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Post FOMC performance last 25 events
Once again ISM has diverged massively vs our underlying industrial model. This leaves us wondering if its really m...
Who says it's impossible to time the market, bullshit.
If $SPX closes this coming week below the 200sma, it will be the first time since Jun '16. But is that a short-ter...
Momentum Indicator Warns OF STOCK MARKET DANGER
VIX – 2018 Bradley Siderograph Turn Dates
Here's every Fed Chair since 1951, and how the market performed on their first day. Jerome Powell will be tested i...
$TNX leads $XLU follows, both obey lord and master king $$ $UUP
Dealer positioning in ES futures has historically been useful. Currently at a 6yr net short extreme
Gold futures contract has a downside DeMark exhaustion signal today. As posted on Hedge Fund Telemetry daily note today
A bitcoin frenzy like no other is gripping South Korea, bombed by the north the worry, another bomb heading your way.
Every bull market is unique, but the one in China right now looks downright strange....the stock market in China i...
@DOCSTRANGE, let's get crazy: These are the highest revenue generating companies reporting earnings this week.
Over the last 4 weeks there has been a resurgence in value strategies. Going into November, factor leadership was...
Stock and bond markets have been extraordinarily quiet since February 2016 lows. How quiet? A 60/40 portfolio cons...
The last time equities outperformed bonds for 7 straight years was 1928
$SPX up 7 weeks in a row. Up 8 weeks just once since 2003; gained 0.06%. Up 9 weeks at start of 2003-07 bull marke...
Central Banks Have Consistently Failed At Predicting Inflation and Growth, Why Believe Them Now?
Hedge funds and asset managers haven't been this net long US equity futures since 1Q15
For 1st time in 17 weeks, #hedgefunds net long $RUT futures, even as cash showing signs of fatigue after huge run. $IWM
As NAFTA talks turn ugly, lumber futures soar to 13-year high
Increasing credit losses as the FOMC raises rates, either the curve screams higher on the long end or we all fall...
Treasury-Bund Spread .jpg
Treasury-Bund Spread Says Dollar Has More Room to Fall
Market has laughed at the "typical seasonal weakness" story this year. Won't stop folks from talking up "typical s...
Another new record in noncommercial net shorts in $VIX futures: Expect zombie-like action until a geopolitical cat...
Other times since 2009 that newsletter bulls-bears spread was >45%. Last time was March ($SPX fell 3% during month)
Nasdaq 100 weekly divergence stacking up. MACD, money flow, volume. Rising wedge formation
Global M&A activity has slowed and likely peaked.
expectations all time high.jpg
A record percentage of people think the stock market will rise over the next 12 months
The stock market has become excessively calm and quiet, befitting a meaningful top.
Highest VOL post earnings report
$VIX downside exhaustion.jpg
$VIX downside exhaustion
LTC perspective of the move BIGHOUSE
The closing quote monkey business in VXO continues this week. Today should have been new closing low, but "somebod...
Something screwy going on lately in VXO quotes. Somebody painting the tape at the close?
9-13-9 Sequential sell signal during a strong uptrend was one of the most powerful sell signals there is
$IBB target short
End of Q out of bonds, systematic walk down-----KGS
If there was a mercy rule in financial markets, we may have already called it a year for crude oil.
Gold's volatility has fallen to the lowest level in half a decade. A big move is coming.
equity returns to expect over next 10 years.
Volatility Index: 7 out of top 20 lowest weekly closes have occurred in 2017. Most peaceful market in history. $VIX
Goldman Finds Most Modern Recessions Were Caused By The Fed
New record in non-commercial VIX shorts
CDX HY 5 year CDS spread rounding bottom / falling wedge breakout
The importance of moving averages
CBOE's Equity Put/Call Ratio 21MA is below its lower band, working without a net Q2 quad witch.
Here is every time in past decade when big-cap tech reached a new high and barely half of small-cap stocks were in...
The Housing Moment Investors Dread Is Here
Household debt delinquency low, trend flattening. Uptick in delinquency leads cycle end (from Calculated Risk)
Not enough new traders see or understand this. It's everything....Manage risk like a father of four teen age daughters.
VWAP corrective levels to watch
Hedge fund net longs in 10-year note futures rise to highest in nearly a decade....they were very correct last time.
A Warning That the Biggest Risk for Markets Could Be Too Much Harmony
Q1 2017 earnings to date 5/5/2017
FOMC jawboning at all time highs, yada yada yada
Bitcoin finally understands that Macron wins.
SPY short interest falls to the lowest level since 2007
76 US companies declared dividend cuts in March, increase of 41 firms fro...
Insider selling complete?
Retail bankruptcy YTD 2017 exceed 2016
XRT....time to crush some shorts.jpg
XRT...time to crush shorts
The 10-day Open Arms Index is a modification by Peter Eliades of...
The 10-day Open Arms Index is a modification by Peter Eliades of Richard Arms' original idea. Current reading says...
Iron Ore $SPX....caution.jpg
Iron Ore $SPX....caution
VIX relative to VXV...ratio north of 1 = people are more worried...
VIX relative to VXV...ratio north of 1 = people are more worried now vs later...tend to = market bottoms
Retail sales consecutive months of gain
Non store retail sales.jpg
Non Store Retailers
Consumers expecting to default, loans.jpg
Consumers expecting to default, loans
US GDP quarterly
Amend April seasonal forecast
Seven year GMO return forecat
April seasonal history