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slopechart_/NG.jpg
slopechart_/NG.jpg
Nutty Gas
Baby Bear
copper/gold ratio & 30 year treasury yield
copper/gold ratio & 30 year treasury yield
Gold has tanked and yet the Cu/Au ratio has not broken out. Not very pleasant top-down macro signaling here.
NFTRH
1
bitcoin (btcusd)
bitcoin (btcusd)
Be bullish or bearish on Bitcoin, but man, ignore that 'golden cross' media hype.
NFTRH
slopechart_SLV.jpg
slopechart_SLV.jpg
Baby Bear
Sentiment-Trader-Combo-Bear-Market-Probability (1).png (788×575)
Sentiment-Trader-Combo-Bear-Market-Probability (1).png (788×575)
Tim Knight
S&P median.jpg (728×503)
S&P median.jpg (728×503)
Tim Knight
basis point move impact on S&P_0.jpg (590×463)
basis point move impact on S&P_0.jpg (590×463)
Every 0.1% Increase In The Discount Rate Equates To a 4% Decline In Stocks
Tim Knight
bfmBFE0_0.jpg (1024×528)
bfmBFE0_0.jpg (1024×528)
Tim Knight
1
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Is next phase inflationary or deflationary? The inverted right side shoulder or lack thereof will tell.
NFTRH
1
Market-Cap-PS-Ratio.png (800×449)
Market-Cap-PS-Ratio.png (800×449)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
For posterity: Algorand selected to back up the Bitcoin roll out in El Salvador? Beating out Cardano for the ta...
sandunes
slopechart_$OXT.jpg
slopechart_$OXT.jpg
Orchid. Small position for a while now. Got in because it was moving similar to Tezos, and this one treated me...
sandunes
fredgraph.png (700×568)
fredgraph.png (700×568)
West Texas Crude Price, Deflated By The CPI, 1971-1980
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (859×620)
fredgraph.png (859×620)
Inflation-Adjusted Wilshire 5000 Stock Index, 1971-1980
Tim Knight
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_$AMP.jpg
slopechart_$AMP.jpg
AMP, one of the newer recruits to Coinbase. 109 days building a pennant. Problem with pennants is they can go eith...
sandunes
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
Follow up to last week's ANKR chart. High volume spinny top #2. Early in the day at the time of this post, so w...
sandunes
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bitcoin. 20/50/200 SMA. If you just went for a 20 day 200 day crossover as a buy and sell signal, you would hav...
sandunes
2
drawdowns 9.1.jpg (1258×641)
drawdowns 9.1.jpg (1258×641)
In short, good news is good but bad news is better, leading to a relentless meltup but while the market hasn't had...
Tim Knight
1
copper price (futures)
copper price (futures)
Doctor Copper taking his time prescribing the macro...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_GME.jpg
slopechart_GME.jpg
Sending to stacks for posterity. GME, star love child of the 2021 stockpocalypse, pulls a crypto move and flies...
sandunes
bfm4023.jpg (902×530)
bfm4023.jpg (902×530)
Tim Knight
double.png (839×277)
double.png (839×277)
Tim Knight
1
number of new all time highs_0.jpg (629×549)
number of new all time highs_0.jpg (629×549)
52nd all time high for 2021, which means that at this pace 2021 will be a year with a record number of records!
Tim Knight
2
lme copper
lme copper
LME copper inventories have spiked to trend and are no longer a bullish tail wind for the good Doctor. Quite the c...
NFTRH
copper price
copper price
Copper (daily futures) has not decided yet between inflationary reflation (resumed) or disinflation and eventual l...
NFTRH
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Valuation? ha ha ha... but it does not matter until it matters (chart from Advisor Perspectives).
NFTRH
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Beneath the headline indexes participation blows.
NFTRH
gold/spx ratio
gold/spx ratio
Until inflation sensitive cyclical items top out vs. gold risk remains 'on'.
NFTRH
sentiment
sentiment
Smart & Dumb indicators show little bull refreshing sentiment squalls but also a downward trend in Dumb money bull...
NFTRH
naaim
naaim
NAAIM and others (e.g. AAII) take short-term negative sentiment bursts to refresh the bull.
NFTRH
equity put/call ratio
equity put/call ratio
Market structurally over-bullish.
NFTRH
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
YouTube algo grabbed a video for me this morning before work. It was titled "How to Spot Manipulation" or somethin...
sandunes
bfm1D20.jpg (967×407)
bfm1D20.jpg (967×407)
it has now been 10 months since the S&P suffered a 5% drawdown or greater...
