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:
Trading
: Stocks
hui gold bugs index, monthly chart
HUI is locked and loaded for 500 in next 1-2 years.
1
s3.amazonaws.com/cdn2.soci..._YhSJ0k_l.png
Number nine, number nine, number nine
2 year US Treasury bond yield
Proof positive that market analogs will fuck you up when you least expect it as stock bear began well ahead of the...
2023-01-17_11-53-06.jpg (945×583)
"Most Shorted" stocks continued their huge squeeze higher, now up 20% from the post-payrolls dip...
vgwc86a5pgba1.png (1109×582)
Best of Cramer 2022
hv4zpf7qogba1.png (1279×657)
Worst of Cramer 2022
2
tsx Venture index, TSX-V
Speculative 'resources' and inflation traders should be aware that da 'V' is still on the 510 Express (gap fill)....
xop/xle ratio of energy sector internals
If you believe in this internal indicator (XOP/XLE ratio) and you're an Energy bull, 'ruh roh!' might be the appropri...
hui gold bugs index ratio to s&p 500 (HUI/SPX ratio)
Gold stock leadership to broad stocks now 4 months along...
1
slopechart_MRNA.jpg
slopechart_SCCO.jpg
Copper stocks may move. This one is flagging
S&P 500 index, us stock market (SPX)
To antagonize my favorite bearish website... (post link explains more about this imagined bull pattern).
1
image (68)_0.png (1280×750)
The Nasdaq is on track for its worst December since 2002..
Ugly Tesla stock chart gap fill coming sooner or laterNotes From...
Anyone for Tesla to 4? That's the implied target of a disgusting H&S. But for now, think about the gap at 81.
mr7hso3y8n6a1.jpg (640×661)
4
FkRh-upX0AAqw1j (1911×896)
SPY vs. SP… err, TLTNotes From the Rabbit Hole
Trend for stocks (incl. dividends) vs. L/T T bonds (incl. div) still intact. Expecting this to change in Q1/H1, 2023.
m2 money supply
If you are a stock market bull AND you believe there is a correlation between M2 and the SM, you may see the extre...
1
HrEet1Q.png (1155×655)
zus04eq7gp0a1.jpg (1125×667)
2
bull base bear case ms 2023.jpg (898×584)
Morgan Stanley prediction
pprzfdkxofx91.jpg (640×326)
2022-10-31_11-26-12.jpg (958×658)
It was the best monthly return for the Dow since Jan 1976
3
2022-10-31_07-09-55.jpg (954×574)
1
2022-10-26_06-11-16.jpg (940×573)
Will The S&P 500 Hit 2,900 By The End Of The Fed's Tightening Cycle?
2022-10-24_08-43-52.jpg (1280×768)
2
dvqyl900tmv91.jpg (640×540)
4
Au/ES, Au/HG & Au/Ag ratios (& USD) – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold/ES not looking good for stocks or the cyclical market view. Not good at all.
Gold in relation to broad US stocks (SPX), fyi… – Notes From...
Gold vs. stocks... not bad, eh?
Does the Copper/Gold ratio look good to you? – Notes From the...
Copper/Gold ratio still plenty bearish for broad markets.
1
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The "norm S&P 500 PE" closed yesterday at 23.4x— exactly ten points above the median of the last 12 bear market...
2
qtrly performance.jpg (1268×636)
-3.8% quarterly loss - the third negative quarter in a row
4
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More trillions lost than in the GFC
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60:40 balanced portfolio. YoY rolling 12M price return.
2022-09-26_12-06-00.jpg (833×561)
‘Last inflated man standing’ needs a crutch – Notes From t...
"Last inflated man standing" may be joining the bear fest.
Last ditch for the speculative inflation trades – Notes From t...
Last ditch support for the most speculative 'inflation trade' stuff. Brutally bearish weekly chart.
nwhenqllk9o91.png (1313×518)
2022-09-13_12-52-33.jpg (976×532)
2
2022-09-13_12-43-05.jpg (1280×746)
What a great, great, great, great day.
1
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Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
Stock market… on cue! – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
S/T 'sentiment' bounce only.
unnamed_572.png (611×367)
3rd largest short-covering rally in 10 years
1
2022-08-13_03-24-39.jpg (789×433)
US equities gs prime.jpg (1132×331)
Hedge Fund Bears Capitulate, Unleashing Biggest Net Buying And Short Covering At Goldman Prime Since May
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AAII bullish sentiment takes another leg higher. We are far from extreme bullishness, but depressed bulls are gone...
1
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1
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1
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Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential – Notes From t...
