Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Will The Fed Awaken The Bears Again?

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With the market at all-time highs, we are now approaching another Fed meeting. But, this one will likely provide us with a change in direction for rates, if you believe what most pundits are saying. In fact, there seems to be 100% certainty that the Fed will lower rates. Imagine that . . . the Fed is going to lower rates when the market is at its all-time highs. When was the last time this happened?

While many view a rate cut as being akin to the Fed “blessing” this market rally, history tells us a different story. What is most interesting is that the last time the Fed changed direction in rates near all-time highs was in 2007. And, when the Fed began to lower rates in 2007, it was just before the major stock market melt-down. 

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John Maynard Keynes On The “Great Unwind” In Bonds

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For all of 2019, I have been watching one analyst after another suggesting investors “fade” the rally in bonds.  And, of late, these voices have been getting louder and louder, as I just read yet another article calling for the “Great Unwind” in the bond trade.

Well, folks, decades ago John Maynard Keynes noted about such people that the market can remain irrational longer than they can remain solvent.  And, 2019 has certainly proven the truth of Keynes’ perspective when it comes to the bond market.

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My Biggest ‘Fear’ For Silver

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While we were prepared for last week’s run in silver in our service on ElliottWaveTrader.net, many are only now suggesting to buy into the metals after missing the last 10%+ move up in silver. Yes, that is what happens so often in financial markets. Markets go higher and people want to buy more the higher it goes. Yet I was getting a lot of pushback when I was suggesting people use price levels below 15 to accumulate silver holdings.

What strikes me as odd is that in every other aspect of your life, you are in search of “the deal.” If you want to make any other type of purchase, you invest a lot of time in finding the best or lowest price you can find out there in the market. Yet, that is not what happens with most investors in the financial markets.

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Bitcoin or Gold: Which Is More Bigly Yuge To Own?

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Note: Ryan Wilday and I just co-wrote this crypto article, and we thought you may find it interesting.

Recently, the Winklevoss twins (who founded the Gemini crypto exchange) coined Bitcoin as ‘Gold 2.0.’ To support their perspective, they cited Bitcoin’s scarcity, its fungibility and its portability as meeting or exceeding that of the yellow metal.

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