Log In
|
Create Account
Chart
Drawn Objects
End-of-Day Report
Guide to Patterns
Modes
Pattern Video Library
Power Features
Reference Manual
Rotation Graphs
SlopeCharts
Video Guide to SlopeCharts
Equities
Biggest Companies
Correlations
Earnings
International Equities
Logo-Based Calendar
Real-Time SlopeAlerts
SlopeMATRIX
Super Summary
Today’s Movers
Woulda Shoulda
Markets
Commodities
CryptoStream Live
Economic Database
iPhone & Android
Macroeconomics
Market Meter
MetaSymbols
SlopeRules
The Matrix
Yield Curve Tool
Options
Backtest Strategies
Chain Quotes
Earnings Reactions
Options Analytics
Payoff Analyzer
Strategy Explorer
Trading Strategies
Virtual Trading
Volatility Calendar
Volatility Matrix
Read
Best Posts of All Time
Books by Tim Knight
Comments Search
Crypto News
Guide to Comments
Latest Posts
Profile of Your Host
Recommended Books
SlopeBot GPT AI
Watch Slope Videos
Social
Activity Feed
Browse Chart Database
Guide to SocialTrade
Hall of Fame
Members Directory
Published Watch Lists
Publishing/Subscribing
Search SlopeRules
SlopeTalk LIVE
Top Virtual Traders
Help
Best Pages For You
CryptoStream Guide
Guide to the Site
Premium Access
SlopeCharts Reference
SlopeMatrix Guide
SlopeRules System Builder
SlopeTiles Customization
Using SlopeTalk
Video Guide to Slope
Log In
Create Free Account
Memberships
Browse
Stacks
: Trading
Bonds
Commodity
Crypto
Currencies
Derivatives
ETFs
Futures
Metals
Options
Stocks
All Pages in Trading
Redefining 60/40 Portfolios | Crescat Capital
slopechart_BJK.jpg
another gambling ETF this one has LVS as its top holding
slopechart_BETZ.jpg
for your gambling needs looks like it was started during the lockdown
slopechart_WEAT.jpg
no more wheaties?
slopechart_RGLD.jpg
Gold: A Far Superior Alternative | Crescat Capital
slopechart_MDB.jpg
Price gap breech on MDB
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
breakout
slopechart_/SI.jpg
Silver
slopechart_BITO.jpg
bite-o-wedge
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
slopechart_SLV.jpg
Slope Future Trend on SLV
slopechart_GLD.jpg
Slope Future Trend on GLD
slopechart_EPOL.jpg
Kiss me, I'm Polish - a cool double since Oct
net long.jpg (450×325)
Equity futures positioning
2023-07-21_07-35-20.jpg (607×395)
Despite being within 6% of its highs, the S&P is still in historical bear-market territory.
2023-07-20_08-52-18.jpg (1065×518)
Shown below are is the performance of the SPX after each 3rd Friday expiration.
1
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
4
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
1
fed funds vs spx.jpg (1252×665)
The S&P 500 is now ~3% higher than where it was when the Fed started hiking rates in March 2022...
2
RGEG (1).png
American now and then
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
2
tp16.png (953×563)
M2 growth is printing negative for the first time in ~90 years
1
tp6.png (1280×726)
Speaking of NDX, the July seasonals are superb: up 15 of the last 15 for an average return of 4.64%:
tp3_0.png (960×672)
horizontal axis is 2022 returns and the vertical axis is 2023 returns
tp1_0.png (1065×696)
6-week trading range in S&P
SoybeanOil.jpg
Soybean Oil futures (ZL). Price has retraced to H&S neckline. What happens next week? To the moon or towards the e...
1
spx hit rate.jpg (864×657)
1
breadth very weak MS.jpg (1113×596)
breadth extremely negative.jpg (1103×589)
spx fair value.jpg (882×474)
"Fair value" of the S&P is 3,126
ERP_2.jpg (887×474)
PMI vs SPX.jpg (886×473)
1
download (47).png (715×432)
US Equity Sentiment Indicator is in stretched territory for the first time since April 2021
download (27)_3.png (775×594)
download (20)_7.png (775×594)
Quarter-End Pension Fund Portfolio Rebalancing: You are now funded. Big equity rebalance for sale:
download (18)_7.png (771×594)
Remember when US futures positioning was short -$510 Billion notional on 9/13/22. It is long $20 Billion today.
6JUN20.png
Guys, in the end... am I good at micro ? ^^
GS SI indicator.png (715×432)
S&P Positioning Is The "Most Extended Ever"
2
5JUN20.png
Now THAT'S some optimism right there!
2
4JUN20.png
Very interesting times to say the least
2
3JUN20.png
Beware of what this market is telling you right now!
4
1JUN20.png
French luxury stocks acting as a leading indicator for big tech?