Treasury bonds continue to indicate an oncoming contrarian play...
2022-07-12_10-41-48.jpg (464×677)
For four of the last 5 months, the S&P 500 has fallen by an average 0.78% on CPI day...
2
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New Market leader?
2022-07-01_09-29-03.jpg (1076×705)
And for those who think "it can't get any worse"... equity market valuations have only dropped to the same level t...
Gold vs. cyclical and more inflation-sensitive markets – Notes...
Gold continues to pivot vs. more inflation sensitive & cyclical items across the markets.
2022-06-30_08-10-18.jpg (936×577)
Nasdaq Composite is down 30% to start the year - that is the worst start to a year ever, worse than the H1 2002 co...
2022-06-30_08-06-54.jpg (942×618)
S&P was down 21.01% in 1970 H1, we are currently down 21.22% H1... so, according to Bloomberg data, this would be...
When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes...
Even more disgusting than nominal XLV is the XLV/SPY ratio, because this ratio rises in bear market and if it gets...
When a relatively ‘defensive’ sector is doing this… – Notes...
Want to see a disgusting chart?
Ladies & Gentlemen, meet 3:12 Charlie – Notes From the Rabbit Hole
2:00 Charlie just a bit tardy today...
1
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FSgO2RMWYAI6iOV (440×462)
https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws...
US-margin-debt-2022-04-17-short_.png (523×431)
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FQOAxNGWUAIQcI3 (1275×928)
https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws...
Buffett indicator
FO4plUQWUAw1A8Z (2574×1452)
Worldwide stocks
rolling 2 year return.jpg (665×452)
1
slopechart_MNDY.jpg
MNDY is on borrowed time. Even after this melt up, it is right up against it's gap resistance. A couple of red da...
VIX pullback within new uptrend | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
VIX pullback w/in new uptrend... sentiment not the no-brainer it was a couple weeks ago. Not by VIX at least. Othe...
1
2008-Bear-Market-Analogy-031522.png (856×505)
2022-03-22_07-24-36.jpg (1280×701)
We are supposedly at the "call wall" right now.
1
MS 2018 price analog.jpg (745×489)
2022-03-18_09-37-03.jpg (965×624)
While US Stocks remain below pre-Putin-invasion levels, European stocks have erased all the losses now... (as if i...
2022-03-18_05-42-48_0.jpg (1035×697)
Don't forget today was a triple witch with $3.5 trillion in options expiring and dramatic amounts of gamma unclenchin...
2022-03-18_13-00-06.jpg (1280×753)
This is the US equity market's best week since the 2020 Election
1
The Pigs are not leading yields | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The Pigs are negatively diverging long-term yields and that is important...
Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead | Notes From t...
Dovish Fed probably does not want to see stocks break down. The others in this chart? Screw 'em. But they may flip...
CpaydWCWIAAUjMH (967×512)
2008-bear-1024x632.png (1024×632)
2008 bear market
2000-bear-market-1024x622.png (1024×622)
2000-2002 bear market
2022-03-02_11-40-28.png (1009×625)
Russian Stocks Devastated In London As Moscow Exchange Remains Closed
2
hui spx ratio
Say, do you suppose the miners have bottomed vs. the broads? Beuller?
SP500-Market-Meltup-2020-Present-021222_0.png (798×437)
2022-02-23_12-30-09.jpg (955×562)
S&P in correction (down over 10% from its highs) and Small Caps - Russell 2000 - is in a bear market once again (d...
2022-02-14_13-10-54.jpg (956×568)
1
2022-02-04_05-23-28.jpg (500×361)
The median stock in the S&P 500 Index is still roughly 20% more expensive than it was pre-pandemic and 70% more ex...
2
ark invest
Let me introduce you to the MSfN's once and still "star stock picker"...
2
zxvsye2n1oe81.jpg (1926×1310)
2
Copper wobbles, Cu/Au ratio has no signal (yet) | Notes From the...
Which way will Cu/Au break? Bulls, esp. cyclical reflation/inflation bulls, better hope the direction is up.
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to stonk analysts' P/E projections had a lot of work to do as of a week ago (1/20). Probably...
Surprise! | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
CESI negative divergence to SPX (technicals) finally closed...
Screenshot-2022-01-25-125724.png (1048×759)
ASD ASX.jpg
Australian Dollar ($XAD) divided by Australian Stocks ($AORD). Looking interesting.
Volatility at risk | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big time risk if you're buying vol/bear now. Regardless of whether a bear market is beginning (quite poss. given V...
2022-market-selloff-pandemic-stocks-1.png (1280×1280)