Tim Knight
2
2021-08-25_9-35-42.jpg (637×603)
2021-08-25_9-35-42.jpg (637×603)
What is 'odd' about this pre-J-Hole euphoric move in stocks is that investors remain full of "fear"...
Tim Knight
3
SP500-Adv-Decline-Volume-082321.png (900×396)
SP500-Adv-Decline-Volume-082321.png (900×396)
As noted, there is a large divergence between “price” and the“advance-decline volume,” with the “advance-de...
Tim Knight
slopechart_CSCO.jpg
slopechart_CSCO.jpg
Boring , but a core long term holding, not as clean as msft but similar in many ways especially fundamentally.
damicsjd
bfm46D3.jpg (973×581)
bfm46D3.jpg (973×581)
Most recently, in early 2020, credit sniffed out issues while stocks just ignored the fact that a global pandemic...
Tim Knight
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
Sunday Doge Walk Stymied by the $.36 fib. Made it above $.22 though. 50% retrace of the not so distant bear col...
sandunes
bfm7DDD.jpg (1009×574)
bfm7DDD.jpg (1009×574)
Tim Knight
E9OuTXDWQAMU_3P.png (643×395)
E9OuTXDWQAMU_3P.png (643×395)
Tim Knight
1
bfm230F_0.jpg (1009×581)
bfm230F_0.jpg (1009×581)
Tim Knight
bfm9326.jpg (1009×580)
bfm9326.jpg (1009×580)
Tim Knight
2
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
next test 1.15 set-up is nice
damicsjd
Copper: Pattern nerds vs. trend followers | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Copper: Pattern nerds vs. trend followers | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper: "Ruh Roh"...
NFTRH
2
2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
NFTRH
3
lrcx
lrcx
Semi equipment stocks like LRCX are trying to avoid the fate of Semi test (e.g. TER) and Semi materials (e.g. CCMP).
NFTRH
gdx/gold ratio
gdx/gold ratio
GDX/Gold ratio not buying the gold bounce.
NFTRH
xvg
xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
NFTRH
copper price
copper price
Doctor Copper is bending to the forces of liquidity contraction as the summer's thus far minor "liquidity alarm" c...
NFTRH
yield curve
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
NFTRH
BTCUSD.jpg
BTCUSD.jpg
BTCUSD trend analysis
Claws
recordmargindebt.jpg
recordmargindebt.jpg
Record Margin Debt
Claws
1
Perth Mint Gold.png
Perth Mint Gold.png
Perth Mint Gold Sales
Claws
gold.png
gold.png
US Mint Gold Sales.
Claws
Semi Equipment leadership is rolling over | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Semi Equipment leadership is rolling over | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Semi Equipment leadership rolling over. Not a positive for Semi or US stock market out ahead.
NFTRH
1
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
looking to add if .94 breaks , something to watch over weekend.
damicsjd
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
NFTRH
1
slopechart_USO.jpg
slopechart_USO.jpg
Possible convergence around 62. Currently a shade below 50. Possible indicator of ongoing material inflation.
sdhaff21
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
I bought some Doge on break at work. With Eth and Bitcoin on the move, I expected some kind of move in sympathy wi...
sandunes
E8HIW-LWUAIV11Z (3470×1803)
E8HIW-LWUAIV11Z (3470×1803)
What $1 invested in gold vs. bitcoin a dozen years ago is worth today
Tim Knight
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Per conversation with a fellow Sloper around here last week. Apologies, work schedule was heavy at the time. Bitco...
sandunes
august worst seasonals_0.jpg (694×499)
august worst seasonals_0.jpg (694×499)
Entering The Worst Seasonal Period Of The Year... Which Ends With Jackson Hole
Tim Knight
4
slopechart_CGC.jpg
slopechart_CGC.jpg
CGC could make it down to 12 if you feel sadistic enough to short it.
sdhaff21
slopechart_HEXO.jpg
slopechart_HEXO.jpg
Bummer. HEXO is no longer high to the 12th degree.
sdhaff21
slopechart_EA.jpg
slopechart_EA.jpg
The recent Name, Image, and Likeness decision involving College Athletics has had no major impact on EA Sports as...
sdhaff21
1
fredgraph.png (1000×720)
fredgraph.png (1000×720)
Inflation-Adjusted NASDAQ 100 Versus Real GDP, 1995-2021
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_KTOS.jpg
slopechart_KTOS.jpg
I'm not sure why this one is getting star treatment. I know the USN hired them to do RDTE on hypersonic kill vehi...
sdhaff21
Valuations-Table-072221.png (564×376)
Valuations-Table-072221.png (564×376)
Stock valuations exceed levels rarely witnessed in history.
