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no more wheaties?
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
Watch out for your CORN hole
Baltic Dry Index, commodities & inflationNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Commodity/Inflation bulls avert your eyes... or better yet, don't.
Time to stare at the long-term Uranium price | Notes From the Ra...
If you like a looooong-term base that has turned up then you like the Uranium price.
Soybeans take out resistance amid positive seasonal averages (into next summer).
tsx Venture index, TSX-V
Speculative 'resources' and inflation traders should be aware that da 'V' is still on the 510 Express (gap fill)....
copper price (futures)
Copper going to or sub $3/lb. in 2023 IMO. Downtrend still intact despite seasonal bounce.
natural gas futures price
NatGas is falling apart, seasonal negative and "the last inflated man standing" (Energy) is in trouble.
XLE, energy sector (oil and gas)
Energy sector froggies in a pot that will oh so slowly come to a boil (disclosure: short Energy).
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
While inflation expectations fade DBC bounces. I am short DBC and want to see the divergence resolve downward.
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the...
Copper/Gold ratio still plenty bearish for broad markets.
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From t...
Last ditch support for the most speculative 'inflation trade' stuff. Brutally bearish weekly chart.
Commodity tracker dunks below the SMA 200 – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
There goes CRB (commodities) tracker DBC, cracking the SMA 200 today.
Gold down channel
DBC short position covered – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
That's good enough for me. Short position on DBC covered just above the SMA 200.
Commodities… perfect – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Short DBC, and it is starting to pay off. Looks like a date w/ the daily SMA 200.
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes...
Gold continues to pivot vs. more inflation sensitive & cyclical items across the markets.
Copper/Gold ratio failure continues – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Disaster in the making...
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Dovish Fed probably does not want to see stocks break down. The others in this chart? Screw 'em. But they may flip...
srongest start.jpg (538×409)
Stack Genesis. Sentiment: Bull
inflation expectations and commodities
Inflation expectations making a move to get back on message w/ CRB index.
Commodity sector (CRB) target in, now what? | Notes From the Rab...
CRB index finally to target at 270+.
While not as technically bullish as Pd, Platinum is constructive in a S/T uptrend channel and the SMA 200.
Sweet RSI and MACD on Palladium, which is above support.
Gold; a stellar picture | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold's risk vs. reward not yet activated, but it is stellar. Peer into the chart and let it tell its story (or rea...
Doctor Copper has not lost the patient, yet | Notes From the Rab...
Some charts bill themselves as the dreaded "most important chart in the world", but I think this one really is.
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals... well, you know. The inflated macro will pancake.
Copper/Gold ratio doing it again | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
If gold takes preeminence among the metals, it ain't gonna be inflationary.
Uranium is bull flagging after a long-term base breakout.
copx, copper miners
There go the copper miners, as expected, given the crack in USD and renewal of inflation trades.
dxy, us dollar
Uncle Buck cracking the SMA 50, more downside likely in Q1 2022, and more upside in commodities and the inflation...
2 year treasury yield
Can't really put enough words in this blurb to explain, but if you want to check the link associated w/ the chart...
Implications of rising long-term yields?
Precious Metals bounce; no sign of speculative froth | Notes Fro...
With silver bugs well muted, there is little sign of speculative froth going on in the precious metals bounce.
Copper/Gold ratio bumps positive again (big surprise). When the real move comes you'll want to be on its right sid...
Yield curve shows current Goldilocks flattener with 2022 to either stay that way (unlikely), morph to higher inflatio...
The Copper/Gold ratio is at an epic decision point | Notes From...
Monthly copper/gold ratio... big time macro decision point between the cyclical inflationary doctor and the old mo...
BDI continues flashing negative for inflation/inflation trades...
Approaching lower channel support
Dropping auto trend lines yields... a channel
Where is support on copper?
Still in the channel
Natty still strong. Signs of a cold winter in many places
Cold winter ahead (solar minimum)
Perfect entry for what looks like a very likely IH&S on Impact Silver (symbol ISVLF and IPT.V for Canadians).
Natural gas goes ape-shit
West Texas Crude Price, Deflated By The CPI, 1971-1980
Until inflation sensitive cyclical items top out vs. gold risk remains 'on'.
Copper: Pattern nerds vs. trend followers | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper: "Ruh Roh"...
2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
Possible convergence around 62. Currently a shade below 50. Possible indicator of ongoing material inflation.
Explosion in volume on RIG
So how is it that LL has nothing to do with LBR? Interesting lack of an r there.
lumber fut 5.17.jpg (1148×675)
Naturally peaking when EVERYONE was talking about it.
My mind has been changed on inflation. Feel free to enjoy the panic!
Llumber 4.23.jpg (1273×717)
cpi & ppi
Screwing the consumer over decades is one thing, but let manufacturing costs (PPI) get out of hand and it's a whol...
Copper still strong. Unfortunately, FCX doesn't look quite as good (cheap alternate)
lumber aug 2020.jpg (1224×761)
The price of lumber futures just hit a record $887.30, limit up on the session. That’s a 240% increase since the...
CL has been in a tight channel for near eight weeks. IV percentile is 1%. If you are familiar with the TTM Squeez...
Crude Oil - WTI Crossing the Gap The gap was officially closed on June 23 but the last two days (July 21 & 22)...
Copper has broken the down channel on the weekly chart, but needs to make a key higher high to signal macro reflation...
Copper bull pivot is at 2.90
GC rises to resistance from 2012 and 2013.
nasdaq commodities.jpg (1180×664)
Doctor Copper breaks upward from latest S/T bull flag, but trends are still DOWN.
Water, water, everywhere...
The price of rice.
The Long Finger of Doom
Follow the money as it sails for any port in a storm.
The last 2 days in USO. Amethyst and Emerald
Today's action in USO in one minute increments: The slyphlike orange rectangle represents, in theory, the headlin...
canada negative oil prices.jpg (977×586)
Sugar #11 Futures - The global benchmark for raw cane sugar. (No need to worry, Strawberry Blonde) This chart can...
Is Natural Gas Ready For An April Rally? – Technical Traders Ltd.
Two Leading Indicators for Crude Oil Point To Higher Prices –...
Chart showing price of oil - 27 March
Today was oil's biggest daily gain... ever.
Today was the worst day for a combined equity/bond portfolio... ever...