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Analytics
: Sentiment
trump 100 chart 7.jpg (1280×730)
vix futs in stress.jpg (1123×680)
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VIX saw its biggest daily decline since the shit started hitting the fan a month ago, breaking down from over 29 t...
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Platinum, Palladium unloved Nickel, Cobalt, Lithium not faring better is it about engines?
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Retail investors are showing record equity weight, greater than at the peak of the dot.com bubble.
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Retail sentiment at new all time highs...
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The extreme high in US households’ optimism on the equity outlook is a clear sign of froth
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Optimism exploding to the upside.
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retail expectations DB.png (1280×723)
Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
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AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
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Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
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put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
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Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
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To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
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NAAIM-Index--1024x570.jpg (1024×570)
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Highest stock allocation EVER
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US credit protection, CDX IG, has collapsed to new recent lows. The European version, iTraxx main, has exploded to...
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Bond and equity volatility at post Trump lows...
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All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
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1
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RECORD HIGH SENTIMENT
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slopechart_$DJX,PFE.jpg
oops
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VVIX rising
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Bears EXTINCT
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VIX has strong seasonality from here until early October.
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From almost 70 to 18 in six trading days
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USA CTA positioning is near the max exposure level and highest since 2021.
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BORING BORING BORING BORING
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SPY, QQQ Short Interest Drops To All-Time Low
2
slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
not exactly risk on (yet)
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ZERO FEAR
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slopechart_(XLK+XLC+XLY)/(XLU+XLP+XLV).jpg
Risk off expressed by sectors
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biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
2
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NASDAQ volatility lowest in the history of the universe
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Bulls are ALL IN, higher than ever
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August’s past and ugly seasonality...
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Dealer positioning dynamic into August expiration, being extremely short VIX Calls
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Nomura Warns Of Imminent VIXplosion
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Equity futures positioning
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This is what happened to the price of Bitcoin when the darknet website "Silk Road" was shutdown. Silk Road was rep...
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US Life Expectancy.
1
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US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
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Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
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Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
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S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
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Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
2
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Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
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3JUN18.jpg
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1
slopechart_IWM/QQQ.jpg
Approaching 9/2000 levels...
1
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Bear in mind that the last two times that the options market has been this exuberant (or ignorant of risk) have ma...
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Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
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Debt-Ceiling drama is fading fast with USA CDS compressing..
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The AAII bull-bear spread has moved sharply higher.
1
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Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
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The GS "Risk Appetite Indicator" is breaking out to levels not seen in close to 2 years.
1
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
2
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NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
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Americans' Consumer Sentiment Slumps As 'Current Conditions' Crash To 18-Month Lows
3
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GS Sentiment Indicator remains in “light” territory, that is far from extreme extremes.
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1
Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
2022-07-26_07-09-44.jpg (970×641)
Conference Board Confidence Tumbles As 'Hope' Hits 9-Year-Low
1
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slopechart_IYT.jpg
Leading indicator?
2022-03-22_12-24-56.jpg (900×578)
Finally, investor pessimism has faded materially - the GS Risk Appetite Indicator (RAI) is nearly neutral again
1
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
1
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US corporate credit risk continues to surge...
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Precious Metals bounce; no sign of speculative froth | Notes Fro...
With silver bugs well muted, there is little sign of speculative froth going on in the precious metals bounce.
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Stocks That Miss Expectations Are Being Hammered By The Most On Record
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Finally, you have to laugh really that stocks are surging back towards record highs on a day when consumer sentime...
slopechart_PLUG.jpg
High volume bullish breakout
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2021-09-21_13-55-52.jpg (1280×851)
1
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This was the second largest sell-program in history with TICK crashing to -2067 (record low as -2069 on 5/11/21)...
sentiment
Smart & Dumb indicators show little bull refreshing sentiment squalls but also a downward trend in Dumb money bull...
naaim
NAAIM and others (e.g. AAII) take short-term negative sentiment bursts to refresh the bull.
2021-08-25_9-35-42.jpg (637×603)
What is 'odd' about this pre-J-Hole euphoric move in stocks is that investors remain full of "fear"...
3
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Record Margin Debt
1
Perth Mint Gold.png
Perth Mint Gold Sales
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US Mint Silver Sales
gold.png
US Mint Gold Sales.
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179 Trading Days Without a 5% Pullback
1
slopechart_LPI.jpg
This might be one that was just missed. (Unless you went long in Dec 20).
1
bfm6628.jpg (1004×613)
Finally, we note that the CBOE equity options put-call ratio is at its lowest level since 2001... is that complace...
slopechart_CAR.jpg
CAR could be running out of gas. GS and Blackrock believe this to be the case and have dumped it.
2