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slopechart_/NG.jpg
Nutty Gas
copper/gold ratio & 30 year treasury yield
Gold has tanked and yet the Cu/Au ratio has not broken out. Not very pleasant top-down macro signaling here.
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bitcoin (btcusd)
Be bullish or bearish on Bitcoin, but man, ignore that 'golden cross' media hype.
slopechart_SLV.jpg
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Every 0.1% Increase In The Discount Rate Equates To a 4% Decline In Stocks
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The Inflation/Deflation debate wears on… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Is next phase inflationary or deflationary? The inverted right side shoulder or lack thereof will tell.
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Market-Cap-PS-Ratio.png (800×449)
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slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
For posterity:
Algorand selected to back up the Bitcoin roll out in El Salvador? Beating out Cardano for the ta...
slopechart_$OXT.jpg
Orchid.
Small position for a while now. Got in because it was moving similar to Tezos, and this one treated me...
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West Texas Crude Price, Deflated By The CPI, 1971-1980
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Inflation-Adjusted Wilshire 5000 Stock Index, 1971-1980
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
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slopechart_$AMP.jpg
AMP, one of the newer recruits to Coinbase. 109 days building a pennant. Problem with pennants is they can go eith...
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
Follow up to last week's ANKR chart.
High volume spinny top #2. Early in the day at the time of this post, so w...
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Bitcoin. 20/50/200 SMA.
If you just went for a 20 day 200 day crossover as a buy and sell signal, you would hav...
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In short, good news is good but bad news is better, leading to a relentless meltup but while the market hasn't had...
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copper price (futures)
Doctor Copper taking his time prescribing the macro...
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slopechart_GME.jpg
Sending to stacks for posterity.
GME, star love child of the 2021 stockpocalypse, pulls a crypto move and flies...
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52nd all time high for 2021, which means that at this pace 2021 will be a year with a record number of records!
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lme copper
LME copper inventories have spiked to trend and are no longer a bullish tail wind for the good Doctor. Quite the c...
copper price
Copper (daily futures) has not decided yet between inflationary reflation (resumed) or disinflation and eventual l...
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Valuation? ha ha ha... but it does not matter until it matters (chart from Advisor Perspectives).
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Beneath the headline indexes participation blows.
gold/spx ratio
Until inflation sensitive cyclical items top out vs. gold risk remains 'on'.
sentiment
Smart & Dumb indicators show little bull refreshing sentiment squalls but also a downward trend in Dumb money bull...
naaim
NAAIM and others (e.g. AAII) take short-term negative sentiment bursts to refresh the bull.
equity put/call ratio
Market structurally over-bullish.
slopechart_$ANKR.jpg
YouTube algo grabbed a video for me this morning before work. It was titled "How to Spot Manipulation" or somethin...
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it has now been 10 months since the S&P suffered a 5% drawdown or greater...
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What is 'odd' about this pre-J-Hole euphoric move in stocks is that investors remain full of "fear"...
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SP500-Adv-Decline-Volume-082321.png (900×396)
As noted, there is a large divergence between “price” and the“advance-decline volume,” with the “advance-de...
slopechart_CSCO.jpg
Boring , but a core long term holding, not as clean as msft but similar in many ways especially fundamentally.
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Most recently, in early 2020, credit sniffed out issues while stocks just ignored the fact that a global pandemic...
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
Sunday Doge Walk
Stymied by the $.36 fib. Made it above $.22 though. 50% retrace of the not so distant bear col...
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slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
next test 1.15 set-up is nice
Copper: Pattern nerds vs. trend followers | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Doctor Copper: "Ruh Roh"...
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2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
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lrcx
Semi equipment stocks like LRCX are trying to avoid the fate of Semi test (e.g. TER) and Semi materials (e.g. CCMP).
gdx/gold ratio
GDX/Gold ratio not buying the gold bounce.
xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
copper price
Doctor Copper is bending to the forces of liquidity contraction as the summer's thus far minor "liquidity alarm" c...