Tim Knight
4
slopechart_PLXP.jpg
slopechart_PLXP.jpg
A Potential Pharma Home Run. They've expanded their ability to distribute products.
sdhaff21
slopechart_GME.jpg
slopechart_GME.jpg
Light a fuse and there will be a small cloud of spammy candles. Remodeled the wedge. Pennant. Played it l...
sandunes
1
tyx
tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
NFTRH
1
2021-07-19.png (1280×571)
2021-07-19.png (1280×571)
Tim Knight
slopechart_VNQ.jpg
slopechart_VNQ.jpg
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/the-new-real-estate-normal/ar-AAMir6k Maybe VNQ breaks up when the tri...
sdhaff21
slopechart_JNJ.jpg
slopechart_JNJ.jpg
A solid perennial riding inflation up.
sdhaff21
slopechart_FTNT.jpg
slopechart_FTNT.jpg
FTNT is on the way up. I think it's top dawg in the Cyber Security industry.
sdhaff21
slopechart_AGR.jpg
slopechart_AGR.jpg
Possible good news for AGR if you are running short of stocks you shouldn't short.
sdhaff21
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
NFTRH
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
NFTRH
1
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
NFTRH
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
NFTRH
rsp spy ratio
rsp spy ratio
Bad breadth!
NFTRH
fredgraph.png (700×718)
fredgraph.png (700×718)
Purchasing Power Of The Dollar Since Camp David, August 1971
Tim Knight
1
Buffett-Inidcator-Market-Cap-GDP-062521 (2).png (1067×686)
Buffett-Inidcator-Market-Cap-GDP-062521 (2).png (1067×686)
Tim Knight
1
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Throwing this into social trade for posterity: Earlier in the week I almost threw up a comment about Eth looking s...
sandunes
2
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
Sometimes I leave the channels after they are 'broken'. Doggy stumblin' on the top edge. I guess you could p...
sandunes
fredgraph.png (900×720)
fredgraph.png (900×720)
Corporate Equity Value At Market As % Of Nominal GDP, 1951-2020
Tim Knight
2021-07-07_12-22-40.jpg (1280×767)
2021-07-07_12-22-40.jpg (1280×767)
Here we see the collusion between Powell, Yellen, and Biden and what happened with the markets ever since.
Tim Knight
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
fredgraph.png (1168×720)
Number Of Worker Hours to buy the NASDAQ 100, 1987-2021
Tim Knight
2
slopechart_$OEX.jpg
slopechart_$OEX.jpg
S@P looks like it will be boring for a bit. Post-lockdown explosion is out of gas.
sdhaff21
slopechart_XHB.jpg
slopechart_XHB.jpg
Nope, no housing bubble this time. A run on existing homes maybe, but commodity prices are making new constructio...
sdhaff21
eur/usd
eur/usd
EUR/USD looking disgusting. Daily chart breaking down from a small bear flag that failed to climb above the SMA 200.
NFTRH
slopechart_RIG.jpg
slopechart_RIG.jpg
Explosion in volume on RIG
Baby Bear
1
unnamed (19).png (500×333)
unnamed (19).png (500×333)
Not that it matters, but most overvalued stocks in the history of the world.
Tim Knight
2
bfmB64D.jpg (983×511)
bfmB64D.jpg (983×511)
Tim Knight
1
Bitcoin H&S now active, for the moment at least… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bitcoin H&S now active, for the moment at least… | Notes From...
Only when every last financial know-nothing celeb takes those stoopid laser eyes of their pics will I consider any...
NFTRH
4
bitcoin
bitcoin
Don't look now, Bitcoin kids... neckline pierced and theoretical target sub-zero.
NFTRH
6
2021-06-16_09-45-44.png (414×581)
2021-06-16_09-45-44.png (414×581)
Tim Knight
bfm6628.jpg (1004×613)
bfm6628.jpg (1004×613)
Finally, we note that the CBOE equity options put-call ratio is at its lowest level since 2001... is that complace...
Tim Knight
slopechart_GME.jpg
slopechart_GME.jpg
Gamestop linear regression (purple line) since breaking the ATH made back in 2007 (red Line). Applying similar tr...
sandunes