Browse Stacks: Analytics: Indicators
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes...
Gold continues to pivot vs. more inflation sensitive & cyclical items across the markets.
Just another Cu & Cu/Au post – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper/Gold ratio... bad to worse for the cyclical, inflation-sensitive stuff (hello commodities).
T-Bill yield up, RINF down today – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Curious divergence today as 3 mo. T-bill yield is up, inflation expectations tracker down.
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio is bounce with copper but it implies a respite (bounce) for the recently bearish inflation trade...
Doctor Copper’s prescription enclosed… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here is Copper/Gold, making a really lousy macro signal for those still pumping the inflation trades.
copper price
Doctor Copper breaks down and that's not good for the economy and it's not good for the inflation trades either.
When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes...
Even more disgusting than nominal XLV is the XLV/SPY ratio, because this ratio rises in bear market and if it gets...
slopechart_TZA.jpg
Diverging volume for the first time since the RUT bear began. This is likely another indication that a rally is ab...
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Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From th...
Disaster in the making...
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold is getting absolutely killed, but it's not even to the downside target yet. More importantly, check out the c...
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slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bonk.
(so far)
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
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The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From...
Copper/Gold ratio will forecast bad things to come for the cyclical macro if it drops. As yet, still in consolidation.
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S&P Breadth continues to weaken...
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Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades. But with the media cacophony is anyone listening?
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio: lose this area and go dis-inflationary (at best). Hold it and turn up and it's inflation 'on'.
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Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If USD keeps rallying *AND* the Gold/Silver ratio also puts on an extended rally the markets are going to flush in...
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Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Copper/Gold ratio is macro-undecided as yet.
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Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
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Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
Inflation expectations take a hit but still aloft.
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Eth - year SMA
Pretty much just tagged it.
Trading Rules Observation in Regard. Purchase Eth if it maintains...
banks kbe
Pigs re-taking the lead = not bearish for some sizable chunks of the market. Also means bad for gold.
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"Buffett Indicator" has never been higher...
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Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence. Correction is gonna come but his bugger has been diverging since March! Patience.
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bumps positive again (big surprise). When the real move comes you'll want to be on its right sid...
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX |...
TSX-V/TSX ratio currently shows cooling inflation spec trades.
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Daily Copper/Gold ratio decision point...
bdi
BDI continues flashing negative for inflation/inflation trades...
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
baltic dry index, inflation expectations
A negative forward indicator for inflation and thus, the inflation trades as BDI drops hard.
slopechart_NFLX.jpg
What is up with the short term volatility on NFLX? It usually doesn't collapse before earnings...
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slopechart_IWM.jpg
The range is narrowing, the squeeze is on. Declining volume
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slopechart_ULTA.jpg
Playing around with sine waves
'bout time for some dropping
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A sea-change!
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gold/spx ratio
Macro still cyclical inflation but it's gonna morph... Stag, Deflation or Goldilocks. 3rd option least likely but...
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Ultra Super Secret Proprietary Moving Average Deluxe holding Bitcoin.
Barely... and I don't think for long. No...
bfmCEB0.jpg (940×525)
This was the second largest sell-program in history with TICK crashing to -2067 (record low as -2069 on 5/11/21)...
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citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
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2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
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xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
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tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
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slopechart_AGR.jpg
Possible good news for AGR if you are running short of stocks you shouldn't short.
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Where is the Wizard?
Our triangle just got bigger. We could mess around in that thing until September.
Unles...
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slopechart_USO.jpg
My mind has been changed on inflation. Feel free to enjoy the panic!
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SP500-Deviation-200-dma-041321.png (889×580)
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slopechart_HD.jpg
Bullish
slopechart_GOOGL.jpg
Bullish on the weekly
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slopechart_DKS.jpg
That short dicks business didn't work out. Bullish on the monthly, new ATH likely
slopechart_CRM.jpg
Short candidate, but earnings coming 12/1
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slopechart_BDX.jpg
Short candidate
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Finally, as stocks pushed up towards record highs, the Smart Money index has crashed to 2 year lows...
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yield curve
If you're gonna get the markets right you gotta get the macro right. Here's one such macro map needed.
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200 resistance MS.jpg (828×559)
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gold silver ratio
Bringer of the pain #1.
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gold/silver ratio
With the Gold/Silver ratio counter-trend bouncing w/ USD the indication is for a temporary interruption of global...
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silver/gold ratio
"It is 2003" says the Silver/Gold ratio. The first impulsive move is 2020 and the likely inflation to follow could...
SP500-MarketUpdate-090420-2.png (990×1051)
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SP500-2-Devations-Chart-082620.png (711×408)
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copper gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bounced this week but it's only a backtest of the breakdown. It remains a warning on reflationar...
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio wave 5 beginning as the macro reflation labors on.
slopechart_CLDX.jpg
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gold spx ratio
Gold/SPX ratio has done excellent work taking out gold sector enthusiasm and building stock bull enthusiasm. The h...
gold spx ratio
Get ready for the pain if this bounce in Gold/SPX is real. And it sure looks that way as it comes from a logical b...
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio hits target. It's a stop sign or a gateway. Inflation or deflation. Munny heaven or failure.
vix and spx
VIX not diverging inverse SPX. Such signals have preceded recent corrections incl. the 2020 market crash. No signal yet.
gold silver ratio
Answer whether or not the Gold/Silver ratio is going to hold here or breakdown and you will have the answer to the...
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NYSE tick 5.18.jpg (1280×680)
Powell Makes History By Unleashing Record "Buying Panic" In Stocks
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silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio still paints a supportive backdrop for the global macro reflation bounce (a bounce being all it is).
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio hangs tough. Not bad signaling for continued reflation trades.