1JUN19.png
End of an era precursor?
3JUN18.jpg
2JUN18.png
Both can't be right, can't see how it would be possible!
2
1JUN18.png
7
bfm8206_0.jpg (1023×609)
746cd2f1b6e9fbb2ab2aa448b0596331.png (1176×553)
1
bfm37CC_0.jpg (941×543)
Put/Call ratio across all stocks dropped to its lowest since March 2022...
bfm3343.jpg (941×563)
And the put/call ratio across the entire market dropped to a critical level (led by call volume soaring) which in...
bfm5A47_1.jpg (941×563)
May also saw a massive divergence between cap-weight and equal-weight portfolio performance as breadth narrowed dr...
4f43962f7b273a22a24c16729a2c9d4c.png (755×355)
45% of corporates will be in the black out window by mid June.
slopechart_TLT.jpg
hip to be square
bfm3D59.jpg (938×572)
Nasdaq was this high relative to small caps was the peak of the dotcom bubble...
median stock fwd pe.jpg (960×601)
The S&P 500 median stock forward P/E is 18.3x (in the top 15% of historical levels back to the mid-1990s;
image - 2023-05-18T125849.253.png (1269×669)
The equal-weighted S&P is unchanged YTD...
1
slopechart_HYG.jpg
mind the canary
market breadth.jpg (744×445)
It is unusual to have breadth this low.
1
5 stocks 23% of spx.jpg (643×465)
5 stocks = 23% of S&P 500
2023-05-08_12-56-40.jpg (500×500)
The short sale ban in 2008
slopechart_AAPL.jpg
Apple re-testing its prior weekly gap down range from late Summer 22
2023-04-22_14-02-54.jpg (565×432)
The U.S. dollar’s share of official global reserve currencies has gone from about 73 per cent in 2001 to around...
3
Hart 1.png (1280×880)
2
https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aef6618d...
1
slopechart_XLP.jpg
XLP pulling back from trendline resistance
1
idokxoqh2osa1.png (680×415)
Sprott gold and silver bullion fund, CEF
Although the volatility will surely come, the ridiculous discount to NAV that the Sprott Gold & Silver bullion fun...
slopechart_UUP.jpg
a buck for a rainbow
bfm9FDE_0.jpg (990×660)
And tech is now trading almost as rich as it has ever traded to the overall market...
bfm7343.jpg (990×660)
P/E ratio back to pre-Covid HIGHS
1
22dde88c3fbc251022513b9265324da6.png (1340×876)
The gap between SPY and on balance volumes has widened even more...
hn4wgf2i0ppa1.jpg (1542×955)
A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
Snag_31e99f4.png (948×617)
Bloomberg data reveals that IPOs have only managed to raise $2.4 billion in 2023, which is 43% lower than the amou...
1
bfm4CCB.jpg (1053×585)
The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
US stock market leadership: semiconductor stocks, tech stocks, b...
Preferred US stock market leadership view is intact to the Q4-Q1 bear market rally theme.
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Daily chart of NQ is at clear support, needs to hold to remain normal to an ongoing rally situation.
slopechart_CORN.jpg
Watch out for your CORN hole
Emerging markets ETF (EEM) and US dollar (UUP, USD)
If you ever want to short USD, just buy EEM. Inverse EM is USD.
S&P 500 (SPX) weekly chart
SPY inverted H&S test happening and it's for all the marbles... bear market rally test of the highs or the next le...
1
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
Copper top
slopechart_HYG.jpg
Junk bonds, support turned into resistance
death zone.jpg (1160×537)
ex 1 - liquidity oxygen.jpg (1070×481)
2023-02-17_08-05-32_1.jpg (978×579)
Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
2023-02-17_09-58-14.jpg (569×369)
Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
2023-02-15_09-34-32.jpg (1280×890)
US equity markets have been - in one veteran trader's words - "an utter shitshow of instant trends and trend-reversal...
1
unnamed (7)_671.png (700×467)
The percentage of assets (sum of equity, bond & money market assets) in money market funds is about ~17%. Goldman'...
3
unnamed (6)_735.png (581×299)
The gap between base rates and earnings yields has closed - no more TINA.
unnamed_893.png (1225×743)
The gap between SPX and the 10 year (inverted) stays very wide.
2023-02-14_06-44-49.jpg (805×647)
slopechart_$DXY.jpg
Dollar back at the 61.8% Fib
Baltic Dry Index, commodities & inflationNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Commodity/Inflation bulls avert your eyes... or better yet, don't.
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
2
Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
So we have a booming jobs report... and the bond market's inflation signaling is not buying it.
unnamed (7)_655.png (1280×865)
NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Time to stare at the long-term Uranium price | Notes From the Ra...
If you like a looooong-term base that has turned up then you like the Uranium price.
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._NgnHyr_l.png
Planet Fitness