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F4tLZuZakAEel7p (730×518)
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Utilities vs bonds
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so far, so good
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so far, so good
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Will we get an analog? 200 points of room
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August’s past and ugly seasonality...
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Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
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Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
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Getting there...?
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Equity futures positioning
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Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
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US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
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This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
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US Life Expectancy.
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American now and then
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Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
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Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
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Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
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"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
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US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
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Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
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Custom FAANG symbol vs QQQ
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Spyanalog
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Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
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S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
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Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
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Very interesting times to say the least
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Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
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French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
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End of an era precursor?
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will we see a repeat of the cup overfloweth pattern? it may put a fork in it
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Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
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strictly based on the current trend, this is the projection forward, David Hunter licking his chops
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Approaching 9/2000 levels...
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Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
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And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
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May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
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Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
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The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
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The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
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It is unusual to have breadth this low.
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Nasdaq breadth defined in this case by the advance/decline ratio, just hit a record low!
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5x in one year, P/E 115
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Weaker labor market allows Fed to cut aggressively
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The AAII bull-bear spread has moved sharply higher.
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P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
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The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
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A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
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The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
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Beautiful
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Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
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Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
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The GS "Risk Appetite Indicator" is breaking out to levels not seen in close to 2 years.
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GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
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NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Philly Fed manufacturing survey for december
Philly Fed has decline to the pleasant 'Goldilocks' zone, conveniently during the Q4-Q1 market relief seasonal pha...
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
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u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
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m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
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50/100 MA Cross. Seems a decent chart.
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Released negative outlook ahead of earnings, bummer on playing this for earnings
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Curious if it can survive?
Negative EPS, no meat to the bone
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Getting close to the trend line
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Americans' Consumer Sentiment Slumps As 'Current Conditions' Crash To 18-Month Lows
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IWZM Dark pool at EOD highs
VolumeLeaders.com
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$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
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Lots of room to the downside
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