Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Copper/Gold Ratio: Still Counter-Cyclical

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The Copper/Gold ratio has been indicating an oncoming counter-cyclical environment since breaking down in June, 2022

Copper: Cyclical, inflation sensitive and a material of positive economic progress.

Gold: Much more counter-cyclical, less inflation sensitive and a ‘liquidity haven’ material of long-term monetary value.

I have not posted the monthly chart of the Copper/Gold ratio probably since last year, as 2023 has been all about disinflationary Goldilocks recovery, rather than a deflationary liquidity crisis. However, as Goldilocks matures into old age, it is worth keeping tabs on the original thesis, which is Inflation > Disinflationary Goldilocks > Deflation scare/liquidity crisis.


Gold Stocks: Is the Time Really Now?

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Gold stocks are not yet unique within the wider macro, but that does not preclude a move to 40 by GDX

[edit] Interesting, however, that on the day this was written (pre-market, 11/16) gold stocks came out of the gate positive while much of the rest of the macro is going the other way (including the commodity producers that the Au miners so often get lumped in with). It’s just an inkling, but interesting. Here is a visual per this X post.