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bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
bfm646B.jpg (937×505)
Tim Knight
2
F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
Tim Knight
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
slopechart_XLU,TLT.jpg
Utilities vs bonds
Baby Bear
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
so far, so good
Baby Bear
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
so far, so good
Baby Bear
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
Will we get an analog? 200 points of room
Baby Bear
1
image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
image024 (2).jpg (592×738)
August’s past and ugly seasonality...
Tim Knight
image020 (4).png (603×291)
image020 (4).png (603×291)
Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
Tim Knight
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
bfm838F_0.jpg (903×592)
Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
Tim Knight
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
Tim Knight
slopechart_IYR.jpg
slopechart_IYR.jpg
Getting there...?
Baby Bear
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Debt-Free-Growth-Economic-Deficit.jpg (883×519)
Tim Knight
net long.jpg (450×325)
net long.jpg (450×325)
Equity futures positioning
Tim Knight
image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
image (55)_0.png (1258×678)
Tim Knight
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
Tim Knight
4
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
Tim Knight
1
SilkRoad.png
SilkRoad.png
This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
Claws
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
USlifeexpectancy.jpg
US Life Expectancy.
Claws
1
RGEG (1).png
RGEG (1).png
American now and then
Silver Singularity
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
Silver Singularity
2
tp6.png (1280×726)
tp6.png (1280×726)
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
Tim Knight
SoybeanOil.jpg
SoybeanOil.jpg
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
Claws
1
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
Tim Knight
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
Tim Knight
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
Tim Knight
download (47).png (715×432)
download (47).png (715×432)
US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
Tim Knight
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
Tim Knight
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
Tim Knight
file
file
Custom FAANG symbol vs QQQ
Baby Bear
slopechart_SPY.jpg
slopechart_SPY.jpg
Spyanalog
Baby Bear
6JUN20.png
6JUN20.png
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
Silver Singularity
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
Tim Knight
2
5JUN20.png
5JUN20.png
Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
Silver Singularity
2
4JUN20.png
4JUN20.png
Very interesting times to say the least
Silver Singularity
2
3JUN20.png
3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
Silver Singularity
4
2JUN20.jpg
2JUN20.jpg
Silver Singularity
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1JUN20.png
1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
Silver Singularity
2JUN19.png
2JUN19.png
Silver Singularity
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1JUN19.png
1JUN19.png
End of an era precursor?
Silver Singularity
slopechart_CVNA.jpg
slopechart_CVNA.jpg
will we see a repeat of the cup overfloweth pattern? it may put a fork in it
Baby Bear
2
3JUN18.jpg
3JUN18.jpg
Silver Singularity
2JUN18.png
2JUN18.png
Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
Silver Singularity
2
1JUN18.png
1JUN18.png
Silver Singularity
7
bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
Tim Knight
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
bulls v bears.png (775×578)
Tim Knight
1
746cd2f1b6e9fbb2ab2aa448b0596331.png (1176×553)
746cd2f1b6e9fbb2ab2aa448b0596331.png (1176×553)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
strictly based on the current trend, this is the projection forward, David Hunter licking his chops
Baby Bear
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
Approaching 9/2000 levels...
Baby Bear
1
bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
bfmCF8A.jpg (1016×569)
Tim Knight
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
Tim Knight
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
Tim Knight
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
Tim Knight
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
bfmA1C8.jpg (941×565)
Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
Tim Knight
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
Tim Knight
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
Tim Knight
1
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
Tim Knight
1
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
nasdaq adv decliner 4.26.jpg (1274×686)
Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
Tim Knight
slopechart_ELF.jpg
slopechart_ELF.jpg
5x in one year, P/E 115
Baby Bear
weaker labor markets.jpg (686×405)
weaker labor markets.jpg (686×405)
Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
Tim Knight
1
idokxoqh2osa1.png (680×415)
idokxoqh2osa1.png (680×415)
Tim Knight
d5cc55658a578d23603f5be9dfc25047.png (994×626)
d5cc55658a578d23603f5be9dfc25047.png (994×626)
The AAII bull-bear spread has moved sharply higher.
Tim Knight
1
bfm7343.jpg (990×660)
bfm7343.jpg (990×660)
P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
Tim Knight
1
22dde88c3fbc251022513b9265324da6.png (1340×876)
22dde88c3fbc251022513b9265324da6.png (1340×876)
The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
Tim Knight
bfm4B38_1.jpg (976×622)
bfm4B38_1.jpg (976×622)
Tim Knight
A deflationary yield curve steepener
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
NFTRH
2023-03-06_14-35-20.jpg (1280×768)
2023-03-06_14-35-20.jpg (1280×768)
Tim Knight
bfm4CCB.jpg (1053×585)
bfm4CCB.jpg (1053×585)
The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Tim Knight
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
NFTRH
slopechart_BILL.jpg
slopechart_BILL.jpg
Beautiful
Baby Bear
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
Tim Knight
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
Tim Knight
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
Tim Knight
2023-02-17_09-58-14.jpg (569×369)
2023-02-17_09-58-14.jpg (569×369)
Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
Tim Knight
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
Tim Knight
unnamed_888.png (667×413)
unnamed_888.png (667×413)
The GS "Risk Appetite Indicator" is breaking out to levels not seen in close to 2 years.
Tim Knight
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GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
NFTRH
2
unnamed (7)_655.png (1280×865)
unnamed (7)_655.png (1280×865)
NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Tim Knight
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
NFTRH
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
NFTRH
mr7hso3y8n6a1.jpg (640×661)
mr7hso3y8n6a1.jpg (640×661)
Tim Knight
4
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
NFTRH
1
m2 money supply
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
NFTRH
1
household vs establishment dec 2022 delta.jpg (1280×754)
household vs establishment dec 2022 delta.jpg (1280×754)
Tim Knight
1
2022-11-28_12-37-55.jpg (948×542)
2022-11-28_12-37-55.jpg (948×542)
Tim Knight
2
HrEet1Q.png (1155×655)
HrEet1Q.png (1155×655)
Tim Knight
2022-11-22_12-52-01.jpg (952×545)
2022-11-22_12-52-01.jpg (952×545)
Tim Knight
image-10.png (979×780)
image-10.png (979×780)
Tim Knight
image-12.png (980×778)
image-12.png (980×778)
Tim Knight
slopechart_JOE.jpg
slopechart_JOE.jpg
50/100 MA Cross. Seems a decent chart.
kingofthenw
slopechart_OLPX.jpg
slopechart_OLPX.jpg
Released negative outlook ahead of earnings, bummer on playing this for earnings
Baby Bear
slopechart_CURI.jpg
slopechart_CURI.jpg
Curious if it can survive? Negative EPS, no meat to the bone
Baby Bear
pprzfdkxofx91.jpg (640×326)
pprzfdkxofx91.jpg (640×326)
Tim Knight
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_ITB.jpg
slopechart_ITB.jpg
Getting close to the trend line
Baby Bear
2022-10-25_07-03-08.jpg (932×575)
2022-10-25_07-03-08.jpg (932×575)
Americans' Consumer Sentiment Slumps As 'Current Conditions' Crash To 18-Month Lows
Tim Knight
3
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._eAuPJQ_l.png
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._eAuPJQ_l.png
IWZM Dark pool at EOD highs VolumeLeaders.com
007 perky pooper
2022-10-21_09-51-47.jpg (975×617)
2022-10-21_09-51-47.jpg (975×617)
Tim Knight
1
VIX.jpg
VIX.jpg
$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Claws
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
NFTRH
slopechart_ITB.jpg
slopechart_ITB.jpg
Lots of room to the downside
Baby Bear
2