Congratulations to my beloved Slopers, many of whom I suspect are having superb days. We richly deserve this.
Another U.S. government shutdown looms this week on February 9th.
Will it…won’t it? That’s the $64,000 question as more volatility is in store for markets.
Given the fact that there are great political divides over a variety of policies, increased volatility in the markets, and, now, the information that’s being revealed that may determine whether or not civil and/or constitutional rights were violated in the months leading up to and after the 2016 presidential election (and any political and/or legal fallout that may occur), will only add to the increased odds of chaos ahead, making future events less predictable. (more…)
As the outset, I’ll say I think oil is heading much lower, but for the moment, it seems energy stocks are………dare I use the word?………..oversold. I at least wanted to point out this mildly-interesting chart of the triple-bullish ETF symbol ERX, which is nestled on a supporting trendline.
As for my portfolio in general, the jury is still out about whether my lightening up this morning was wise or foolish. I remain short at about 100% of my portfolio’s value, but the difference is that I came into the day 200% short.
On January 23 of this year two new 3x leveraged ETNs were launched, comprised of FB, AMZN, AAPL, NFLX, GOOGL, BABA, BIDU, NVDA, TSLA & TWTR, and their descriptions are as follows…
They are both highly risky investments and are very thinly traded.
Well, my physical maladies have me awake again when I should be sleeping, so I’ll just use this opportunity to do a comment cleaner. Glancing at the markets, I see the bitcoin is getting slaughtered again (in spite of fuzzy-haired crypto geniuses telling you they will make you rich), and equity markets have made the feeblest of “bounces”, already reversing.
I see that charlatan investment advisors are already sending out spam saying that Friday’s rout is “a storm in a teacup” (they can’t even manage to get the metaphor correct). I suspect this sentiment is going to last a very long time, considering the deep conditioning investors have received over the past nine years.
In a way, whether it bounces or not doesn’t really matter to me, because my macro play is much larger than any short-term bounce. The only thing that makes me sad about all this red is that the nimrods in D.C. are going to try to stop it at some point. I’d be totally OK with indexes price using negative numbers.
