Browse Stacks: Analytics


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43e7c42e1dfba7cccd7cee9ec7fd7eb5.png (908×522)
43e7c42e1dfba7cccd7cee9ec7fd7eb5.png (908×522)
Retail investors are showing record equity weight, greater than at the peak of the dot.com bubble.
Tim Knight
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6e366cad695ec1775fb384af6a028c8e.png (426×281)
Retail sentiment at new all time highs...
Tim Knight
conf board_0.jpg (755×360)
conf board_0.jpg (755×360)
The extreme high in US households’ optimism on the equity outlook is a clear sign of froth
Tim Knight
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US exceptionalism market cap.jpg (718×356)
US exceptionalism market cap.jpg (718×356)
US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
Tim Knight
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bfa12a8380ef9c3b84507ee643115de1.png (514×508)
Tim Knight
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602c6eeb4b78ca64f0b4f445a148911f.png (840×541)
US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
Tim Knight
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slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
Jwbotbyl
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2025-01-13_05-55-40.jpg (709×397)
2025-01-13_05-55-40.jpg (709×397)
Tim Knight
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01a489e8f72b42f514e4f891796fbcc7.png (936×677)
Strong VIX seasonality kicks in soon...
Tim Knight
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Jan06_chart_v3.jpg (1280×720)
Jan06_chart_v3.jpg (1280×720)
RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
Tim Knight
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GPC1230243.png (620×376)
GPC1230243.png (620×376)
Put simply, the only reason the S&P 500 is holding up is due to a handful of large tech plays that receive a tremendo...
Tim Knight
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mwilson spx_0.jpg (1280×628)
mwilson spx_0.jpg (1280×628)
Tim Knight
fed funds vs 10y_1.jpg (1126×658)
fed funds vs 10y_1.jpg (1126×658)
Tim Knight
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6c7cd0438e8828133fc54ee7c92babd1.png (546×303)
6c7cd0438e8828133fc54ee7c92babd1.png (546×303)
Optimism exploding to the upside.
Tim Knight
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slopechart_DIA,QQQ.jpg
slopechart_DIA,QQQ.jpg
Big Tech and Industrials going separate ways, just like late 1999
Tim Knight
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US stocks vs Europe.jpg (722×532)
US stocks vs Europe.jpg (722×532)
The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
Tim Knight
0 (99)_4.jpg (1183×690)
0 (99)_4.jpg (1183×690)
The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
Tim Knight
retail expectations DB.png (1280×723)
retail expectations DB.png (1280×723)
Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
Tim Knight
3
axw spread.jpg (1126×631)
axw spread.jpg (1126×631)
AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
Tim Knight
cost to hedge.png (668×459)
cost to hedge.png (668×459)
Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
Tim Knight
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923f557dc9e6fc08cb65b0a5241d7b62.png (1340×872)
Tim Knight
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67db61a9700575b70a6243ac19ed9dbe.png (1503×718)
put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
Tim Knight
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9c525323fa30eb533e5e3031a991969f.png (1087×718)
Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
Tim Knight
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0 (61)_4.jpg (1028×575)
the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth
Tim Knight
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0 (56)_5.jpg (1018×614)
one should NOT try to time the markets, as missing the ten BEST days is a serious drag on returns (gray line).
Tim Knight
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euphoriameter 2.jpg (1280×899)
euphoriameter 2.jpg (1280×899)
To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
Tim Knight
risk off on.jpg (1278×847)
risk off on.jpg (1278×847)
Tim Knight
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2024-12-03_08-36-41.jpg (722×460)
Tim Knight
2024-12-03_08-29-44.jpg (721×463)
2024-12-03_08-29-44.jpg (721×463)
Tim Knight
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VolatilityGrid_AMD,CAT,CC,HAL,SMH,XOP.jpg
VolatilityGrid_AMD,CAT,CC,HAL,SMH,XOP.jpg
Volatility matrix of seven of the short positions I've got
Tim Knight
1
RRG_AMD,CAT,CC,HAL,SMH,XOP.jpg
RRG_AMD,CAT,CC,HAL,SMH,XOP.jpg
RRG of six short positions
Tim Knight
image-223.jpg (1022×580)
image-223.jpg (1022×580)
Tim Knight
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image-208 (1).jpg (815×456)
Tim Knight
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image-221.jpg (564×461)
Tim Knight
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NAAIM-Index--1024x570.jpg (1024×570)
Tim Knight
Household-Equity-Allocaitons-vs_0.jpg (1024×494)
Household-Equity-Allocaitons-vs_0.jpg (1024×494)
Highest stock allocation EVER
Tim Knight
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1c0d0d8ca1e9d55096268abb96c0b230.png (1581×760)
US credit protection, CDX IG, has collapsed to new recent lows. The European version, iTraxx main, has exploded to...
Tim Knight
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4d41638ad30ba738bf6b71ad40ff0279.png (1582×762)
Bond and equity volatility at post Trump lows...
Tim Knight
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b59b23e539ede2836263503534651a1c.png (1194×590)
All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
Tim Knight
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2024-11-29_07-52-24.jpg (711×466)
Tim Knight
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CMV Aggregate Index Score - Speedometer Chart
CMV Aggregate Index Score - Speedometer Chart
Wow
Tim Knight
98ab23dd5278458ecc58200d5a1f44a9.png (770×480)
98ab23dd5278458ecc58200d5a1f44a9.png (770×480)
RECORD HIGH SENTIMENT
Tim Knight
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38967667caa21141f62bdac33a6b21c8.png (681×488)
Tim Knight
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0 - 2024-11-26T095010.554_1.jpg (989×590)
Seasonality at play
Tim Knight
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slopechart_$DJX,PFE.jpg
slopechart_$DJX,PFE.jpg
oops
Baby Bear
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3623946ae76d7ed6c0dc4206d5f529e0.png (770×510)
Batshit valuations. This would be the equivalent of me selling my tiny company Prophet.net for almost a billion dollars.
