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2022-05-18_11-51-46.jpg (990×664)
2022-05-18_11-51-46.jpg (990×664)
Tim Knight
2022-05-18_12-17-28.jpg (988×663)
2022-05-18_12-17-28.jpg (988×663)
VIX rose modestly today but equity risk remains massively under-priced relative to credit risk...
Tim Knight
slopechart_TZA.jpg
slopechart_TZA.jpg
Diverging volume for the first time since the RUT bear began. This is likely another indication that a rally is ab...
DoubleNaughtSpy
1
unnamed (9)_211.png (1280×837)
unnamed (9)_211.png (1280×837)
Correlation Between NASDAQ And Bitcoin Since February 1, 2022
Tim Knight
3
Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Credit Spreads ticking new highs for the cycle – Notes From th...
Disaster in the making...
NFTRH
2022-05-10.png (1280×630)
2022-05-10.png (1280×630)
Tim Knight
3
slopechart_TWLO.jpg
slopechart_TWLO.jpg
For the loss of a button, the kingdom was lost, lol Another zombie with no P/E
Baby Bear
2
slopechart_SPOT.jpg
slopechart_SPOT.jpg
Not only is this one way below its IPO price, it doesn't even have a P/E. Popular zombie that will probably be abs...
Baby Bear
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
One day, it will be at zero, the company that has a patent on the gene sequence found in the lab made v*rus
Baby Bear
slopechart_CROX.jpg
slopechart_CROX.jpg
Stinky shoe analog
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
1929 Analog
Baby Bear
slopechart_DKS.jpg
slopechart_DKS.jpg
Beautiful analogs
Baby Bear
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper: Finally the breakdown? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold is getting absolutely killed, but it's not even to the downside target yet. More importantly, check out the c...
NFTRH
2
2022-04-28_12-21-58.jpg (917×679)
2022-04-28_12-21-58.jpg (917×679)
Tim Knight
2022-04-21_11-34-57.jpg (500×326)
2022-04-21_11-34-57.jpg (500×326)
Tim Knight
2022-04-21_09-27-36.jpg (500×326)
2022-04-21_09-27-36.jpg (500×326)
Tim Knight
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bonk. (so far)
sandunes
Fed funds vs CPI_1.jpg (1267×668)
Fed funds vs CPI_1.jpg (1267×668)
Tim Knight
2
2022-04-05_07-28-27.jpg (1001×647)
2022-04-05_07-28-27.jpg (1001×647)
Tim Knight
slopechart_IYT.jpg
slopechart_IYT.jpg
Leading indicator?
Baby Bear
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Median Home Sales Price Versus 30-Year Mortgage Rate, 1980-2022
Tim Knight
2
PE fwd multiples.jpg (993×509)
PE fwd multiples.jpg (993×509)
Tim Knight
1
2022-03-22_14-03-15_0.jpg (966×624)
2022-03-22_14-03-15_0.jpg (966×624)
But have more pain to go is they are to catch down to the yield curve's reality...
Tim Knight
2022-03-22_12-24-56.jpg (900×578)
2022-03-22_12-24-56.jpg (900×578)
Finally, investor pessimism has faded materially - the GS Risk Appetite Indicator (RAI) is nearly neutral again
Tim Knight
1
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
NFTRH
1
2008-Bear-Market-Analogy-031522.png (856×505)
2008-Bear-Market-Analogy-031522.png (856×505)
Tim Knight
MS 2018 price analog.jpg (745×489)
MS 2018 price analog.jpg (745×489)
Tim Knight
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
NFTRH
high yield credit spreads
high yield credit spreads
Rising credit spreads not positive for economy (Captain Obvious).
NFTRH
HYG vs SPX ES 2022-03-14_22-38-24.jpg (1269×677)
HYG vs SPX ES 2022-03-14_22-38-24.jpg (1269×677)
Tim Knight
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
Tim Knight
Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
Real-Oil-Price-Deviation-From-Trend-030422.png (542×360)
Tim Knight
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper among pre-market’s harsh reversals | Notes From...
Copper/Gold ratio will forecast bad things to come for the cyclical macro if it drops. As yet, still in consolidation.
NFTRH
slopechart_EPAM.jpg
slopechart_EPAM.jpg
Long Epam.
