Browse Symbol Stacks: TLT


slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
channel holding so far
Baby Bear
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Channel?
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Will Bonds crack the resistance?
Violet
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Talk of the town TLT monthly with a losing red candle.
Violet
5
slopechart_XLU,IEF,TLT.jpg
slopechart_XLU,IEF,TLT.jpg
utilities vs bonds
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
Utilities vs bonds
Baby Bear
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
TLT looking down and out. Green 2002 trendline must hold to avoid falling to lower levels of support.
Violet
2
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
hip to be square
Baby Bear
A deflationary yield curve steepener
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
NFTRH
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
So we have a booming jobs report... and the bond market's inflation signaling is not buying it.
NFTRH
bonds_4.jpg (875×500)
bonds_4.jpg (875×500)
Tim Knight
1
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Trend for stocks (incl. dividends) vs. L/T T bonds (incl. div) still intact. Expecting this to change in Q1/H1, 2023.
NFTRH
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
If the 'real' 10yr yield turns down a tail wind for gold ensues.
NFTRH
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._b3Tgqm_l.jpg
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._b3Tgqm_l.jpg
007 perky pooper
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
TLT peaking out above the down trendline.
Violet
5
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From t...
Treasury bonds continue to indicate an oncoming contrarian play...
NFTRH
30yr on the way to 2.5%? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr on the way to 2.5%? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield headed to 2.5% (monthly chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
NFTRH
30 year treasury bond yield
30 year treasury bond yield
30 year yield headed to 2.5% (daily chart) even as the eggheads prepare to hike.
NFTRH
Does this look like inflation? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does this look like inflation? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does this look like inflation? I didn't think so.
NFTRH
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Ooops!
Baby Bear
2
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
NFTRH
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Continuum... do or die baby! Do or die...
NFTRH
high yield credit spreads
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
NFTRH
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
For what it's worth, TLT stopped to the penny at the 61.8% Fib (from Dec high to recent low).
Honduki, Hoarder of all Cats
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
(Manual) TLT Fib projection onto the Dec high, target 120
Baby Bear
“The Fed is likely…” | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
“The Fed is likely…” | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
No hike today, but it's highly doubtful the market correction will bump the Fed off of a hike in March.
NFTRH
1
Gold; a stellar picture | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold; a stellar picture | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold's risk vs. reward not yet activated, but it is stellar. Peer into the chart and let it tell its story (or rea...
NFTRH
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
Implications of rising long-term yields?
NFTRH
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
NFTRH
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this are… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
NFTRH
slopechart_IWM,TLT.jpg
slopechart_IWM,TLT.jpg
Bonds vs small caps
Baby Bear
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
STFB to the 21 EMA
Baby Bear
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Is next phase inflationary or deflationary? The inverted right side shoulder or lack thereof will tell.
NFTRH
1
yield curve
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
TLT had it going for a month. Now it could take out 125 by Early June
sdhaff21
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
NFTRH
cpi & ppi
cpi & ppi
Screwing the consumer over decades is one thing, but let manufacturing costs (PPI) get out of hand and it's a whol...
NFTRH
30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
Recent pullback in yields was in the bag as Gross touted a bond short.
NFTRH
bfmFA55.jpg (1108×584)
bfmFA55.jpg (1108×584)
Tim Knight
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Major support almost reached on TLT.
MississippiMan
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Still in a down trend
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Treasury yields in the tank
BishopofBattle
1
30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
NFTRH
5 year inflation rate
5 year inflation rate
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
NFTRH
30Y net specs.jpg (1096×588)
30Y net specs.jpg (1096×588)
Traders are really, really, REALLY short bonds right now.
Tim Knight
yield curve
yield curve
If you're gonna get the markets right you gotta get the macro right. Here's one such macro map needed.
NFTRH
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Resistance overhead
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Bounced off support
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Meandering
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Has been quietly chopping
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Weakness continues
BishopofBattle
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Looks like a bullish breakout to me. I see no reason 170 can't be attained.
MississippiMan
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Headfake?
Tantalus
bfm361.jpg (976×508)
bfm361.jpg (976×508)
Tim Knight
1
30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr-5yr yield curve did tw...
NFTRH
2
slopechart_MSFT.jpg
slopechart_MSFT.jpg
doug diamond april
Baby Bear
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Words are necessary here. Deflation. That is a word. Inflation. that is another words. Remember it because it's no...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Marching back up
BishopofBattle
A silly question on market sentiment… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A silly question on market sentiment… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Market sentiment is not risk averse or over bearish. Market sentiment is absolutely 100% TERRIFIED.
