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2022-05-18_11-51-46.jpg (990×664)
2022-05-18_12-17-28.jpg (988×663)
VIX rose modestly today but equity risk remains massively under-priced relative to credit risk...
slopechart_TZA.jpg
Diverging volume for the first time since the RUT bear began. This is likely another indication that a rally is ab...
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unnamed (9)_211.png (1280×837)
Correlation Between NASDAQ And Bitcoin Since February 1, 2022
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Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From th...
Disaster in the making...
2022-05-10.png (1280×630)
3
slopechart_TWLO.jpg
For the loss of a button, the kingdom was lost, lol
Another zombie with no P/E
2
slopechart_SPOT.jpg
Not only is this one way below its IPO price, it doesn't even have a P/E. Popular zombie that will probably be abs...
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
One day, it will be at zero, the company that has a patent on the gene sequence found in the lab made v*rus
slopechart_CROX.jpg
Stinky shoe analog
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slopechart_$SPX.jpg
1929 Analog
slopechart_DKS.jpg
Beautiful analogs
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold is getting absolutely killed, but it's not even to the downside target yet. More importantly, check out the c...
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2022-04-28_12-21-58.jpg (917×679)
2022-04-21_11-34-57.jpg (500×326)
2022-04-21_09-27-36.jpg (500×326)
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bonk.
(so far)
Fed funds vs CPI_1.jpg (1267×668)
2
2022-04-05_07-28-27.jpg (1001×647)
slopechart_IYT.jpg
Leading indicator?
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Median Home Sales Price Versus 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 1980-2022
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PE fwd multiples.jpg (993×509)
1
2022-03-22_14-03-15_0.jpg (966×624)
But have more pain to go is they are to catch down to the yield curve's reality...
2022-03-22_12-24-56.jpg (900×578)
Finally, investor pessimism has faded materially - the GS Risk Appetite Indicator (RAI) is nearly neutral again
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VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
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2008-Bear-Market-Analogy-031522.png (856×505)
MS 2018 price analog.jpg (745×489)
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
HYG vs SPX ES 2022-03-14_22-38-24.jpg (1269×677)
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From...
Copper/Gold ratio will forecast bad things to come for the cyclical macro if it drops. As yet, still in consolidation.
slopechart_EPAM.jpg
Long Epam.
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slopechart_FRPT.jpg
Gourmet food for pets, negative earnings. Sure winner, lol
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2022-02-23_12-39-16.jpg (995×561)
US corporate credit risk continues to surge...
2022-02-23_09-46-43_0.jpg (906×580)
S&P Breadth continues to weaken...
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slopechart_layered.jpg
Layered chart of IYR Covid and 2022 analog
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slopechart_layered.jpg
Here is the S&P from the late 1990s and then recent history, overlaid by way of Layered Charts.
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90lbu3ec0yi81.jpg (538×392)
3
slopechart_BYND.jpg
Put a fork into it. Earnings 2/24
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades. But with the media cacophony is anyone listening?
2022-02-14_13-10-54.jpg (956×568)
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2022-02-11_10-09-21.jpg (500×297)
inflation biden_6.jpg (761×429)
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Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio: lose this area and go dis-inflationary (at best). Hold it and turn up and it's inflation 'on'.
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credit cracking.jpg (865×467)
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slopechart_TLT.jpg
(Manual) TLT Fib projection onto the Dec high, target 120
2022-02-04_05-23-28.jpg (500×361)
The median stock in the S&P 500 Index is still roughly 20% more expensive than it was pre-pandemic and 70% more ex...
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2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
Atlanta Fed Shocker: US Economy On Verge Of Contraction
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
slopechart_HAS.jpg
If Hasbro is an indicator of what is to come -- wow -- watch out! --Look at that Analog!
slopechart_KO.jpg
Analog on Coke, if that second line cracks - oopsy - drink water it is near free.
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3v7xzwnagod81.jpg (960×947)
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If USD keeps rallying *AND* the Gold/Silver ratio also puts on an extended rally the markets are going to flush in...
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82ziyubno7d81.png (2880×1800)
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bitcoin and arkk.jpg (620×348)
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Copper/Gold ratio is macro-undecided as yet.
2022-01-19_09-09-21.jpg (633×729)
2022-01-19_09-11-02.jpg (644×730)
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Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
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Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
Inflation expectations take a hit but still aloft.
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Eth - year SMA
Pretty much just tagged it.
Trading Rules Observation in Regard. Purchase Eth if it maintains...
banks kbe
Pigs re-taking the lead = not bearish for some sizable chunks of the market. Also means bad for gold.
Precious Metals bounce; no sign of speculative froth | Notes Fro...
With silver bugs well muted, there is little sign of speculative froth going on in the precious metals bounce.
2021-12-31_10-46-56.jpg (1280×920)
With the biggest 10 stocks trading at a level the 10 largest stocks have traded at before...
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2021-12-31_10-48-40.jpg (1280×640)
"Buffett Indicator" has never been higher...
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2021-12-27_7-07-15_1.jpg (1169×842)
All of which left US stocks at their most expensive ever...
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Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence. Correction is gonna come but his bugger has been diverging since March! Patience.
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bumps positive again (big surprise). When the real move comes you'll want to be on its right sid...
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX |...
TSX-V/TSX ratio currently shows cooling inflation spec trades.
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Daily Copper/Gold ratio decision point...
bdi
BDI continues flashing negative for inflation/inflation trades...
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
nasdaq vs 200dma dec 14.jpg (1271×655)
Barely 40% of the Nasdaq's 3,000+ stocks were trading above their 200 day moving average.
fredgraph.png (950×720)
Y/Y CPI Inflation Versus 10-Year UST Yield, 1982-2021
earnings1.jpg (1280×908)
Inflation beating wage growth
slopechart_CIEN.jpg
A long play, I know it seems crazy but if she breaks upward target is 3x higher. Fundamentally company is strong.
slopechart_RH.jpg
Stock market bubble1.png (1280×740)
chinese real estate.jpg (554×403)
inflation political problem.jpg (860×445)
2021-11-24_12-13-16.jpg (1280×860)
This is an amazing chart - what a divergence!! Kind of says it all........
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slopechart_FSR.jpg
One of the weaker EV companies that is near tapping against right shoulder. Big gap to fill, early in the downtre...
slopechart_$INDU.jpg
I saw this idea expressed in a YouTube video a while back and went after illustrating it in my own fashion for gig...
RRG_CYDY,DHR,ERI,GILD,GMAB,JETS,KNWN,MRNA,SDS.jpg
slopechart_$RUT/$NDX.jpg
Channel re-entry fail
bfm7AFF.jpg (986×625)
This must be the shittiest analog I've ever seen in my life.
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Fed-BalanceSheet-SP500-101821 (1).png (964×563)
1-10.jpg (968×772)
Semi sector ready to fall
E745d7kXsAYT2-H (1112×480)
The current reading at 38.36X inflation-adjusted earnings on the S&P 500 actually stands at 241% of the long-term...
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baltic dry index, inflation expectations
A negative forward indicator for inflation and thus, the inflation trades as BDI drops hard.
slopechart_UNG.jpg
Natty still strong. Signs of a cold winter in many places