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_FRPT.jpg
slopechart_FRPT.jpg
Gourmet food for pets, negative earnings. Sure winner, lol
Baby Bear
3
2022-02-23_12-39-16.jpg (995×561)
2022-02-23_12-39-16.jpg (995×561)
US corporate credit risk continues to surge...
Tim Knight
2022-02-23_09-46-43_0.jpg (906×580)
2022-02-23_09-46-43_0.jpg (906×580)
S&P Breadth continues to weaken...
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_layered.jpg
slopechart_layered.jpg
Layered chart of IYR Covid and 2022 analog
Tim Knight
2
slopechart_layered.jpg
slopechart_layered.jpg
Here is the S&P from the late 1990s and then recent history, overlaid by way of Layered Charts.
Tim Knight
3
90lbu3ec0yi81.jpg (538×392)
90lbu3ec0yi81.jpg (538×392)
Tim Knight
3
slopechart_BYND.jpg
slopechart_BYND.jpg
Put a fork into it. Earnings 2/24
Baby Bear
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades | No...
Gold/Silver ratio continues to diverge the inflation trades. But with the media cacophony is anyone listening?
NFTRH
2022-02-14_13-10-54.jpg (956×568)
2022-02-14_13-10-54.jpg (956×568)
Tim Knight
1
2022-02-11_10-09-21.jpg (500×297)
2022-02-11_10-09-21.jpg (500×297)
Tim Knight
inflation biden_6.jpg (761×429)
inflation biden_6.jpg (761×429)
Tim Knight
1
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Fed Jawbones mean business | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Check out the orange line. Fed jawbones are not kidding. They are listening to what the bond market is DEMANDING o...
NFTRH
silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio: lose this area and go dis-inflationary (at best). Hold it and turn up and it's inflation 'on'.
NFTRH
1
credit cracking.jpg (865×467)
credit cracking.jpg (865×467)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_TLT.jpg
slopechart_TLT.jpg
(Manual) TLT Fib projection onto the Dec high, target 120
Baby Bear
2022-02-04_05-23-28.jpg (500×361)
2022-02-04_05-23-28.jpg (500×361)
The median stock in the S&P 500 Index is still roughly 20% more expensive than it was pre-pandemic and 70% more ex...
Tim Knight
2
2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
2022-01-28_08-59-07.jpg (1006×541)
Atlanta Fed Shocker: US Economy On Verge Of Contraction
Tim Knight
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
NFTRH
slopechart_HAS.jpg
slopechart_HAS.jpg
If Hasbro is an indicator of what is to come -- wow -- watch out! --Look at that Analog!
DadTrader
slopechart_KO.jpg
slopechart_KO.jpg
Analog on Coke, if that second line cracks - oopsy - drink water it is near free.
DadTrader
1
3v7xzwnagod81.jpg (960×947)
3v7xzwnagod81.jpg (960×947)
Tim Knight
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
NFTRH
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
USD & Gold/Silver ratio each bounce | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If USD keeps rallying *AND* the Gold/Silver ratio also puts on an extended rally the markets are going to flush in...
NFTRH
1
82ziyubno7d81.png (2880×1800)
82ziyubno7d81.png (2880×1800)
Tim Knight
2
bitcoin and arkk.jpg (620×348)
bitcoin and arkk.jpg (620×348)
Tim Knight
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
NFTRH
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Copper/Gold ratio is macro-undecided as yet.
NFTRH
2022-01-19_09-09-21.jpg (633×729)
2022-01-19_09-09-21.jpg (633×729)
Tim Knight
2022-01-19_09-11-02.jpg (644×730)
2022-01-19_09-11-02.jpg (644×730)
Tim Knight
1
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
NFTRH
2
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
If inflation trades do continue, have max caution at the red lined limiters (around 2.5% on the 30yr).
NFTRH
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Two important macro indicators remain intact | Notes From the Ra...
Inflation expectations take a hit but still aloft.
NFTRH
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Eth - year SMA Pretty much just tagged it. Trading Rules Observation in Regard. Purchase Eth if it maintains...
sandunes
banks kbe
banks kbe
Pigs re-taking the lead = not bearish for some sizable chunks of the market. Also means bad for gold.
NFTRH
Precious Metals bounce; no sign of speculative froth | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Precious Metals bounce; no sign of speculative froth | Notes Fro...
With silver bugs well muted, there is little sign of speculative froth going on in the precious metals bounce.