Tim Knight
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spy.JPG (1280×722)
spy.JPG (1280×722)
Tim Knight
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slopechart_$VVIX.jpg
slopechart_$VVIX.jpg
VVIX rising
Baby Bear
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image-8-1024x616.jpg (1024×616)
Tim Knight
0 - 2024-10-15T081942.783.jpg (767×541)
0 - 2024-10-15T081942.783.jpg (767×541)
Next week is the Superbowl of quarterly earnings where 37% of the S&P 500 reports earnings.
Tim Knight
bfmDA8F_0.gif (736×398)
bfmDA8F_0.gif (736×398)
Bears EXTINCT
Tim Knight
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slopechart_$SPX/FR:CURRCIR.jpg
slopechart_$SPX/FR:CURRCIR.jpg
Haha, and you thought markets are sooo overvalued
Baby Bear
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bfmACC1_0.gif (736×393)
bfmACC1_0.gif (736×393)
Inflation is going to go ape shit
Tim Knight
3
slopechart_SPY,RSP.jpg
slopechart_SPY,RSP.jpg
started to diverge May '23
Baby Bear
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sept is ugly.jpg (1277×622)
sept is ugly.jpg (1277×622)
September's second half is a playground for bears - down a whopping 5.7% on average since 2020, without a single S...
Tim Knight
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sept 2nd half worst 2 weeks.png (585×397)
sept 2nd half worst 2 weeks.png (585×397)
The second half of September is notoriously the worst 2-week period of the year, with stocks historically averagin...
Tim Knight
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6b5452d028ebb45b96682a98e5b8a792.png (937×677)
VIX has strong seasonality from here until early October.
Tim Knight
slopechart_/GC//CL.jpg
slopechart_/GC//CL.jpg
Gold vs Oil Treasury proxy
Baby Bear
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
risk off again
Baby Bear
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f09729163ad0e3ede7552b638a075193.png (1341×861)
Tim Knight
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218196cc65b401b6396d8edf7f1f69e7.png (1347×875)
Tim Knight
bfm3F92_0.jpg (937×502)
bfm3F92_0.jpg (937×502)
From almost 70 to 18 in six trading days
Tim Knight
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GTNQNsbaYAID0aU (1170×617)
GTNQNsbaYAID0aU (1170×617)
Tim Knight
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0 (57)_2.jpg (773×528)
USA CTA positioning is near the max exposure level and highest since 2021.
Tim Knight
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0 (2)_8.jpg (1046×682)
BORING BORING BORING BORING
Tim Knight
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0_15.jpg (1040×635)
Tim Knight
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bfm7D32.jpg (936×598)
Tim Knight
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SPY QQQ short interet.jpg (525×422)
SPY, QQQ Short Interest Drops To All-Time Low
Tim Knight
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bfm921.jpg (936×597)
This is so goddamned stupid.
Tim Knight
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bfm33A9_0.jpg (936×573)
Tim Knight
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spx vs spw.jpg (1280×703)
Tim Knight
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bfmF0A.jpg (936×595)
Bad Breadth
Tim Knight
3
slopechart_/ES.jpg
slopechart_/ES.jpg
Hull 13/34
Baby Bear
slopechart_EFG.jpg
slopechart_EFG.jpg
somebody is loading up bigly
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_$TNX*$DXY/16.1.jpg
slopechart_$TNX*$DXY/16.1.jpg
MMRI rising
Baby Bear
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
not exactly risk on (yet)
Baby Bear
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bfm11B7.jpg (934×547)
ZERO FEAR
Tim Knight
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dual-income-1.jpg (695×694)
Tim Knight
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img_0540-1_arrow.jpg (1024×744)
Tim Knight
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
SPY Slope year end target: 535
Baby Bear
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
Risk off expressed by sectors
Baby Bear
slopechart_TLT,$VIX.jpg
slopechart_TLT,$VIX.jpg
TLT vs VIX
Baby Bear
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slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
slopechart_$DXY,$VIX.jpg
Dollar vs VIX
Baby Bear
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
Tim Knight
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dgd.png
dgd.png
Top 10 market capitalization: Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me And 16T is s...
Silver Singularity
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
Tim Knight
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bfm55D_2.jpg (921×522)
Tim Knight
1
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asset managers futs.jpg (1280×687)
Tim Knight
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bfmD808.jpg (969×589)
Tim Knight
2
spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
spx cap equal.jpg (1274×706)
S&P 500 Index gained 1.6% last month, its equal-weighted counterpart slumped 0.9% (again).
Tim Knight
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
Tim Knight
2
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
Silver Singularity
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 180934.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 180934.png
This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade. As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
Silver Singularity
ggg.png
ggg.png
Silver Singularity
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
Silver Singularity
zferg.png
zferg.png
Hey I've found it, calling XIV a bubble on Jan 5 2018 The top was Jan 11th One of my most precise (and accurate...
Silver Singularity
1
Capture d'écran 2024-01-22 033551.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-22 033551.png
Some food for bears
Silver Singularity
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
slopechart_FR:WALCL-FR:RRPONTSYD*1000-FR:WTREGEN*1000.jpg
liquidity +180 bln since 12/27
Baby Bear
slopechart_IE.jpg
slopechart_IE.jpg
Sir Ivanhoe, slightly oversold, lol
Baby Bear
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
slopechart_ADBE.jpg
short term strength
Baby Bear