Browse Stacks: Trading


All Pages in Trading

A deflationary yield curve steepener
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
NFTRH
Snag_31e99f4.png (948×617)
Snag_31e99f4.png (948×617)
Bloomberg data reveals that IPOs have only managed to raise $2.4 billion in 2023, which is 43% lower than the amou...
Tim Knight
1
bfm4CCB.jpg (1053×585)
bfm4CCB.jpg (1053×585)
The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Tim Knight
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
NFTRH
US stock market leadership: semiconductor stocks, tech stocks, broad market stocks (SMH, QQQ, SPY)
US stock market leadership: semiconductor stocks, tech stocks, b...
Preferred US stock market leadership view is intact to the Q4-Q1 bear market rally theme.
NFTRH
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Daily chart of NQ is at clear support, needs to hold to remain normal to an ongoing rally situation.
NFTRH
slopechart_CORN.jpg
slopechart_CORN.jpg
Watch out for your CORN hole
Baby Bear
Emerging markets ETF (EEM) and US dollar (UUP, USD)
Emerging markets ETF (EEM) and US dollar (UUP, USD)
If you ever want to short USD, just buy EEM. Inverse EM is USD.
NFTRH
S&P 500 (SPX) weekly chart
S&P 500 (SPX) weekly chart
SPY inverted H&S test happening and it's for all the marbles... bear market rally test of the highs or the next le...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
Copper top
Baby Bear
slopechart_HYG.jpg
slopechart_HYG.jpg
Junk bonds, support turned into resistance
Baby Bear
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
Tim Knight
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
Tim Knight
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
Tim Knight
2023-02-17_09-58-14.jpg (569×369)
2023-02-17_09-58-14.jpg (569×369)
Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
Tim Knight
2023-02-15_09-34-32.jpg (1280×890)
2023-02-15_09-34-32.jpg (1280×890)
US equity markets have been - in one veteran trader's words - "an utter shitshow of instant trends and trend-reversal...
Tim Knight
1
unnamed (7)_671.png (700×467)
unnamed (7)_671.png (700×467)
The percentage of assets (sum of equity, bond & money market assets) in money market funds is about ~17%. Goldman'...
Tim Knight
3
unnamed (6)_735.png (581×299)
unnamed (6)_735.png (581×299)
The gap between base rates and earnings yields has closed - no more TINA.
Tim Knight
unnamed_893.png (1225×743)
unnamed_893.png (1225×743)
The gap between SPX and the 10 year (inverted) stays very wide.
Tim Knight
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
Tim Knight
slopechart_$DXY.jpg
slopechart_$DXY.jpg
Dollar back at the 61.8% Fib
Baby Bear
Baltic Dry Index, commodities & inflationNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Baltic Dry Index, commodities & inflationNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Commodity/Inflation bulls avert your eyes... or better yet, don't.
NFTRH
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
NFTRH
2
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
So we have a booming jobs report... and the bond market's inflation signaling is not buying it.
NFTRH
unnamed (7)_655.png (1280×865)
unnamed (7)_655.png (1280×865)
NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Tim Knight
Time to stare at the long-term Uranium price | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Time to stare at the long-term Uranium price | Notes From the Ra...
If you like a looooong-term base that has turned up then you like the Uranium price.
NFTRH
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._NgnHyr_l.png
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._NgnHyr_l.png
Planet Fitness
Petrchio
slopechart_EMX.jpg
slopechart_EMX.jpg
round bottom on EMX
Baby Bear
1
slopechart_XLK.jpg
slopechart_XLK.jpg
XLK channel
Baby Bear
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._o0u4sz_l.png
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._o0u4sz_l.png
COT for NG
Petrchio
hui gold bugs index, monthly chart
hui gold bugs index, monthly chart
HUI is locked and loaded for 500 in next 1-2 years.
NFTRH
1
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._YhSJ0k_l.png
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._YhSJ0k_l.png
Number nine, number nine, number nine
Petrchio
2 year US Treasury bond yield
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
NFTRH
The gold price as adjusted by major currencies
The gold price as adjusted by major currencies
Corrections to the nominal gold price will come, but gold's ratios to major global currencies imply a real bull cycle.
NFTRH
2023-01-17_11-53-06.jpg (945×583)
2023-01-17_11-53-06.jpg (945×583)
"Most Shorted" stocks continued their huge squeeze higher, now up 20% from the post-payrolls dip...
