I mentioned this one yesterday, but I think I only showed its moving averages. Here, much closer (and featuring Price Bars – – a SlopeCharts exclusive) is the metals and mining fund, against which I own puts and am also short.
Slope of Hope Blog Posts
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Unrelated to anything else I’m about to say: the two biggest cultural influences of my life are (a) Star Trek, the original series and (b) Monty Python’s Flying Circus. I mention this because Netflix now has just about everything related to Monty Python you can imagine, including a wonderful documentary I’m watching now called Almost the Truth. If you are a MPFC fan and have Netflix, I encourage you to check it out.
On less funny subjects……..I am very pleased at how bonds are continuing to breakdown. It is precisely what I hoped would happen.
I was debating with myself whether to send this post only to my Gold and Diamond members (whose numbers are now legion………..) or to the entire mass of Slopers. I was compelled to just throw open the kimono, since even at this moment the last post has hundreds of comments, and since this is the last post of the day, I don’t want you poor souls to have 500 comments on a post………..so – – even though our awesome Premium members keep this place open – – I’m going to just do a general distribution on this one.
I also want to thank those of you who are pests. I mean that in the most loving way possible. Some folks write me and ask me for THIS and ask me for THAT. But, see, I really like making products, and I like making them better, so I really appreciate when you folks tap me on the shoulder and ask me for something, because I’m the sort who will get kind of obsessed with finding whatever it is you’re asking for. It makes Slope better for everyone. So – – be a pest!
Anyway, on to the charts. These are all ETFs, and they all have the same message: it is time for the bears to rise again! We begin with the Industrial symbol XLI, which has broken its long term trend from 2009:
Just to shift gears, I’ll offer something somewhat bullish (although I don’t mean it for a second).
The emerging markets, mentioned here incessantly on Slope, have been extraordinarily chart-able for 2018. That’s plain to see from the tints I have provided below. At the moment, my eye is on that yellow since, which for the third day appears to be providing support.
I know almost nothing about politics in Brazil. I had heard, however, there was a Presidential election on Sunday (that is, yesterday), and the “Donald Trump of Brazil” was rising in the polls. Well, he won, and Brazil equities exploded higher this morning. Examining the Fibonacci retracements, I noticed that we were trading near a possible reversal point, so I shorted the symbol EWZ at 39.37 with a stop at 39.50. It’s up about 1.43% as of this moment. This was definitely a “sell into strength” type moment, because Brazil’s problems are probably bigger than their version of Trump can solve.
I am admittedly talking my book here (or, more specifically, my lack of book, since I am out of my XLU puts and want to get in at a better price), but I’ve speculated below as to some idealized paths for the utility index and bonds (TLT) for the balance of the week. Tomorrow, Wednesday, is “Fed Day”, and that’s bound to thrown some shock waves around.