Browse Stacks: Trading: Stocks
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Finally, you have to laugh really that stocks are surging back towards record highs on a day when consumer sentime...
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Perfect entry for what looks like a very likely IH&S on Impact Silver (symbol ISVLF and IPT.V for Canadians).
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Trade/Invest ‘top down’; a guide | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Trade 'top-down'...
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A sea-change!
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gold/spx ratio
Macro still cyclical inflation but it's gonna morph... Stag, Deflation or Goldilocks. 3rd option least likely but...
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Every 0.1% Increase In The Discount Rate Equates To a 4% Decline In Stocks
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Inflation-Adjusted Wilshire 5000 Stock Index, 1971-1980
citi econonomic surprise index and s&p 500
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent if you fight the trends but still, this is gruesome...
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In short, good news is good but bad news is better, leading to a relentless meltup but while the market hasn't had...
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slopechart_GME.jpg
Sending to stacks for posterity.
GME, star love child of the 2021 stockpocalypse, pulls a crypto move and flies...
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52nd all time high for 2021, which means that at this pace 2021 will be a year with a record number of records!
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Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Valuation? ha ha ha... but it does not matter until it matters (chart from Advisor Perspectives).
Stock market risk not yet realized | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Beneath the headline indexes participation blows.
gold/spx ratio
Until inflation sensitive cyclical items top out vs. gold risk remains 'on'.
sentiment
Smart & Dumb indicators show little bull refreshing sentiment squalls but also a downward trend in Dumb money bull...
naaim
NAAIM and others (e.g. AAII) take short-term negative sentiment bursts to refresh the bull.
equity put/call ratio
Market structurally over-bullish.
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it has now been 10 months since the S&P suffered a 5% drawdown or greater...
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What is 'odd' about this pre-J-Hole euphoric move in stocks is that investors remain full of "fear"...
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As noted, there is a large divergence between “price” and the“advance-decline volume,” with the “advance-de...
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Boring , but a core long term holding, not as clean as msft but similar in many ways especially fundamentally.
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Most recently, in early 2020, credit sniffed out issues while stocks just ignored the fact that a global pandemic...
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2 Horsemen | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/Silver ratio (along w/ USD) is and has been a warning to commodity/inflation/reflation bulls. A metallic cred...
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lrcx
Semi equipment stocks like LRCX are trying to avoid the fate of Semi test (e.g. TER) and Semi materials (e.g. CCMP).
xvg
Median of 1700 stocks potentially rolling over as it diverges the headline indexes.
yield curve
No assurance that the yield curve steepener will remain inflationary. Nope, none at all.
Semi Equipment leadership is rolling over | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Semi Equipment leadership rolling over. Not a positive for Semi or US stock market out ahead.
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Here’s a chart for 98% of market participants to ignore | Note...
A chart for 98% of market participants to ignore (but hopefully not you...).
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Entering The Worst Seasonal Period Of The Year... Which Ends With Jackson Hole
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CGC could make it down to 12 if you feel sadistic enough to short it.
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Bummer. HEXO is no longer high to the 12th degree.
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The recent Name, Image, and Likeness decision involving College Athletics has had no major impact on EA Sports as...
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Inflation-Adjusted NASDAQ 100 Versus Real GDP, 1995-2021
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I'm not sure why this one is getting star treatment. I know the USN hired them to do RDTE on hypersonic kill vehi...
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Stock valuations exceed levels rarely witnessed in history.
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A Potential Pharma Home Run. They've expanded their ability to distribute products.
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Light a fuse and there will be a small cloud of spammy candles.
Remodeled the wedge.
Pennant.
Played it l...
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A solid perennial riding inflation up.
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FTNT is on the way up. I think it's top dawg in the Cyber Security industry.
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Possible good news for AGR if you are running short of stocks you shouldn't short.
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
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Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
Will the US stock market’s worsening breadth matter? | Notes F...
Bad breadth!
rsp spy ratio
Bad breadth!
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Corporate Equity Value At Market As % Of Nominal GDP, 1951-2020
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Here we see the collusion between Powell, Yellen, and Biden and what happened with the markets ever since.
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Number Of Worker Hours to buy the NASDAQ 100, 1987-2021
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S@P looks like it will be boring for a bit. Post-lockdown explosion is out of gas.
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Not that it matters, but most overvalued stocks in the history of the world.
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Finally, we note that the CBOE equity options put-call ratio is at its lowest level since 2001... is that complace...
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Gamestop linear regression (purple line) since breaking the ATH made back in 2007 (red Line). Applying similar tr...
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Bitcoin and S and P 500, Covid Crash to Covid Bubble?
If you are in the camp that believes crypto leads equitie...
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slopechart_LL.jpg
So how is it that LL has nothing to do with LBR? Interesting lack of an r there.
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Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
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Record margin debt
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Highest EVER
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TWTR could soon become a sick and dying bird....
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I see a cup, just needs the handle. Hits a ceiling at 5.0 every so often. It's floor has been sloping up since t...
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S&P Breadth Reaches Record High
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Non-Profitable Companies Implode Amid Flashbacks Of The Dot Com Crash
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S&P 500 has now seen its largest 12-month gain since 1936, exceeding that seen in 2010 after the GFC.
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Because that yield on the 10Y is decisively above the S&P's dividend yield, and where according to BofA “there i...
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TLT Buyers stepped in
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