Tim Knight
slopechart_$DXY.jpg
slopechart_$DXY.jpg
Amazing Fibs on the Dollar. Do we get a bounce from here?
Baby Bear
vgwc86a5pgba1.png (1109×582)
vgwc86a5pgba1.png (1109×582)
Best of Cramer 2022
Tim Knight
hv4zpf7qogba1.png (1279×657)
hv4zpf7qogba1.png (1279×657)
Worst of Cramer 2022
Tim Knight
2
2 year Treasury bond yield
2 year Treasury bond yield
When the 2yr Treasury yield breaks down we're gonna be in for some excitement, probably bullish initially and then...
NFTRH
soybean futures
soybean futures
Soybeans take out resistance amid positive seasonal averages (into next summer).
NFTRH
tsx Venture index, TSX-V
tsx Venture index, TSX-V
Speculative 'resources' and inflation traders should be aware that da 'V' is still on the 510 Express (gap fill)....
NFTRH
xop/xle ratio of energy sector internals
xop/xle ratio of energy sector internals
If you believe in this internal indicator (XOP/XLE ratio) and you're an Energy bull, 'ruh roh!' might be the appropri...
NFTRH
hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
Gold stock leadership to broad stocks now 4 months along...
NFTRH
1
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
Petrchio
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
Copper stocks may move. This one is flagging
Petrchio
slopechart_CANE.jpg
slopechart_CANE.jpg
Petrchio
1
S&P 500 index, us stock market (SPX)
S&P 500 index, us stock market (SPX)
To antagonize my favorite bearish website... (post link explains more about this imagined bull pattern).
NFTRH
1
image (68)_0.png (1280×750)
image (68)_0.png (1280×750)
The Nasdaq is on track for its worst December since 2002..
Tim Knight
Ugly Tesla stock chart gap fill coming sooner or laterNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Ugly Tesla stock chart gap fill coming sooner or laterNotes From...
Anyone for Tesla to 4? That's the implied target of a disgusting H&S. But for now, think about the gap at 81.
NFTRH
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
NFTRH
mr7hso3y8n6a1.jpg (640×661)
mr7hso3y8n6a1.jpg (640×661)
Tim Knight
4
FkRh-upX0AAqw1j (1911×896)
FkRh-upX0AAqw1j (1911×896)
Tim Knight
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Trend for stocks (incl. dividends) vs. L/T T bonds (incl. div) still intact. Expecting this to change in Q1/H1, 2023.
NFTRH
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
NFTRH
1
m2 money supply
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
NFTRH
1
us dollar index (DXY), usd
us dollar index (DXY), usd
Uncle Buck eyeballs the 99 level and a 62% Fib retrace.
NFTRH
copper price (futures)
copper price (futures)
Copper going to or sub $3/lb. in 2023 IMO. Downtrend still intact despite seasonal bounce.
NFTRH
1
natural gas futures price
natural gas futures price
NatGas is falling apart, seasonal negative and "the last inflated man standing" (Energy) is in trouble.
NFTRH
slopechart_XLV.jpg
slopechart_XLV.jpg
Frothy
Baby Bear
HrEet1Q.png (1155×655)
HrEet1Q.png (1155×655)
Tim Knight
l6pl02qyhc1a1.jpg (468×379)
l6pl02qyhc1a1.jpg (468×379)
Tim Knight
XLE, energy sector (oil and gas)
XLE, energy sector (oil and gas)
Energy sector froggies in a pot that will oh so slowly come to a boil (disclosure: short Energy).
NFTRH
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
If the 'real' 10yr yield turns down a tail wind for gold ensues.
NFTRH
zus04eq7gp0a1.jpg (1125×667)
zus04eq7gp0a1.jpg (1125×667)
Tim Knight
2
gold price in various global currencies
gold price in various global currencies
Gold priced in global currencies, fyi...
NFTRH
1
bull base bear case ms 2023.jpg (898×584)
bull base bear case ms 2023.jpg (898×584)
Morgan Stanley prediction
Tim Knight
slopechart_$XTZ.jpg
slopechart_$XTZ.jpg
Some of the alt coin brigade are making new lows today. Bitcoin and Eth still hanging tough. Tezos by way of...
sandunes
pprzfdkxofx91.jpg (640×326)
pprzfdkxofx91.jpg (640×326)
Tim Knight
2022-10-31_11-26-12.jpg (958×658)
2022-10-31_11-26-12.jpg (958×658)
It was the best monthly return for the Dow since Jan 1976
Tim Knight
3
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
Tim Knight
1
2022-10-26_06-11-16.jpg (940×573)
2022-10-26_06-11-16.jpg (940×573)
Will The S&P 500 Hit 2,900 By The End Of The Fed's Tightening Cycle?
