Trade Ideas for Options Traders
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Each issue breaks down actionable strategies, market insights, volatility signals, and premium-selling opportunities â always through a risk-first lens.
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đ Weekly Table Overview: The Implied Truth
This table offers a high-level view of critical options, volatility, and momentum metrics across major ETFsâequipping you with insights to spot high-probability setups in the options market. It highlights where premiums are elevated, trends may be shifting, and price extremes signal potential reversalsâkey data points for any serious options strategy.
Options trading is about playing the odds, not predicting outcomes. When implied volatility expands, opportunity often followsâif youâre watching the right signals. Right now, weâre seeing meaningful dislocations between volatility, momentum, and market breadth across sectorsâcreating windows for both premium-selling setups and breakout trades for directional traders.
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At the close – May 23, 2025
đ The Implied Truth: Quick Reference for Options Traders
This curated snapshot gives you a tactical edge by blending volatility metrics, momentum indicators, and contrarian sentiment signals across key ETFs.
đ Key Metrics Explained
- Symbol
The ETF ticker you’re analyzing (e.g., SPY, QQQ, IWM). - Last
The most recent closing price. - Put/Call Ratio (P/C Ratio)
Measures option sentiment:- > 1.0 = Bearish tilt (more puts than calls)
- < 1.0 = Bullish tilt (more calls than puts)
Extreme values often mark contrarian setups.
- Implied Volatility (IV)
Reflects market expectations of future movement.- Higher IV = Richer premiums and more expected price swings.
- IV Rank
Compares current IV to its range over the past year.- 0% = Lowest IV of the year
- 100% = Highest IV of the year
- Above 35% often favors premium-selling strategies.
- IV Percentile
Tells you the percentage of time over the past year that implied volatility (IV) has been lower than it is today. While IV Rank shows where todayâs IV sits relative to the yearâs high and low, IV Percentile shows how frequently the current level has been exceeded. Together, they help reveal whether a recent spike in volatility is a true outlierâor just noise. High percentile values suggest the current IV is uncommon, which often benefits premium sellers. - Relative Strength Index (RSI 2 / 7 / 14)
Measures momentum over short-, mid-, and long-term windows.- > 80 = Overbought
- < 20 = Oversold
- RSI(2) reacts fastest, RSI(14) shows the trend context.
- 52-Week Price Range Tracker
Visual gauge of price relative to its 1-year high/low.- +% = Near highs
- â% = Near lows
Great for spotting overextensions or bottoming setups.
đ Strategistâs Breakdown: What the Data Is Telling Us
Each week, this table isnât just a readoutâitâs a roadmap. Hereâs how to interpret the current conditions:
â High IV Rank & IV Percentile
When an ETF shows an IV Rank above 50%, it means implied volatility is high relative to its range over the past year. If IV Percentile is also elevated, it confirms that the current level of volatility is not just highâitâs consistently high compared to recent history.
This combination suggests that the market may be overestimating future movement, making it an ideal environment for options sellers to collect inflated premiums.
Most effective strategies in this setup:
- Iron Condors â Profit from overstated price swings with a neutral bias.
- Short Strangles â Target volatility contraction while maximizing premium intake.
- Credit Spreads â Use directional or range-bound outlooks with defined risk.
These approaches allow traders to take advantage of rich option pricing, especially when volatility is expected to stabilize or decline.
âïž P/C Ratio Extremes: Contrarian Clues
Watch for ETFs with P/C ratios above 1.5 or below 0.7.
- A high P/C (>1.5) signals fear or panic hedging. If technicals align, short put spreads may offer compelling risk-reward.
- A low P/C (<0.7) could point to overconfidenceâideal conditions for call credit spreads or bearish verticals.
đ RSI Divergences: Timing Reversals
Using RSI (2, 7, 14) together reveals subtle momentum shifts:
- If RSI(2) < 20 while RSI(14) is still neutral, expect a short-term bounceâperfect for shorter-dated trades.
- When all RSIs are aligned in overbought or oversold territory, the case for a trend reversal strengthens. This is where timing matters most.
đ Price Positioning: 52-Week Context
- ETFs near their 52-week highs + rising IV may be overstretched. Look for call credit spreads above resistance.
- ETFs near their lows with high IV often create high-probability short put entriesâespecially when supported by momentum divergences.
đ§ Final Takeaway: Turn Data Into Edge
Think of this table as both a diagnostic scan and an idea engine. Itâs not just about volatility or momentumâitâs the intersection that matters. When IV Rank confirms what RSI hints atâand P/C ratio tells the crowdâs storyâyou get insight the average trader misses.
Blend these signals with your existing strategy to surface hidden high-probability trades that align with both logic and edge.
Probabilities over predictions,
Andy Crowder
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