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slopechart_SPY.jpg
SPY Slope year end target: 535
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
Risk off expressed by sectors
slopechart_TLT,$VIX.jpg
TLT vs VIX
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slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
Dollar vs VIX
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dgd.png
Top 10 market capitalization:
Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me
And 16T is s...
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asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
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S&P 500 Index gained 1.6% last month, its equal-weighted counterpart slumped 0.9% (again).
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biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
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Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
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This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade.
As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
ggg.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
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Hey I've found it, calling XIV a bubble on Jan 5 2018
The top was Jan 11th
One of my most precise (and accurate...
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Some food for bears
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
liquidity +180 bln since 12/27
slopechart_IE.jpg
Sir Ivanhoe, slightly oversold, lol
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
short term strength
slopechart_XBI.jpg
guess the next move
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slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
massive H&S forming
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NASDAQ volatility lowest in the history of the universe
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Bulls are ALL IN, higher than ever
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F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
Utilities vs bonds
slopechart_SPY.jpg
so far, so good
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
so far, so good
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
Will we get an analog? 200 points of room
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August’s past and ugly seasonality...
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Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
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Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
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slopechart_IYR.jpg
Getting there...?
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Equity futures positioning
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Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
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US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
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SilkRoad.png
This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
US Life Expectancy.
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American now and then
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Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
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Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
SoybeanOil.jpg
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
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"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
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US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
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Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
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Custom FAANG symbol vs QQQ
slopechart_SPY.jpg
Spyanalog
6JUN20.png
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
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S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
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5JUN20.png
Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
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4JUN20.png
Very interesting times to say the least
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3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
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2JUN20.jpg
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1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
2JUN19.png
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1JUN19.png
End of an era precursor?
slopechart_CVNA.jpg
will we see a repeat of the cup overfloweth pattern? it may put a fork in it
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3JUN18.jpg
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Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
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bulls v bears.png (775×578)
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slopechart_$SPX.jpg
strictly based on the current trend, this is the projection forward, David Hunter licking his chops
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
Approaching 9/2000 levels...
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Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
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And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
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May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
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Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
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The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
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The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
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market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
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nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
slopechart_ELF.jpg
5x in one year, P/E 115
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Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
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The AAII bull-bear spread has moved sharply higher.
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P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
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The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
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A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
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The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
slopechart_BILL.jpg
Beautiful
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Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
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Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
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The GS "Risk Appetite Indicator" is breaking out to levels not seen in close to 2 years.
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