Tim Knight
2022-10-24_08-43-52.jpg (1280×768)
2022-10-24_08-43-52.jpg (1280×768)
Tim Knight
2
dvqyl900tmv91.jpg (640×540)
dvqyl900tmv91.jpg (640×540)
Tim Knight
4
slopechart_ERY.jpg
slopechart_ERY.jpg
ERY looking to fill open gap with good risk/reward off potential bottom here.
SavageChart
nuts.jpg
nuts.jpg
Where are the Squirrel's nuts? Can't remember where they were buried? Then dig holes in the garden to annoy the ga...
Claws
1
gold.jpg
gold.jpg
Potential double bottom on /GC (gold) here. I say potential because it isn't confirmed yet.
Claws
kdc.jpg
kdc.jpg
Message from KimDotCom. With a name beginning with Kim shouldn't he be CEO of North Korea or somewhere like that?
Claws
GBPEUR.jpg
GBPEUR.jpg
$GBPEUR IH&S on the 1d chart. If you look at the 1h chart you'll see bull flags in quick succession. This is likel...
Claws
1
VIX.jpg
VIX.jpg
$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Claws
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
NFTRH
slopechart_JNK.jpg
slopechart_JNK.jpg
Spitting image of HYG
Baby Bear
slopechart_HYG.jpg
slopechart_HYG.jpg
Long way down
Baby Bear
Gold in relation to broad US stocks (SPX), fyi… – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold in relation to broad US stocks (SPX), fyi… – Notes From...
Gold vs. stocks... not bad, eh?
NFTRH
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflation indicators go the other way – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
Gold vs. Inflation Expectations has popped above the SMA 50. If you're a gold bug and want to see a solid rally in...
NFTRH
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflation indicators go the other way – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
While inflation expectations fade DBC bounces. I am short DBC and want to see the divergence resolve downward.
NFTRH
Gold in Euros holds trend – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold in Euros holds trend – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold in Euros holding major daily uptrend at the SMA 200.
NFTRH
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the...
Copper/Gold ratio still plenty bearish for broad markets.
NFTRH
1
BTC/USD is not buying it – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
BTC/USD is not buying it – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bitcoin touts fail to rally the sheeple troops during market sentiment rally (at least so far).
NFTRH
unnamed (14)_41.png (495×632)
unnamed (14)_41.png (495×632)
The "norm S&P 500 PE" closed yesterday at 23.4x— exactly ten points above the median of the last 12 bear market...
Tim Knight
2
qtrly performance.jpg (1268×636)
qtrly performance.jpg (1268×636)
-3.8% quarterly loss - the third negative quarter in a row
Tim Knight
4
unnamed (4)_560.png (1280×759)
unnamed (4)_560.png (1280×759)
More trillions lost than in the GFC
Tim Knight
unnamed (9)_369.png (852×517)
unnamed (9)_369.png (852×517)
Bloomberg Global Bond Aggregate Index
Tim Knight
unnamed (11)_183.png (802×509)
unnamed (11)_183.png (802×509)
60:40 balanced portfolio. YoY rolling 12M price return.
Tim Knight
slopechart_/ES.jpg
slopechart_/ES.jpg
200 Week Average /ES during 1st leg of British Pound Crisis
Reverb
2022-09-26_12-06-00.jpg (833×561)
2022-09-26_12-06-00.jpg (833×561)
Tim Knight
‘Last inflated man standing’ needs a crutch – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
‘Last inflated man standing’ needs a crutch – Notes From t...
"Last inflated man standing" may be joining the bear fest.
NFTRH
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From t...
Last ditch support for the most speculative 'inflation trade' stuff. Brutally bearish weekly chart.
NFTRH
slopechart_$ATOM.jpg
slopechart_$ATOM.jpg
Of the crypto charts available on Slope, about a dozen and a half of them have cranked out new lows in the last co...
sandunes
nwhenqllk9o91.png (1313×518)
nwhenqllk9o91.png (1313×518)
Tim Knight
2022-09-13_12-52-33.jpg (976×532)
2022-09-13_12-52-33.jpg (976×532)
Tim Knight
2