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A deflationary yield curve steepener
Deflation scare upcoming in 2023 IMO. Yield curve indicates the first impulse. Linked post explains.
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Bloomberg data reveals that IPOs have only managed to raise $2.4 billion in 2023, which is 43% lower than the amou...
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The pivot is gone and the terminal rate has soared and yet stocks refuse to face reality...
Gold/Copper ratio, monthly chart
Risk is on copper's side vs. gold. Risk is also against the inflated cyclical macro.
US stock market leadership: semiconductor stocks, tech stocks, b...
Preferred US stock market leadership view is intact to the Q4-Q1 bear market rally theme.
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)
Daily chart of NQ is at clear support, needs to hold to remain normal to an ongoing rally situation.
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Watch out for your CORN hole
Emerging markets ETF (EEM) and US dollar (UUP, USD)
If you ever want to short USD, just buy EEM. Inverse EM is USD.
S&P 500 (SPX) weekly chart
SPY inverted H&S test happening and it's for all the marbles... bear market rally test of the highs or the next le...
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Copper top
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Junk bonds, support turned into resistance
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Stocks continue to be bullishly decoupled from The Fed's bank reserves...
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Goldman notes investors' sentiment has turned much more bullish since the start of the year
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US equity markets have been - in one veteran trader's words - "an utter shitshow of instant trends and trend-reversal...
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The percentage of assets (sum of equity, bond & money market assets) in money market funds is about ~17%. Goldman'...
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The gap between base rates and earnings yields has closed - no more TINA.
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The gap between SPX and the 10 year (inverted) stays very wide.
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Dollar back at the 61.8% Fib
Baltic Dry Index, commodities & inflationNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Commodity/Inflation bulls avert your eyes... or better yet, don't.
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Golden Cross in gold stocks resolves EXACTLY as it should have. Same goes in reverse for Death Cross. Also, it's n...
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Inflation Expectations | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
So we have a booming jobs report... and the bond market's inflation signaling is not buying it.
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NASDAQ hasn't been this overbought since November 2021.
Time to stare at the long-term Uranium price | Notes From the Ra...
If you like a looooong-term base that has turned up then you like the Uranium price.
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Planet Fitness
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round bottom on EMX
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XLK channel
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COT for NG
hui gold bugs index, monthly chart
HUI is locked and loaded for 500 in next 1-2 years.
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Number nine, number nine, number nine
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
The gold price as adjusted by major currencies
Corrections to the nominal gold price will come, but gold's ratios to major global currencies imply a real bull cycle.
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"Most Shorted" stocks continued their huge squeeze higher, now up 20% from the post-payrolls dip...
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Amazing Fibs on the Dollar. Do we get a bounce from here?
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Best of Cramer 2022
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Worst of Cramer 2022
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2 year Treasury bond yield
When the 2yr Treasury yield breaks down we're gonna be in for some excitement, probably bullish initially and then...
soybean futures
Soybeans take out resistance amid positive seasonal averages (into next summer).
tsx Venture index, TSX-V
Speculative 'resources' and inflation traders should be aware that da 'V' is still on the 510 Express (gap fill)....
xop/xle ratio of energy sector internals
If you believe in this internal indicator (XOP/XLE ratio) and you're an Energy bull, 'ruh roh!' might be the appropri...
hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
Gold stock leadership to broad stocks now 4 months along...
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Copper stocks may move. This one is flagging
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S&P 500 index, us stock market (SPX)
To antagonize my favorite bearish website... (post link explains more about this imagined bull pattern).
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The Nasdaq is on track for its worst December since 2002..
Ugly Tesla stock chart gap fill coming sooner or laterNotes From...
Anyone for Tesla to 4? That's the implied target of a disgusting H&S. But for now, think about the gap at 81.
Gold vs. stock markets, commodities and inflation expectations
Gold is... Beuller?
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SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Trend for stocks (incl. dividends) vs. L/T T bonds (incl. div) still intact. Expecting this to change in Q1/H1, 2023.
u.s. treasury yield rises after Fed raises rates (UST2Y)
Forget the hawking Fed, when the 2yr yield rolls over and does its thing to the yield curve, you'd better be ready...
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m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
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us dollar index (DXY), usd
Uncle Buck eyeballs the 99 level and a 62% Fib retrace.
copper price (futures)
Copper going to or sub $3/lb. in 2023 IMO. Downtrend still intact despite seasonal bounce.
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natural gas futures price
NatGas is falling apart, seasonal negative and "the last inflated man standing" (Energy) is in trouble.
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Frothy
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XLE, energy sector (oil and gas)
Energy sector froggies in a pot that will oh so slowly come to a boil (disclosure: short Energy).
'real' 10 year Treasury yield
If the 'real' 10yr yield turns down a tail wind for gold ensues.
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gold price in various global currencies
Gold priced in global currencies, fyi...
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Morgan Stanley prediction
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Some of the alt coin brigade are making new lows today.
Bitcoin and Eth still hanging tough.
Tezos by way of...
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It was the best monthly return for the Dow since Jan 1976
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Will The S&P 500 Hit 2,900 By The End Of The Fed's Tightening Cycle?
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ERY looking to fill open gap with good risk/reward off potential bottom here.
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Where are the Squirrel's nuts? Can't remember where they were buried? Then dig holes in the garden to annoy the ga...
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Potential double bottom on /GC (gold) here. I say potential because it isn't confirmed yet.
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Message from KimDotCom. With a name beginning with Kim shouldn't he be CEO of North Korea or somewhere like that?
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$GBPEUR IH&S on the 1d chart. If you look at the 1h chart you'll see bull flags in quick succession. This is likel...
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$VIX chart from FAIRLEAD STRATEGIES
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-streets-fear-gauge-is-flashing-a-warnin...
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
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Spitting image of HYG
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Long way down
Gold in relation to broad US stocks (SPX), fyi… – Notes From...
Gold vs. stocks... not bad, eh?
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
Gold vs. Inflation Expectations has popped above the SMA 50. If you're a gold bug and want to see a solid rally in...
.75% rate hike probability rises with commodity bounce, inflatio...
While inflation expectations fade DBC bounces. I am short DBC and want to see the divergence resolve downward.
Gold in Euros holds trend – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold in Euros holding major daily uptrend at the SMA 200.
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the...
Copper/Gold ratio still plenty bearish for broad markets.
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BTC/USD is not buying it – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Bitcoin touts fail to rally the sheeple troops during market sentiment rally (at least so far).
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The "norm S&P 500 PE" closed yesterday at 23.4x— exactly ten points above the median of the last 12 bear market...
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-3.8% quarterly loss - the third negative quarter in a row
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More trillions lost than in the GFC
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Bloomberg Global Bond Aggregate Index
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60:40 balanced portfolio. YoY rolling 12M price return.
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200 Week Average /ES during 1st leg of British Pound Crisis
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‘Last inflated man standing’ needs a crutch – Notes From t...
"Last inflated man standing" may be joining the bear fest.
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From t...
Last ditch support for the most speculative 'inflation trade' stuff. Brutally bearish weekly chart.
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Of the crypto charts available on Slope, about a dozen and a half of them have cranked out new lows in the last co...
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