NFTRH
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
SPX finally cracks as TIP/TLT had foretold well before effing COVID effing 19. This is the lever.
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
Powell the effing dove was in the bag even before COVID-19, it's just that he's on steroids now.
NFTRH
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Bonds are in full tank mode amid the deflationary rush by the herds... ha ha ha bring on the inflation.
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Yeah, just another steepening of the curve...
NFTRH
1
yield curve
yield curve
Why I do believe we are witnessing a baby yield curve steepener...
NFTRH
Gold’s hidden affinity for Treasury bonds | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold’s hidden affinity for Treasury bonds | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A little reminder from the last deflation scare. This is an excerpt from 11/22/08.
NFTRH
tlt
tlt
Treasury bonds look like...
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
NIRP here we come!
NFTRH
TLT Trade of the Year and What Is Next! – Technical Traders Ltd.
TLT Trade of the Year and What Is Next! – Technical Traders Ltd.
Chris Vermeulen
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve steepens to highest point since the summer mini-inversion. Steepener currently deflationary, but can l...
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
10/2 yield curve ticks back toward steepening.
NFTRH
1
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve flattening again. I don't expect the stock market to crack hard until it re-steepens. Then it could be...
NFTRH
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed is out of its comfort box on the downside as it was on the upside in late 2018.
NFTRH
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
NFTRH
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
NFTRH
30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
The fix is in, unlike in Q4 2018... check the associated post for a big reason why bears are continually played by...
NFTRH
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Approaching ATH's
BishopofBattle
tnx
tnx
Say, GYX/Gold curiously going the 'wrong' way. Who's right, it or the 10yr and TIPs ratios? Answer is for all the...
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
I for one have to ask 'why?'. https://nftrh.com/2019/11/25/casino-patrons-turn-to-the-right/ Beep beep!
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
30yr yield still above the key 2.2% level. Still in-month, but this is the start a reflation trade would need.
NFTRH
Treasuries Pause Near Resistance Before The Next Rally – Technical Traders Ltd.
Treasuries Pause Near Resistance Before The Next Rally – Technica...
Chris Vermeulen
1
slopechart_GDX.jpg
slopechart_GDX.jpg
Who is the https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f2/Biggest_Loser_logo.jpg/250px-Biggest_Loser_logo.jp...
"GRAVE NEW CHAPTER"
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
$TLT Interesting. $TRX? Sorry to hear @Mully. Follow these losers at your own RISK! $TRX (See previous...
"GRAVE NEW CHAPTER"
3
10-year-yield-testing-support-after-large-decline-july-10.jpg (1106×638)
10-year...
Tim Knight
crb
crb
Commodity bubbles 1& 2 came against very elevated inflation expectations (TIP/TLT), which makes much sense.
NFTRH
crb
crb
Commodity bubbles 1 & 2 came against a robotic decline in long-term yields, which makes little sense.
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Will this condition hold to close the week? If it does and if the yield curve steepens, better have a plan for an...
NFTRH
1
30 year bond cot
30 year bond cot
As for the long bond's CoT, the little guy (bottom panel) is as bullish now as he was bearish in Q4. Dat's un-bullish.
NFTRH
30 year bond optix
30 year bond optix
Public optimism rising on the long bond. Getting contrary bearish.
NFTRH
tyx
tyx
Remember the Q4 2018 "BOND BEAR!!!" hysteria? Now, not so much.
NFTRH
1
tyx
tyx
Not long ago the Fed became concerned about the breakout in long bond yields. Now? Err, not so much.
NFTRH
tnx
tnx
2018's inflationary pressure gives way to 2019's deflationary pressure.
NFTRH
FOMC: 06.38.30 – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
FOMC: 06.38.30 – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Why was the Fed hawkish in Q4 despite an imploding stock market and dovish now despite a manic bullish one? Simple...
NFTRH
tlt-testing-resistance-and-creating-a-bearish-reversal-march-26.jpg (1266×636)
tlt-testing-resistance-and-creating-a-bearish-reversal-march-26....
Tim Knight
10-and-30-year-yields-testing-support-important-to-stocks-feb-27-1.jpg (1564×730)
10-and-...
Tim Knight
5 feb17.PNG
5 feb17.PNG
Silver Singularity
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Nice fit since the taper tantrum / end of Operation Twist
Tantalus
1
yield curve
yield curve
Boom/bust indicator (yield curve) still flattens (w/ boom), but risk is high at this extended point.
NFTRH
1