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How Low Could the S&P 500 Go? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

Market indicators are in high risk stance relative to the false alarms in 2011 and 2015.

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Doom-Porn from Atilla

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About That Bond Bear Market… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

About that bond bear market... inflation expectations in the tank.

2 Bearish Indicators – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

Bearish indicator #2 (among many).

2 Bearish Indicators – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

Bearish indicator #1 (among many).

Rut… No, Not Yet – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

RUT/SPX leadership should be watched. It's firmly down trending.

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When you include the 87 crash you can see how dumb a VIX below 10 was in 2017 2018!

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“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits...

SPX/Gold ratio hit target a few months ago. Post-2008 euphoria now maxed out and on the wane.

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Monthly Macro Monitor – November 2018 – No robo-content, no...

Credit spreads - while still very low - break out of bottoming range.

consumer discretionary, consumer staples

In 2019 as the stock market takes back the Trump rally, I expect XLY/XLP to reach the major support zone along wit...

The Consumer Foretold the Correction – Notes From the Rabbit Hole

NFTRH shows the possible bounce objective in XLY/XLP...

XLY to XLP ratio deviation from 50MA

McClellan shows deeply oversold XLY/XLP due for a bounce...

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@MS it's suttle. You not so much! LOL Car Talk: @F and plastic parts: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fn1pu5rP...

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2 year yield & t bills

Condition to 2000 & 2007 tops not yet in place. That's the relationship between 2yr yield & 3 mo. t-bill.

A New NFTRH Segment: Opening Notes – US Stock Market – Notes...

Pending bounce back rally for Nov./Dec. when SPX breaks the February low 2100-2200 will be locked and loaded, eras...

Gold Stocks Will Benefit From Cyclical Change – Notes From the...

As the (gold stock) fundamentals turn...

yield curve

Market bulls should be wary of the yield curve's slow grind this time as opposed to Feb's big spike (which was a b...

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Smart money evacuation

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The spread between New Orders and Prices is the so-called NOPE Index, and as Leuthold Group notes, a drop below -4...

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Imgur: The magic of the Internet

As Fed continues with rate hikes, the yield curve continues to flatten. Spreads on 10-2y reach lowest point of t...

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DJ Global Index with 2 year median. Globally market valuations have not recovered to previous highs. Global equi...

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The OECD composite leading indicator (CLI) is designed to provide early signals of turning points in business cyc...

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Delinquency rates on credit card loans ... nothing to see here... move along please...

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Cmft9Akv3I

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Blinking Red Bubble Light: Stock Market Investor Margin Debt Rea...

Margin debt & S&P500

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$NFLX most overbought levels in history.

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Goldman: The Past Month Has Been One Giant Short Squeeze; Here's...

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FANG Insiders Selling Their Stocks Faster Than Any Time In Histo...

So who is the real sucker at this table? If you don't know by now... it's you!! Because the smart money is boltin...

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FANG Insiders Selling Their Stocks Faster Than Any Time In Histo...

But while 'average joe' is busily loading up on hyper-valued tech in his 401k like never before, insiders at the F...

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Fingers crossed that those moving averages stay properly aligned!

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What a return of volatility looks like

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Rosenberg: S&P "Should Be 1000 Points Lower Than It Is Today" |...

That makes it a perfect hedge against the bubbly stock market that we have today.

Rosenberg: S&P "Should Be 1000 Points Lower Than It Is Today" |...

As you can see in the chart below, the last two peaks in this ratio almost perfectly coincided with the dot-com cr...

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Rosenberg: S&P "Should Be 1000 Points Lower Than It Is Today" |...

For starters, Rosenberg pointed out that only 9% of the time in history have U.S. stocks been so expensive.

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Volatility has withered back to almost the sub-teens again.

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Various sell signals

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SMART Money remains a big seller...

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