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S&P all time high will make the history books: it will happen with the most negative market breadth at an ATH on record.
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No one gives a shit, but BUFFETT INDICATOR HAS NEVER BEEN HIGHER.............EVER!!!!!!!!
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S&P 1m IV levels are just off 1yr lows and screen as extremely cheap when taking into account all of September’s...
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September is comfortably in first place as the worst month of the year for the S&P 500 with an average return of -...
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SPX has moved in very close tandem with bond volatility this entire year. The most recent gap between SPX and MOVE...
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CTA positioning in US equities officially sits in the 100th percentile and is maxed out.
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Hedge funds back to "all-in"
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From Zerohedge (of course). Are you fucking KIDDING me?
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Seasonality isn’t your friend from now til mid-September
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risk ON
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This is either indicative of a forthcoming selloff or the recap of a REALLY good wedding night.
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SHORT SQUEEZE analog
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30yr UST yields now > S&P EPS yield for the 1st time in 23 years.
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So the so-called 'Smart Money' is piling into shorts as prices rise... and at the same time - as we detailed earli...
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Hedge Fund shorts as a percentage of total open interest reached 41% - the max dating back to February of 2021.
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Over the past 3 COT reports, Hedge Fund shorts surged ~$25bn - the largest amount for at least the past 10 years.
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NO ONE is buying puts anymore.
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The permabull nut-jobs at Zerohedge are actually suggesting a 1997 analog. Yeah, guys, fine.
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The gargantuan spread between earnings and price.
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GBP/USD Mini short. So far so good! 45 minutes to go to fiscal armageddon.
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SPY weekly with 50 SMA
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Record polarization: Democrats expect inflation to explode to 6.5% this year while Republicans expect no inflation...
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VIX saw its biggest daily decline since the shit started hitting the fan a month ago, breaking down from over 29 t...
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Platinum, Palladium unloved
Nickel, Cobalt, Lithium not faring better
is it about engines?
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Retail investors are showing record equity weight, greater than at the peak of the dot.com bubble.
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Retail sentiment at new all time highs...
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The extreme high in US households’ optimism on the equity outlook is a clear sign of froth
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US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
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US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
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Strong VIX seasonality kicks in soon...
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RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
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Put simply, the only reason the S&P 500 is holding up is due to a handful of large tech plays that receive a tremendo...
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Optimism exploding to the upside.
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Big Tech and Industrials going separate ways, just like late 1999
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The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
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The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
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Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
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AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
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Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
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put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
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Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
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the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth
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one should NOT try to time the markets, as missing the ten BEST days is a serious drag on returns (gray line).
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To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
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Volatility matrix of seven of the short positions I've got
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RRG of six short positions
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Highest stock allocation EVER
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US credit protection, CDX IG, has collapsed to new recent lows. The European version, iTraxx main, has exploded to...
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Bond and equity volatility at post Trump lows...
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All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
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CMV Aggregate Index Score - Speedometer Chart
Wow
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RECORD HIGH SENTIMENT
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Seasonality at play
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oops
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Batshit valuations. This would be the equivalent of me selling my tiny company Prophet.net for almost a billion dollars.
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VVIX rising
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Next week is the Superbowl of quarterly earnings where 37% of the S&P 500 reports earnings.
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Bears EXTINCT
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Haha, and you thought markets are sooo overvalued
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Inflation is going to go ape shit
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started to diverge May '23
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