NFTRH
2021-12-31_10-46-56.jpg (1280×920)
2021-12-31_10-46-56.jpg (1280×920)
With the biggest 10 stocks trading at a level the 10 largest stocks have traded at before...
Tim Knight
1
2021-12-31_10-48-40.jpg (1280×640)
2021-12-31_10-48-40.jpg (1280×640)
"Buffett Indicator" has never been higher...
Tim Knight
1
2021-12-27_7-07-15_1.jpg (1169×842)
2021-12-27_7-07-15_1.jpg (1169×842)
All of which left US stocks at their most expensive ever...
Tim Knight
1
Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Equal weight SPX negative divergence. Correction is gonna come but his bugger has been diverging since March! Patience.
NFTRH
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Say, do you think risk is still ‘on’? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Message from junk bond land... risk still 'on' as of now.
NFTRH
copper/gold ratio
copper/gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bumps positive again (big surprise). When the real move comes you'll want to be on its right sid...
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
NFTRH
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A look at inflationary dynamics through the lens of TSX-V/TSX |...
TSX-V/TSX ratio currently shows cooling inflation spec trades.
NFTRH
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
NFTRH
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Daily Copper/Gold ratio decision point...
NFTRH
bdi
bdi
BDI continues flashing negative for inflation/inflation trades...
NFTRH
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this are… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Fed is not directing the markets, but indicators like this a...
The Fed is not directing markets, but the 2yr yield and indicators like this (credit spreads) most assuredly are...
NFTRH
nasdaq vs 200dma dec 14.jpg (1271×655)
nasdaq vs 200dma dec 14.jpg (1271×655)
Barely 40% of the Nasdaq's 3,000+ stocks were trading above their 200 day moving average.
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (950×720)
fredgraph.png (950×720)
Y/Y CPI Inflation Versus 10-Year UST Yield, 1982-2021
Tim Knight
earnings1.jpg (1280×908)
earnings1.jpg (1280×908)
Inflation beating wage growth
Tim Knight
slopechart_CIEN.jpg
slopechart_CIEN.jpg
A long play, I know it seems crazy but if she breaks upward target is 3x higher. Fundamentally company is strong.
damicsjd
slopechart_RH.jpg
slopechart_RH.jpg
DadTrader
Stock market bubble1.png (1280×740)
Stock market bubble1.png (1280×740)
Tim Knight
chinese real estate.jpg (554×403)
chinese real estate.jpg (554×403)
Tim Knight
inflation political problem.jpg (860×445)
inflation political problem.jpg (860×445)
Tim Knight
2021-11-24_12-13-16.jpg (1280×860)
2021-11-24_12-13-16.jpg (1280×860)
This is an amazing chart - what a divergence!! Kind of says it all........
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_FSR.jpg
slopechart_FSR.jpg
One of the weaker EV companies that is near tapping against right shoulder. Big gap to fill, early in the downtre...
Honduki
slopechart_$INDU.jpg
slopechart_$INDU.jpg
I saw this idea expressed in a YouTube video a while back and went after illustrating it in my own fashion for gig...
sandunes
RRG_CYDY,DHR,ERI,GILD,GMAB,JETS,KNWN,MRNA,SDS.jpg
RRG_CYDY,DHR,ERI,GILD,GMAB,JETS,KNWN,MRNA,SDS.jpg
Don
slopechart_$RUT/$NDX.jpg
slopechart_$RUT/$NDX.jpg
Channel re-entry fail
Baby Bear
bfm7AFF.jpg (986×625)
bfm7AFF.jpg (986×625)
This must be the shittiest analog I've ever seen in my life.
Tim Knight
1
Fed-BalanceSheet-SP500-101821 (1).png (964×563)
Fed-BalanceSheet-SP500-101821 (1).png (964×563)
Tim Knight
1-10.jpg (968×772)
1-10.jpg (968×772)
Semi sector ready to fall
Tim Knight
E745d7kXsAYT2-H (1112×480)
E745d7kXsAYT2-H (1112×480)
The current reading at 38.36X inflation-adjusted earnings on the S&P 500 actually stands at 241% of the long-term...
Tim Knight
1
baltic dry index, inflation expectations
baltic dry index, inflation expectations
A negative forward indicator for inflation and thus, the inflation trades as BDI drops hard.
NFTRH
slopechart_UNG.jpg
slopechart_UNG.jpg
Natty still strong. Signs of a cold winter in many places
Baby Bear