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0 (57)_2.jpg (773×528)
0 (57)_2.jpg (773×528)
USA CTA positioning is near the max exposure level and highest since 2021.
Tim Knight
0 (2)_8.jpg (1046×682)
0 (2)_8.jpg (1046×682)
BORING BORING BORING BORING
Tim Knight
0_15.jpg (1040×635)
0_15.jpg (1040×635)
Tim Knight
bfm7D32.jpg (936×598)
bfm7D32.jpg (936×598)
Tim Knight
SPY QQQ short interet.jpg (525×422)
SPY QQQ short interet.jpg (525×422)
SPY, QQQ Short Interest Drops To All-Time Low
Tim Knight
2
bfm921.jpg (936×597)
bfm921.jpg (936×597)
This is so goddamned stupid.
Tim Knight
1
bfm33A9_0.jpg (936×573)
bfm33A9_0.jpg (936×573)
Tim Knight
spx vs spw.jpg (1280×703)
spx vs spw.jpg (1280×703)
Tim Knight
bfmF0A.jpg (936×595)
bfmF0A.jpg (936×595)
Bad Breadth
Tim Knight
3
slopechart_/ES.jpg
slopechart_/ES.jpg
Hull 13/34
Baby Bear
slopechart_EFG.jpg
slopechart_EFG.jpg
somebody is loading up bigly
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_$TNX*$DXY/16.1.jpg
slopechart_$TNX*$DXY/16.1.jpg
MMRI rising
Baby Bear
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
not exactly risk on (yet)
Baby Bear
bfm11B7.jpg (934×547)
bfm11B7.jpg (934×547)
ZERO FEAR
Tim Knight
2
dual-income-1.jpg (695×694)
dual-income-1.jpg (695×694)
Tim Knight
img_0540-1_arrow.jpg (1024×744)
img_0540-1_arrow.jpg (1024×744)
Tim Knight
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
SPY Slope year end target: 535
Baby Bear
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
Risk off expressed by sectors
Baby Bear
slopechart_TLT,$VIX.jpg
slopechart_TLT,$VIX.jpg
TLT vs VIX
Baby Bear
2
slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
Dollar vs VIX
Baby Bear
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
Tim Knight
2
dgd.png
dgd.png
Top 10 market capitalization: Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me And 16T is s...
Silver Singularity
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
Tim Knight
2
bfm55D_2.jpg (921×522)
bfm55D_2.jpg (921×522)
Tim Knight
1
asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
Tim Knight
bfmD808.jpg (969×589)
bfmD808.jpg (969×589)
Tim Knight
2
spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
S&P 500 Index gained 1.6% last month, its equal-weighted counterpart slumped 0.9% (again).
Tim Knight
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
Tim Knight
2
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
Silver Singularity
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 180934.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 180934.png
This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade. As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
Silver Singularity
ggg.png
ggg.png
Silver Singularity
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
Silver Singularity
zferg.png
zferg.png
Hey I've found it, calling XIV a bubble on Jan 5 2018 The top was Jan 11th One of my most precise (and accurate...
Silver Singularity
1
Capture d'écran 2024-01-22 033551.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-22 033551.png
Some food for bears
Silver Singularity
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
liquidity +180 bln since 12/27
Baby Bear
slopechart_IE.jpg
slopechart_IE.jpg
Sir Ivanhoe, slightly oversold, lol
Baby Bear
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
short term strength
Baby Bear
slopechart_XBI.jpg
slopechart_XBI.jpg
guess the next move
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
slopechart_$BIGSUM.jpg
massive H&S forming
Baby Bear
d7dddbccfd687d19ac60c6ed159416cc.png (1337×885)
d7dddbccfd687d19ac60c6ed159416cc.png (1337×885)
NASDAQ volatility lowest in the history of the universe
Tim Knight
ce1cde179ea4e24ef68af21399d2ff8d.png (690×521)
ce1cde179ea4e24ef68af21399d2ff8d.png (690×521)
Bulls are ALL IN, higher than ever
Tim Knight
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bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
Tim Knight
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F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
Tim Knight
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
Utilities vs bonds
Baby Bear
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
so far, so good
Baby Bear
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
so far, so good
Baby Bear
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
Will we get an analog? 200 points of room
Baby Bear
1
image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
August’s past and ugly seasonality...
Tim Knight
image020 (4).png (603×291)
image020 (4).png (603×291)
Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
Tim Knight
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
Tim Knight
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
Tim Knight
slopechart_IYR.jpg
slopechart_IYR.jpg
Getting there...?
Baby Bear
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Tim Knight
net long.jpg (450×325)
net long.jpg (450×325)
Equity futures positioning
Tim Knight
image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
Tim Knight
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
Tim Knight
4
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
Tim Knight
1
SilkRoad.png
SilkRoad.png
This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
Claws
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
US Life Expectancy.
Claws
1
RGEG (1).png
RGEG (1).png
American now and then
Silver Singularity
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
Silver Singularity
2
tp6.png (1280×726)
tp6.png (1280×726)
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
Tim Knight
SoybeanOil.jpg
SoybeanOil.jpg
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
Claws
1
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
Tim Knight
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
Tim Knight
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
Tim Knight
download (47).png (715×432)
download (47).png (715×432)
US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
Tim Knight
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
Tim Knight
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
Tim Knight
file
file
Custom FAANG symbol vs QQQ
Baby Bear
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
Spyanalog
Baby Bear
6JUN20.png
6JUN20.png
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
Silver Singularity
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
Tim Knight
2
5JUN20.png
5JUN20.png
Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
Silver Singularity
2
4JUN20.png
4JUN20.png
Very interesting times to say the least
Silver Singularity
2
3JUN20.png
3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
Silver Singularity
4
2JUN20.jpg
2JUN20.jpg
Silver Singularity
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1JUN20.png
1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
Silver Singularity
2JUN19.png
2JUN19.png
Silver Singularity
4
1JUN19.png
1JUN19.png
End of an era precursor?
Silver Singularity
slopechart_CVNA.jpg
slopechart_CVNA.jpg
will we see a repeat of the cup overfloweth pattern? it may put a fork in it
Baby Bear
2
3JUN18.jpg
3JUN18.jpg
Silver Singularity
2JUN18.png
2JUN18.png
Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
Silver Singularity
2
1JUN18.png
1JUN18.png
Silver Singularity
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bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
Tim Knight
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
Tim Knight
1
746cd2f1b6e9fbb2ab2aa448b0596331.png (1176×553)
746cd2f1b6e9fbb2ab2aa448b0596331.png (1176×553)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
strictly based on the current trend, this is the projection forward, David Hunter licking his chops
Baby Bear
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
Approaching 9/2000 levels...
Baby Bear
1
bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
Tim Knight
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
Tim Knight
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
Tim Knight
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
Tim Knight
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
Tim Knight
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
Tim Knight
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
Tim Knight
1
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
Tim Knight
1
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
Tim Knight
slopechart_ELF.jpg
slopechart_ELF.jpg
5x in one year, P/E 115
Baby Bear
weaker labor markets.jpg (686×405)
weaker labor markets.jpg (686×405)
Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
Tim Knight
1