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Trading
: Stocks
image-140 (1).jpg (1031×580)
Margin debt is ANOTHER reason this market is doomed
4
slopechart_CAR.jpg
bofa sell signal.jpg (1014×784)
slopechart_QQQ.jpg
QQQ Somebody might know what is next, but it ain't me. However, it has been my experience that when boring l...
slopechart_MSTR.jpg
MSTR I don't trade this thing but given its involvement with Bitcoin I am aware of what it is up to. A good...
slopechart_$TRAN.jpg
423.6, because who doesn't love whimsical random number generators with their morning coffee? This is the DOW Tran...
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1
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
S and P TRADE YOUR VISION they said. My vision is blurry, blighted by some cornea problem that can't be repa...
1
slopechart_QQQ.jpg
QQQ The left side of this amazing chart is a steady procession of mostly unremarkable candles going up. When th...
slopechart_QQQ.jpg
The (not very) Daily Fibber The Rus, el Q's, and the S and P are all at a neat fib-er-nacho extension if you pl...
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S&P all time high will make the history books: it will happen with the most negative market breadth at an ATH on record.
1
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Market breadth SUCKS
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slopechart_$RUT.jpg
Russell 2000 Outta morbid curiosity I went and took a look at this thing. New all time high. Right into a bi...
1
slopechart_QQQ.jpg
Have some Sandune's waves. Not shown, and never will be, because if you can't hallucinate this stuff on your own,...
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Impact of shutdowns on stocks
1
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No one gives a shit, but BUFFETT INDICATOR HAS NEVER BEEN HIGHER.............EVER!!!!!!!!
5
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September is comfortably in first place as the worst month of the year for the S&P 500 with an average return of -...
1
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SPX has moved in very close tandem with bond volatility this entire year. The most recent gap between SPX and MOVE...
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CTA positioning in US equities officially sits in the 100th percentile and is maxed out.
slopechart_$INDU.jpg
Fitty Tree? (Not currently depicted)
slopechart_OEF.jpg
Caressing the head of the thing can take some time before the desired outcome is achieved.
1
slopechart_TSLA.jpg
Linear scale - added to my long this morning
slopechart_$RUT.jpg
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slopechart_AXP.jpg
Close enough?
slopechart_COP.jpg
Chart by TK. Long Term. I drive an ICE. 10 years old 80K miles. Well maintained.
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slopechart_EMX.jpg
slopechart_MTA.jpg
slopechart_USAS.jpg
slopechart_RTX.jpg
War is coming
2
slopechart_NOC.jpg
War is coming
slopechart_SPY.jpg
The blowoff top could be significant. Everybody into the pool! And then the water turns to acid.
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SHORT SQUEEZE analog
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1
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vix futs in stress.jpg (1123×680)
1
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The gargantuan spread between earnings and price.
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slopechart_NVDA.jpg
Similar to last post. Nvidia. I know Tim doesn't like 'LOLs'. but ummm... LOLWTFBBQ???
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
I keep hearing wave this, wave that here and there. 1.618 4750 - which is about 50% off the latest leg of th...
slopechart_/ES.jpg
Follow on to my last effort. Looks like the robot army doesn't give a hoot about statistical whatsits nor the y...
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
S and P I thought it was interesting that robot view regression also matches up with a 365 day average, more or...
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
My last chart made me realize that I needed to add more crayon red lines. Just in case the one I had doesn't do an...
3
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
The nice thing about a chart is that they are somewhat static. You draw some lines and stuff and then watch. No...
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US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
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US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
1
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slopechart_ON.jpg
3
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RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
1
Beneath the Surface a Bloodbath is Unfolding | ZeroHedge
High yield credit breaking down quite badly. As I write this, it is signaling a pullback in the S&P 500 to at leas...
1
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US stocks vs Europe.jpg (722×532)
The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
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The Magnificent 7 stocks represent a record 33% index weight in the S&P 500.
1
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US Corporates are set to repurchase another $1 Trillion worth of shares in 2025.
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The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
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Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
3
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AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
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Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
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put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
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Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
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equity market cap by country.
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the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth
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after a very long period of decline, the number of publicly-listed US companies saw a hook higher in both 2019 and...
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one should NOT try to time the markets, as missing the ten BEST days is a serious drag on returns (gray line).
1
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To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
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2024-12-03_08-29-44.jpg (721×463)
2
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S&P 500 hit its 54th ATH of the year today
slopechart_BIZD.jpg
This was prominently featured in this article https://www.forbes.com/sites/brettowens/2024/12/01/scott-bessent-appoin...
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Household-Equity-Allocaitons-vs_0.jpg (1024×494)
Highest stock allocation EVER
slopechart_(((FR:WALCL-((FR:WTREGEN*1000)+(FR:RRPONTSYD*1000)))/100...
Liquidity data WANTS the market to go lower
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Momentum has seen the biggest underperformance vs SPX in almost 2 years, some 600 bps. Absolutely huge.
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All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
2024-11-29_07-52-24.jpg (711×466)
1
ssES 2024-11-28_9-16-59.jpg (1120×673)
I'm delighted.
1
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4
spy.JPG (1280×722)
1
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slopechart_$SPX/FR:CURRCIR.jpg
SPX vs currency in circulation
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Chart shows SPX net non dealer positioning.
slopechart_GME.jpg
GME - Chapter Nine thousand four hundred and twenty two Somebody over there on YouTube finally got around to dr...
1
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Corporate buybacks (WHICH SHOULD BE ILLEGAL) are doing their cyclic plunge. Good.
2
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September's second half is a playground for bears - down a whopping 5.7% on average since 2020, without a single S...
2
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The second half of September is notoriously the worst 2-week period of the year, with stocks historically averagin...
1
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VIX has strong seasonality from here until early October.
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Friday 9/13 marked the first day of blackout window for corporates. GS estimates blackout will run through 10/25....