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: Analytics
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All Pages in Analytics
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Retail investors are showing record equity weight, greater than at the peak of the dot.com bubble.
1
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Retail sentiment at new all time highs...
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The extreme high in US households’ optimism on the equity outlook is a clear sign of froth
1
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US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
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US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
1
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2
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Strong VIX seasonality kicks in soon...
1
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RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
1
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Put simply, the only reason the S&P 500 is holding up is due to a handful of large tech plays that receive a tremendo...
1
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1
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Optimism exploding to the upside.
1
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Big Tech and Industrials going separate ways, just like late 1999
3
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The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
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The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
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Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
3
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AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
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Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
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put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
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Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
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the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth
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one should NOT try to time the markets, as missing the ten BEST days is a serious drag on returns (gray line).
1
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To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
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2
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Volatility matrix of seven of the short positions I've got
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RRG of six short positions
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Highest stock allocation EVER
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US credit protection, CDX IG, has collapsed to new recent lows. The European version, iTraxx main, has exploded to...
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Bond and equity volatility at post Trump lows...
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All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
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1
CMV Aggregate Index Score - Speedometer Chart
Wow
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RECORD HIGH SENTIMENT
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0 - 2024-11-26T095010.554_1.jpg (989×590)
Seasonality at play
1
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oops
2
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Batshit valuations. This would be the equivalent of me selling my tiny company Prophet.net for almost a billion dollars.
5
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1
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VVIX rising
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0 - 2024-10-15T081942.783.jpg (767×541)
Next week is the Superbowl of quarterly earnings where 37% of the S&P 500 reports earnings.
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Bears EXTINCT
3
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Haha, and you thought markets are sooo overvalued
1
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Inflation is going to go ape shit
3
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started to diverge May '23
1
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September's second half is a playground for bears - down a whopping 5.7% on average since 2020, without a single S...
2
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The second half of September is notoriously the worst 2-week period of the year, with stocks historically averagin...
1
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VIX has strong seasonality from here until early October.
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Gold vs Oil Treasury proxy
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risk off again
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From almost 70 to 18 in six trading days
1
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USA CTA positioning is near the max exposure level and highest since 2021.
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BORING BORING BORING BORING
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SPY, QQQ Short Interest Drops To All-Time Low
2
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This is so goddamned stupid.
1
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Bad Breadth
3
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Hull 13/34
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somebody is loading up bigly
1
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MMRI rising
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
not exactly risk on (yet)
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ZERO FEAR
2
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slopechart_SPY.jpg
SPY Slope year end target: 535
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Risk off expressed by sectors
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TLT vs VIX
2
slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
Dollar vs VIX
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2
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Top 10 market capitalization: Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me And 16T is s...
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2
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1
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2
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S&P 500 Index gained 1.6% last month, its equal-weighted counterpart slumped 0.9% (again).
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biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
2
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This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade. As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
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S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
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Hey I've found it, calling XIV a bubble on Jan 5 2018 The top was Jan 11th One of my most precise (and accurate...
1
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Some food for bears
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
liquidity +180 bln since 12/27
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Sir Ivanhoe, slightly oversold, lol
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short term strength