Browse Symbol Stacks: TLT
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30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr-5yr yield curve did tw...
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doug diamond april
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Words are necessary here. Deflation. That is a word. Inflation. that is another words. Remember it because it's no...
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Marching back up
A silly question on market sentiment… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Market sentiment is not risk averse or over bearish. Market sentiment is absolutely 100% TERRIFIED.
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
SPX finally cracks as TIP/TLT had foretold well before effing COVID effing 19. This is the lever.
tyx
Powell the effing dove was in the bag even before COVID-19, it's just that he's on steroids now.
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Bonds are in full tank mode amid the deflationary rush by the herds... ha ha ha bring on the inflation.
yield curve
Yeah, just another steepening of the curve...
yield curve
Why I do believe we are witnessing a baby yield curve steepener...
Gold’s hidden affinity for Treasury bonds | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A little reminder from the last deflation scare. This is an excerpt from 11/22/08.
tlt
Treasury bonds look like...
tyx
NIRP here we come!
TLT Trade of the Year and What Is Next! – Technical Traders Ltd.
yield curve
Yield curve steepens to highest point since the summer mini-inversion. Steepener currently deflationary, but can l...
yield curve
10/2 yield curve ticks back toward steepening.
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yield curve
Yield curve flattening again. I don't expect the stock market to crack hard until it re-steepens. Then it could be...
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed is out of its comfort box on the downside as it was on the upside in late 2018.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
Inflation (lack of) Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation (lack of) expectations.
30 year treasury yield
The fix is in, unlike in Q4 2018... check the associated post for a big reason why bears are continually played by...
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Approaching ATH's
tnx
Say, GYX/Gold curiously going the 'wrong' way. Who's right, it or the 10yr and TIPs ratios? Answer is for all the...
tyx
I for one have to ask 'why?'. https://nftrh.com/2019/11/25/casino-patrons-turn-to-the-right/ Beep beep!
tyx
30yr yield still above the key 2.2% level. Still in-month, but this is the start a reflation trade would need.
Treasuries Pause Near Resistance Before The Next Rally – Technica...
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Who is the https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f2/Biggest_Loser_logo.jpg/250px-Biggest_Loser_logo.jp...
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$TLT Interesting. $TRX?
Sorry to hear @Mully.
Follow these losers at your own RISK!
$TRX (See previous...
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10-year...
crb
Commodity bubbles 1& 2 came against very elevated inflation expectations (TIP/TLT), which makes much sense.
crb
Commodity bubbles 1 & 2 came against a robotic decline in long-term yields, which makes little sense.
yield curve
Will this condition hold to close the week? If it does and if the yield curve steepens, better have a plan for an...
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30 year bond cot
As for the long bond's CoT, the little guy (bottom panel) is as bullish now as he was bearish in Q4. Dat's un-bullish.
30 year bond optix
Public optimism rising on the long bond. Getting contrary bearish.
tyx
Remember the Q4 2018 "BOND BEAR!!!" hysteria? Now, not so much.
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tyx
Not long ago the Fed became concerned about the breakout in long bond yields. Now? Err, not so much.
tnx
2018's inflationary pressure gives way to 2019's deflationary pressure.
FOMC: 06.38.30 – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Why was the Fed hawkish in Q4 despite an imploding stock market and dovish now despite a manic bullish one? Simple...
tlt-testing-resistance-and-creating-a-bearish-reversal-march-26....
10-and-...
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Nice fit since the taper tantrum / end of Operation Twist
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yield curve
Boom/bust indicator (yield curve) still flattens (w/ boom), but risk is high at this extended point.
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30 year yield
Tell me again about that bond bear market? Eh? All I hear now is crickets.
Is This Risk ‘Off’ Enough for Formerly Greedy Bulls? – Not...
So, the Continuum holds again. Fed was not going to let it get away. Will TYX find a low soon?
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FOMC at Center Stage (NFTRH 530 excerpt) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum back below the limiter and all is right with the world. Bond bears BANISHED. BBB...
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Interesting confluence of trendlines.
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How Low Could the S&P 500 Go? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Market indicators are in high risk stance relative to the false alarms in 2011 and 2015.
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... inflation expectations in the tank.
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... The Continuum back below the limiter...
About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
About that bond bear market... herds running risk 'off' drives yields down, bonds up.
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2 Bearish Indicators – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bearish indicator #2 (among many).
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...
Don't look now but 30yr yield has failed back below the limiter. Either inflationary or deflationary steepening co...
“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...
Yield curve all over the news... DOOOOM!!! But it has not yet begun to steepen. Look elsewhere for doom right now...
junk-bonds-spy-divergence-testing-9-year-support-at-the-same-time-n...
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Tlt droppiing
America is Not an Economic Island – No robo-content, no ads an...
Macro Tourist, maker of the funniest graphics in finance.
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yield curve
Market bulls should be wary of the yield curve's slow grind this time as opposed to Feb's big spike (which was a b...
slopechart_TLT.jpg
Diamond pattern has broken out bearishly. So are we backing up the truck and buying at 111.39 (blue line)? Or wai...
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$TLT approaching 20 year VWAP
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10-year...
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Central bank purchases are shrinking and projected to turn negative by 2019. QT is considered by many fund mana...
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slopechart_TLT.jpg
Fingers crossed that those moving averages stay properly aligned!
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Interest rate peak?
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1987 or 1998 take your pick.
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TLT with fractals. Shorts need a down day Monday or it could get ugly.
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long-term-interest-rates-have-not-broken-out-pinocchio-feb-23-1....
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The percentage of the nation's GDP dedicated just to making bond interest payments is going to soar.
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6pa...
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20180209dia_tlt.png
Bonds and stocks are having an on again, off again relationship.
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Fed Treasury holdings and TLT. Two topping patterns?
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$TLT IT too
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$TLT LT channels. See ShorterTerm next.
@TimKnight Note: Possibly a way to show LT, IT and/or ST together?
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inflation-indicator-testing-support-questioning-need-to-raise-rates...
Inflation indicator wonders why the Fed is raising rates
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Looks like an important move could be coming when the 2017 trading range breaks.
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Possible Head Shoulders with TLT bonds.
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Post election the investment community was strong on the belief that the new administration was going to get the e...
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Turn the table forward a year later and as of today, nearly 90% of investors are sure the Fed will raise rates…...
inflationary-indicator-tiptlt-ratio-continues-to-fall-may-31.jpg...
Inflation indicator breaks support, continues to fall
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Bonds have been hit hard since the highs around the 4th of July last year. Could this big decline, be creating a b...
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Debt limit hit the ceiling. That means reduced Treasury supply until the debt ceiling is raised. That is bullish f...
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Stocks and Bonds; Critical change of direction in play
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Inflation breakout looming
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TLT in accumulation.
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Yet another overbought indicator
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TLT/SPY is awfully similar (umm, identical) to 2007
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Extremes for bonds AND stocks
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Is inflation coming?
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Rate-sensitive assets
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