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Trading
: Stocks
slopechart_NVDA.jpg
Similar to last post. Nvidia. I know Tim doesn't like 'LOLs'. but ummm... LOLWTFBBQ???
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
I keep hearing wave this, wave that here and there. 1.618 4750 - which is about 50% off the latest leg of th...
slopechart_/ES.jpg
Follow on to my last effort. Looks like the robot army doesn't give a hoot about statistical whatsits nor the y...
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
S and P I thought it was interesting that robot view regression also matches up with a 365 day average, more or...
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
My last chart made me realize that I needed to add more crayon red lines. Just in case the one I had doesn't do an...
3
slopechart_$SPX.jpg
The nice thing about a chart is that they are somewhat static. You draw some lines and stuff and then watch. No...
US exceptionalism market cap.jpg (718×356)
US equity market now comprises an insane 75% of the MSCI World Index.
bfa12a8380ef9c3b84507ee643115de1.png (514×508)
602c6eeb4b78ca64f0b4f445a148911f.png (840×541)
US equities look expensive again while bond yields are near their long-term average.
1
2025-01-13_05-55-40.jpg (709×397)
slopechart_ON.jpg
3
Jan06_chart_v3.jpg (1280×720)
RECORD HIGH - - anyone buying stocks at these levels is batshit crazy.
1
Beneath the Surface a Bloodbath is Unfolding | ZeroHedge
High yield credit breaking down quite badly. As I write this, it is signaling a pullback in the S&P 500 to at leas...
1
mwilson spx_0.jpg (1280×628)
US stocks vs Europe.jpg (722×532)
The US has never been so overhyped, relative to the rest of the world, and which can be visualized in the followin...
0 - 2024-12-12T083253.458.jpg (1223×756)
The Magnificent 7 stocks represent a record 33% index weight in the S&P 500.
1
0 (100)_4.jpg (813×580)
US Corporates are set to repurchase another $1 Trillion worth of shares in 2025.
0 (99)_4.jpg (1183×690)
The basket of magnificent 7 stocks are up +50%, compared to the S&P up +28%, and the rest up +20%.
retail expectations DB.png (1280×723)
Consumers Have Never Felt So Optimistic About The Stock Market
3
axw spread.jpg (1126×631)
AXW spreads had soared to levels seen just before the global financial crisis.
cost to hedge.png (668×459)
Goldman's Brian Garrett writes, looking at the bank's S&P500 option pricing data going back to 1996, "in the world...
923f557dc9e6fc08cb65b0a5241d7b62.png (1340×872)
67db61a9700575b70a6243ac19ed9dbe.png (1503×718)
put call ratio is at the lowest levels in a long time
9c525323fa30eb533e5e3031a991969f.png (1087×718)
Massive reversal higher in the AAII bull-bear spread.
0 (63)_4.jpg (910×661)
equity market cap by country.
0 (61)_4.jpg (1028×575)
the biggest US companies have outperformed the index for good reason – they have generated much stronger profit growth
0 (58)_4.jpg (919×611)
after a very long period of decline, the number of publicly-listed US companies saw a hook higher in both 2019 and...
0 (56)_5.jpg (1018×614)
one should NOT try to time the markets, as missing the ten BEST days is a serious drag on returns (gray line).
1
euphoriameter 2.jpg (1280×899)
To put it simply, and probably no one wants to hear it, but this is not a good set up — investors and speculator...
2024-12-03_08-36-41.jpg (722×460)
2024-12-03_08-29-44.jpg (721×463)
2
2024-12-02_13-00-06.jpg (1280×843)
S&P 500 hit its 54th ATH of the year today
slopechart_BIZD.jpg
This was prominently featured in this article https://www.forbes.com/sites/brettowens/2024/12/01/scott-bessent-appoin...
image-223.jpg (1022×580)
image-208 (1).jpg (815×456)
Household-Equity-Allocaitons-vs_0.jpg (1024×494)
Highest stock allocation EVER
slopechart_(((FR:WALCL-((FR:WTREGEN*1000)+(FR:RRPONTSYD*1000)))/100...
Liquidity data WANTS the market to go lower
e3a3e661a118c7f4cc2340c1ad7ec82c.png (685×489)
Momentum has seen the biggest underperformance vs SPX in almost 2 years, some 600 bps. Absolutely huge.
b59b23e539ede2836263503534651a1c.png (1194×590)
All bigger moves lower in the AAII bull-bear spread have been followed by the SPX moving higher. Is this the next...
2024-11-29_07-52-24.jpg (711×466)
1
ssES 2024-11-28_9-16-59.jpg (1120×673)
I'm delighted.
