Slope of Hope Blog Posts
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As at 6:30 pm ET tonight (April 11) the S&P 500 E-mini Futures Index (ES) is trading just below a couple of intraday resistance levels, namely, 2649.51 (40% Fib retracement level) and 2660 (triangle apex), as shown on the following 60 minute (extended hours) chart. The momentum indicator is just above zero.
We’ll need to see a clear break and hold above or below this triangle, with corroborating momentum, to gauge direction and sustainability. Whether that happens by Friday is anybody’s guess at this point, particularly with the Syria issue still developing.
I’ve mentioned both of these stocks multiple times as shorts (sadly, I got impatient with them both and didn’t bother sticking with the position!)
NQ/NDX and RUT/TF have now both reached their respective IHS necklines and broken slightly over them, so the possible Janus bear flag setups on both are set up and ready to fail into the retests of the previous lows. ES/SPX is the only laggard, but of course there was already a strong target at the last low there. In the video below I’m saying that ES/SPX may have topped out on this move yesterday. We’ll see.
I was asked a couple of questions about a fuller explanation of Janus flags yesterday and they are a pattern of mine so they aren’t written up formally anywhere yet. I tweeted a good recent example on CL and more explanation on my twitter this morning, so you can see that there if you want. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF: (more…)
I heard a life tip the other day that I thought was valuable: “Never be the worst part of someone else’s day.”
In this increasingly-alienated world of ours, I find that to be good advice. I’m reminded of it because of something I’ve been experiencing a lot recently, and that is service personnel complimenting me on my behavior.
Not much has changed with respect to price action since I wrote my last post about Canada’s TSX Index, as shown on the following monthly chart. It’s still dangling precariously outside of its long-term upward trending triangle formation, after dropping 7.22% from its record high set on January 4th. The momentum indicator is in downtrend, but remains above the zero level.
A new short idea – – the health insurance company Anthem, completing a top:
Just twenty-four hours ago, I wrote in The Arena: “Just absolute chaos, with no one the clear winner. The bulls have the ball but then BOOM! the news hits about tariffs on $100 billion in goods. The bears snatch it away but then BOOM! Mnuchin assures them it’s just a negotiation, and everything is going to be fine. Uh-oh BOOM! the offices of Michael Cohen get raided, so the bears get the ball back. And, instantly, BOOM! the head of China issues a soothing speech, allowing the bulls to take control again”
And so – – we have Zuckerberg (AKA Commander Data) testimony on the left and Syria attack on the right. Welcome to the new normal.