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Utilities vs bonds
so far, so good
so far, so good
Will we get an analog? 200 points of room
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August’s past and ugly seasonality...
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Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
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Equity futures positioning
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Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
US Life Expectancy.
American now and then
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
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"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
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US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
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Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
Custom FAANG symbol vs QQQ
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
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S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
Very interesting times to say the least
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
End of an era precursor?
will we see a repeat of the cup overfloweth pattern? it may put a fork in it
Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
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strictly based on the current trend, this is the projection forward, David Hunter licking his chops
Approaching 9/2000 levels...
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
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The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
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The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
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It is unusual to have breadth this low.
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Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
5x in one year, P/E 115
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Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
The AAII bull-bear spread has moved sharply higher.
P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
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Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
The GS "Risk Appetite Indicator" is breaking out to levels not seen in close to 2 years.
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
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NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
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50/100 MA Cross. Seems a decent chart.
Released negative outlook ahead of earnings, bummer on playing this for earnings
Curious if it can survive? Negative EPS, no meat to the bone
Getting close to the trend line
Americans' Consumer Sentiment Slumps As 'Current Conditions' Crash To 18-Month Lows
IWZM Dark pool at EOD highs VolumeLeaders.com
$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
Lots of room to the downside