Users: Lotion Boy: The Slippery Slope Investment and Chuckle Forum: This Indicator Was Spot on In May

The Slippery Slope Investment and Chuckle Forum: This Indicator Wa...

The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a 

technical indicator

 available on StockCharts.com that can be used to forecast conservative entry and exit points for 

the stock market

.

The charts below are current through Friday's close.

Daily OEXA200R past 12 months

Monthly OEXA200R since April 2007

Interpretation:

The OEXA200R ended the week down 6 points at 53%, having previously dropped to the crucial 65% "Sell it all!" line on May 15.

Of the three secondary indicators:

MACD has flipped from positive to NEGATIVE (red line above black). Slow STO has flipped from positive to NEGATIVE (red line above black). RSI is below 50 and is NEGATIVE.

Commentary

Well, I hope you "went away in May" (May 15 to be precise, you were warned) because June has started off with a bang. The unemployment numbers are a disaster and we still have the end of Operation Twist and the Grexit to look forward to. The next stop is when OEXA200R hits 50% and the bottom really falls out. This might be one long, hot summer.

Comments

TashiTashi
Yup. I 'went away in May' but this is a 2010 2011 re-run so far. Let's see if lower levels hold. 6/3/12
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