1
38967667caa21141f62bdac33a6b21c8.png (681×488)
2024-11-26_11-49-09.jpg (938×680)
4
spy.JPG (1280×722)
1
image-8-1024x616.jpg (1024×616)
slopechart_$SPX/FR:CURRCIR.jpg
SPX vs currency in circulation
73e3e2654fe37516729df43fba7ab84f.png (1452×1118)
Chart shows SPX net non dealer positioning.
slopechart_GME.jpg
GME - Chapter Nine thousand four hundred and twenty two Somebody over there on YouTube finally got around to dr...
1
b1b90d75ffa4d5a9a262981cba4de733.png (537×356)
Corporate buybacks (WHICH SHOULD BE ILLEGAL) are doing their cyclic plunge. Good.
2
sept is ugly.jpg (1277×622)
September's second half is a playground for bears - down a whopping 5.7% on average since 2020, without a single S...
2
sept 2nd half worst 2 weeks.png (585×397)
The second half of September is notoriously the worst 2-week period of the year, with stocks historically averagin...
1
6b5452d028ebb45b96682a98e5b8a792.png (937×677)
VIX has strong seasonality from here until early October.
b3701e1722b58363bcbfcf8d4e431ebb.png (770×490)
Friday 9/13 marked the first day of blackout window for corporates. GS estimates blackout will run through 10/25....
218196cc65b401b6396d8edf7f1f69e7.png (1347×875)
GTNQNsbaYAID0aU (1170×617)
0 (57)_2.jpg (773×528)
USA CTA positioning is near the max exposure level and highest since 2021.
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BORING BORING BORING BORING
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bfm7D32_0.jpg (936×598)
SPY QQQ short interet.jpg (525×422)
SPY, QQQ Short Interest Drops To All-Time Low
2
slopechart_NKLA.jpg
Nikola Announced a 30 to one stock split, splitting the wrong way if you will, the way nobody likes. I have...
2
bfm33A9_0.jpg (936×573)
spx vs spw.jpg (1280×703)
bfmF0A.jpg (936×595)
Bad Breadth
3
slopechart_GME.jpg
Gamestop Year SMA 3 bucks above.
bfm124F.jpg (860×639)
2
image-38_1.png (564×410)
Of al the gains in stocks since 2011, a full 27% is from share buybacks
2
Presidential-Elections-Stock-Mar (1).jpg (831×513)
2
triple.jpg
$NVDA has entered the second quartile of the third stacked pitchfork. John Glenn made it to the top of the first s...
1
dgd.png
Top 10 market capitalization: Looking more and more like distribution and a topping process to me And 16T is s...
stat expensive spx.jpg (1026×528)
1
top 10% of stocks vs entire stock market_0.jpg (1041×587)
2
2024-02-09_10-36-18.jpg (944×722)
S&P 500 is up for 14 of the last 15 weeks for the first time since March 1972...
1
divergence since 1987.jpg (1274×731)
biggest divergence in breadth since the Black Monday crash in 1987, data from SentimenTrader shows.
2
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 191558.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-30 180934.png
This is our market today! ALL a volatility trade. As structured products supply so much vol it pins the index an...
ggg.png
Capture d'écran 2024-01-29 234311.png
S&P still not at ATH compared to bills and is now facing pot resistance
Capture d'écran 2024-01-22 033551.png
Some food for bears
mag 7 bubble bursts_0.jpg (1280×567)
magnificent seven 1.jpg (1027×740)
rubner17.png (699×411)
Nice illustration about how trading based on statistics can be a giant waste of time
3
rubner1_0.png (738×395)
rubner9_0.png (552×379)
2024 seasonality.png (909×573)
Slope of Hope Logo
a8ec1e835735bc0788ae9da6e60cc8f7.png (1309×856)
1
slopechart_MDB.jpg
Price gap breech on MDB
F1qBup0XsAEhnZA (1179×743)
net long.jpg (450×325)
Equity futures positioning
2023-07-21_07-35-20.jpg (607×395)
Despite being within 6% of its highs, the S&P is still in historical bear-market territory.
2023-07-20_08-52-18.jpg (1065×518)
Shown below are is the performance of the SPX after each 3rd Friday expiration.
1
bfm79DF.jpg (953×577)
Jesus........US equity markets have decoupled from the global liquidity proxy for the first time in over a decade...
4
bfm73B1.jpg (971×598)
US equity market continues to decouple higher from the declining trend in bank reserves at The Fed...
1
fed funds vs spx.jpg (1252×665)
The S&P 500 is now ~3% higher than where it was when the Fed started hiking rates in March 2022...
2
RGEG (1).png
American now and then
F0SfUShaIAA6xLP.jpg
Things could turn ugly very fast at this rate
2