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
BTCUSD.jpg
BTCUSD trend analysis
recordmargindebt.jpg
Record Margin Debt
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Perth Mint Gold.png
Perth Mint Gold Sales
gold.png
US Mint Gold Sales.
Semi Equipment leadership is rolling over | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Semi Equipment leadership rolling over. Not a positive for Semi or US stock market out ahead.
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slopechart_$ALGO.jpg
looking to add if .94 breaks , something to watch over weekend.
Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
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slopechart_USO.jpg
Possible convergence around 62. Currently a shade below 50. Possible indicator of ongoing material inflation.
slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
I bought some Doge on break at work. With Eth and Bitcoin on the move, I expected some kind of move in sympathy wi...
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What $1 invested in gold vs. bitcoin a dozen years ago is worth today
slopechart_$BTC.jpg
Per conversation with a fellow Sloper around here last week. Apologies, work schedule was heavy at the time.
Bitco...
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Entering The Worst Seasonal Period Of The Year... Which Ends With Jackson Hole
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slopechart_CGC.jpg
CGC could make it down to 12 if you feel sadistic enough to short it.
slopechart_HEXO.jpg
Bummer. HEXO is no longer high to the 12th degree.
slopechart_EA.jpg
The recent Name, Image, and Likeness decision involving College Athletics has had no major impact on EA Sports as...
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Inflation-Adjusted NASDAQ 100 Versus Real GDP, 1995-2021
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slopechart_KTOS.jpg
I'm not sure why this one is getting star treatment. I know the USN hired them to do RDTE on hypersonic kill vehi...
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Stock valuations exceed levels rarely witnessed in history.
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slopechart_PLXP.jpg
A Potential Pharma Home Run. They've expanded their ability to distribute products.
slopechart_GME.jpg
Light a fuse and there will be a small cloud of spammy candles.
Remodeled the wedge.
Pennant.
Played it l...
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tyx
Was today the low in the 30yr yield's right side shoulder? If so, get ready for a change in this week's tone. If n...
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slopechart_VNQ.jpg
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/the-new-real-estate-normal/ar-AAMir6k
Maybe VNQ breaks up when the tri...
slopechart_JNJ.jpg
A solid perennial riding inflation up.
slopechart_FTNT.jpg
FTNT is on the way up. I think it's top dawg in the Cyber Security industry.
slopechart_AGR.jpg
Possible good news for AGR if you are running short of stocks you shouldn't short.
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
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Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
rsp spy ratio
Bad breadth!
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Purchasing Power Of The Dollar Since Camp David, August 1971
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slopechart_$ETH.jpg
Throwing this into social trade for posterity: Earlier in the week I almost threw up a comment about Eth looking s...
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slopechart_$DOGE.jpg
Sometimes I leave the channels after they are 'broken'.
Doggy stumblin' on the top edge.
I guess you could p...
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Corporate Equity Value At Market As % Of Nominal GDP, 1951-2020
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Here we see the collusion between Powell, Yellen, and Biden and what happened with the markets ever since.
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Number Of Worker Hours to buy the NASDAQ 100, 1987-2021
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slopechart_$OEX.jpg
S@P looks like it will be boring for a bit. Post-lockdown explosion is out of gas.
slopechart_XHB.jpg
Nope, no housing bubble this time. A run on existing homes maybe, but commodity prices are making new constructio...
eur/usd
EUR/USD looking disgusting. Daily chart breaking down from a small bear flag that failed to climb above the SMA 200.
slopechart_RIG.jpg
Explosion in volume on RIG
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Not that it matters, but most overvalued stocks in the history of the world.
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Bitcoin H&S now active, for the moment at least… | Notes From...
Only when every last financial know-nothing celeb takes those stoopid laser eyes of their pics will I consider any...
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bitcoin
Don't look now, Bitcoin kids... neckline pierced and theoretical target sub-zero.
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Finally, we note that the CBOE equity options put-call ratio is at its lowest level since 2001... is that complace...
slopechart_GME.jpg
Gamestop linear regression (purple line) since breaking the ATH made back in 2007 (red Line). Applying similar tr...