Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Back At Major Resistance

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Well the bearish stats for Wednesday and Thursday this week did not deliver, which was remarkable yesterday as at the start of the day there were hourly sell signals fixed on all of ES, NQ, RTY & YM. That equities went up hard instead was an impressive show of strength, bringing SPX back up into a full test of key resistance at the monthly middle band, now at 4169.46, but not broken until there is a monthly close above it, and the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low.

That is still very strong resistance, but after the rejection back up here, and the very strong action over the last two days, I’m increasing the odds of a break above from 25% from 35%.

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Rolling Over

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So far, the reversal at strong resistance at the monthly middle band and the main support/resistance trendline from the 2009 low is proceeding as expected. The next three weeks lean bearish, with strongly bearish leaning days Thursday 11th May, Wednesday & Thursday 17th & 18th May before we see the next strongly bullish leaning day on Thursday 25th May. This is a good time for SPX to turn down and do some significant damage to the downside.

In the short term the downtrend has started well, the daily middle band, and weekly and monthly pivots at 4130 have been converted to resistance and SPX tested the daily lower band yesterday.

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