Browse Symbol Stacks: SPY
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SPY - since 0 DTEs are all the rage currently.
I like to save these for posterity when candles creep into importan...
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
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While visiting charts this evening it becomes apparent that crypto just threw a hail mary to catch up to the U.S....
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The simple confluence of trendlines and long term fibs points to SPY 315 by Dec 23
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hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
Gold stock leadership to broad stocks now 4 months along...
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slopechart_SPY.jpg
This week SPY came to rest in the middle of the Cloud, with doji candle, closing a little lower than last week....
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S&P 500 index, us stock market (SPX)
To antagonize my favorite bearish website... (post link explains more about this imagined bull pattern).
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Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Trend for stocks (incl. dividends) vs. L/T T bonds (incl. div) still intact. Expecting this to change in Q1/H1, 2023.
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
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SPY quarterly.
Three weeks to win or lose.
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SPY - Ready to rally, or not.
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Enjoy the ride Bears
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Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
Gold in relation to broad US stocks (SPX), fyi… – Notes From...
Gold vs. stocks... not bad, eh?
‘Last inflated man standing’ needs a crutch – Notes From t...
"Last inflated man standing" may be joining the bear fest.
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From t...
Last ditch support for the most speculative 'inflation trade' stuff. Brutally bearish weekly chart.
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SPY breakout from a bearish falling wedge.
This bounce comes after an archipelago, or island reversal.
Bulkowski...
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Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
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Bearish engulfing patterns, last 2 days on SPY. Next target lower is 384.97
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fell out of the fork
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From t...
Treasury bonds continue to indicate an oncoming contrarian play...
30yr on the way to 2.5%? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield headed to 2.5% (monthly chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
30 year treasury bond yield
30 year yield headed to 2.5% (daily chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
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Gap 'n' Diamond
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes...
Gold continues to pivot vs. more inflation sensitive & cyclical items across the markets.
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SPY
Have some fibbies.
Interesting place to take a break at.
I suppose if you draw enough lines on a char...
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When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes...
Even more disgusting than nominal XLV is the XLV/SPY ratio, because this ratio rises in bear market and if it gets...
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SPY daily.
Because it is the weekend, have some charty!
Green - Covid dump retracement fibbies
Blue - Le ch...
Ladies & Gentlemen, meet 3:12 Charlie – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2:00 Charlie just a bit tardy today...
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Eggheads tardy in doing the right thing – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Finally the Fed is set to get off its ass months after the market signaled it to do so.
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Looks like we gotta wait until next week for an answer. Maybe one point of a breakout depending on where you put y...
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SPY - Clear downtrend channel from Jan high with clear breakout.
Yesterday price poked slightly above theCloud....
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Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Dovish Fed probably does not want to see stocks break down. The others in this chart? Screw 'em. But they may flip...
hui spx ratio
Say, do you suppose the miners have bottomed vs. the broads? Beuller?
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Head and shoulders pattern in the making
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Big ass diamond alert on the 30 min
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
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Et tu, SPY - amazing Fibs
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to stonk analysts' P/E projections had a lot of work to do as of a week ago (1/20). Probably...
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to SPX (technicals) finally closed...
“The Fed is likely…” | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
No hike today, but it's highly doubtful the market correction will bump the Fed off of a hike in March.
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Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
Gold; a stellar picture | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold's risk vs. reward not yet activated, but it is stellar. Peer into the chart and let it tell its story (or rea...
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
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dxy, us dollar
Uncle Buck cracking the SMA 50, more downside likely in Q1 2022, and more upside in commodities and the inflation...
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BTFD - Memo - "Hey JP we can't let this happen yet, the big banks aren't ready. We haven't got all our PUTS on, c...
banks kbe
Pigs re-taking the lead = not bearish for some sizable chunks of the market. Also means bad for gold.
2 year treasury yield
Can't really put enough words in this blurb to explain, but if you want to check the link associated w/ the chart...
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tyx
Implications of rising long-term yields?
You can bet a lot of eyes are on this ‘W’ pattern | Notes Fr...
So, are small caps going to be a leg kicked out from the market's table or are they going to hold trend off this '...
Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence. Correction is gonna come but his bugger has been diverging since March! Patience.
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX |...
TSX-V/TSX ratio currently shows cooling inflation spec trades.
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Daily Copper/Gold ratio decision point...
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SPY
20/50/200 day SMA
Fractal/analog follow up. I think Violet posted similar recently.
Technically we b...
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SPY bullish weekly fractal. Two of them.
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Cross doji on the SPY today. Decision time.
us stock market
US indexes looking gappy...
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The short term setup for SPY as we've been advised.
Weekly chart.
us dollar (dxy)
Uncle Buck (DXY) holds support, looks to rough up the inflated macro this morning.
Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade 'top-down'...
gold/spx ratio
Macro still cyclical inflation but it's gonna morph... Stag, Deflation or Goldilocks. 3rd option least likely but...
copper/gold ratio & 30 year treasury yield
Gold has tanked and yet the Cu/Au ratio has not broken out. Not very pleasant top-down macro signaling here.
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citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
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Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Valuation? ha ha ha... but it does not matter until it matters (chart from Advisor Perspectives).
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Beneath the headline indexes participation blows.
gold/spx ratio
Until inflation sensitive cyclical items top out vs. gold risk remains 'on'.
sentiment
Smart & Dumb indicators show little bull refreshing sentiment squalls but also a downward trend in Dumb money bull...
naaim
NAAIM and others (e.g. AAII) take short-term negative sentiment bursts to refresh the bull.
equity put/call ratio
Market structurally over-bullish.
xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
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Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
rsp spy ratio
Bad breadth!
slopechart_SPY.jpg
The 440 target looks reachable next week. That would just about coincide with a channel top touch.
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Fun w/ Regression
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
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Looks like a little dip back toward channel support and 4/1 gap up. A couple of spots for the dip buyers to take n...
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And a new channel looks evident after recent breakout.
cpi & ppi
Screwing the consumer over decades is one thing, but let manufacturing costs (PPI) get out of hand and it's a whol...
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Looks like my converging cone just got popped.
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SPY 13 year channel
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LPI - will it stay dead for 30+ days?
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Failing trendline fans, cont.
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Failing trendline fans, lol
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The fabled IBD50 vs SPY - Unimpressive
spx hui usd
Though most bugs don't see it that way, this is as it should be in the purest form of gold mining fundamentals. #o...
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aaii
Mom & Pop have jerked over-bullish. Not a to the minute timer, but a bearish condition in place for the market.
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From a pennant to a channel with today's action.
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390 or 300?
