Users: NFTRH: All Pages

bitcoin
bitcoin
Target finally - and gloriously - in for BitCON.
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1
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Continuum to… Continue? | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
30yr yield is breaking a fl...
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cpi & ppi
cpi & ppi
Screwing the consumer over decades is one thing, but let manufacturing costs (PPI) get out of hand and it's a whol...
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An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Here is the engine of a coming Stagflation... producer prices (PPI).
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30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
Recent pullback in yields was in the bag as Gross touted a bond short.
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An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
An Inflationary Slingshot | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Inflationary boom is cost-PUSHING Stagflation into the economy after Fed's reaction to COVID-19.
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spx hui usd
spx hui usd
Though most bugs don't see it that way, this is as it should be in the purest form of gold mining fundamentals. #o...
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aaii
aaii
Mom & Pop have jerked over-bullish. Not a to the minute timer, but a bearish condition in place for the market.
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2
Make Way for Uncle Buck | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Make Way for Uncle Buck | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Looking for Uncle buck to 96 on A-B-C upward correction.
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spx and us dollar
spx and us dollar
Inverse USD up? Stock market up. Inverse USD down? Oh yes, stock market down.
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30 year treasury yield
30 year treasury yield
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
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5 year inflation rate
5 year inflation rate
The inflation is going to fail. The question is when?
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yield curve
yield curve
If you're gonna get the markets right you gotta get the macro right. Here's one such macro map needed.
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us dollar
us dollar
Bringer of the pain #2.
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gold silver ratio
gold silver ratio
Bringer of the pain #1.
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gold/silver ratio
gold/silver ratio
With the Gold/Silver ratio counter-trend bouncing w/ USD the indication is for a temporary interruption of global...
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dxy
dxy
Finally, the bounce in Uncle Buck that would bring a temporary liquidity issue after a bubbly summer.
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spx
spx
Weekly SPX shows negative RSI divergence similar to 2018, before that correction.
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spx
spx
Despite pre-market rally, daily SPX in trouble below blue sky breakout point. That's not to mention all those gaps...
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dxy
dxy
Uncle Buck maintains its bounce pattern despite ECB tacit euro support earlier today.
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silver/gold ratio
silver/gold ratio
"It is 2003" says the Silver/Gold ratio. The first impulsive move is 2020 and the likely inflation to follow could...
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hui
hui
A Friday beer flag for the miners?
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copper gold ratio
copper gold ratio
Copper/Gold ratio bounced this week but it's only a backtest of the breakdown. It remains a warning on reflationar...
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silver price
silver price
Silver has held below long-term resistance after the recent spike above and reversal whipsaw.
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gold price
gold price
Even after today's bounce gold remains a candidate to test the SMA 50 in the low 1800s.
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growth vs. value
growth vs. value
While Grandma collects dividends on over indebted crap, growth has established a generational out performance to value.
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copper
copper
Copper has broken the down channel on the weekly chart, but needs to make a key higher high to signal macro reflation...
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copper price
copper price
Copper bull pivot is at 2.90
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baba
baba
Among my Asia exposure is BABA, now targeting 290. I know, right?
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ashr fxi
ashr fxi
We've been tracking the China A-shares out performance to large caps for a while now and it was a good bull signal.
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio wave 5 beginning as the macro reflation labors on.
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 hui spx ratio
hui spx ratio
Importantly, Huey is not just trending up nominally, but also in relation to the S&P 500.
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hui
hui
HUI appears to be on the next leg up.
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nasdaq 100
nasdaq 100
NDX finds support @ breakout line (who's surprised?) after pulling back from an Evening Star Doji-esque candle. Ro...
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silver price
silver price
Silver monthly, massive L/T Cup with a Handle spelled P.A.I.N since 2011 for silver bugs. If 21.23 is taken out a...
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silver price
silver price
Silver weekly shows that the March puke fest was a likely final shake out. But no new bull until 21.23 is crossed.
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silver price
silver price
Silver daily, support & resistance.
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natural gas
natural gas
As NatGas breaks to a new low today it's either a massive opportunity or a complete disaster. Generational lows.
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gold price
gold price
Gold puts on a happy face (no seriously, look at that cute pattern).
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gold spx ratio
gold spx ratio
Gold/SPX ratio has done excellent work taking out gold sector enthusiasm and building stock bull enthusiasm. The h...
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gold
gold
If gold's RSI divergence does not resolve in a drop (as opposed to consolidation) soon it is going to be fuel for...
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Gold Sector Correction is Maturing | NFTRH
Gold Sector Correction is Maturing | NFTRH
HUI seasonal bottoms in July, but I would put a +/- on that.
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dxy
dxy
USD bouncing but not bullish.
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hui
hui
HUI daily chart, w/ preferred support areas, esp. at the 38% Fib or 50% Fib.
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gold spx ratio
gold spx ratio
Get ready for the pain if this bounce in Gold/SPX is real. And it sure looks that way as it comes from a logical b...
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copper
copper
Copper takes out the SMA 200. Next up is resistance at 2.62. At some point the printing press becomes a real conce...
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio hits target. It's a stop sign or a gateway. Inflation or deflation. Munny heaven or failure.
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vix and spx
vix and spx
VIX not diverging inverse SPX. Such signals have preceded recent corrections incl. the 2020 market crash. No signal yet.
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copper
copper
Doctor Copper breaks upward from latest S/T bull flag, but trends are still DOWN.
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dxy, us dollar index
dxy, us dollar index
Bananas for all? USD index losing S/T support.
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gold silver ratio
gold silver ratio
Answer whether or not the Gold/Silver ratio is going to hold here or breakdown and you will have the answer to the...
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mag
mag
Silver prospect MAG likely headed to 18 as the sector launches.
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio still paints a supportive backdrop for the global macro reflation bounce (a bounce being all it is).
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silver price
silver price
Silver on track for near-term target at or just below 17.
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djia
djia
DJIA H&S activating, but it's only a baby w/ a minor downside target. But what about those gaps down below? Beuller?
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QQQ Bearishly Engulfed Just Below Gap | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
QQQ Bearishly Engulfed Just Below Gap | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Risk has been high as indicated by VIX below my ultimate downside target of 30.
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qqq
qqq
QQQ bearishly engulfed just below the gap.
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gold price
gold price
One chart with a story to tell, among many found at Yardeni (see associated post for the rest).
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio hangs tough. Not bad signaling for continued reflation trades.
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silver
silver
Silver continues to target the SMA 200.
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Baby bear flag now breaking down after daddy bear flag broke down in the Silver/Gold ratio. Not good for inflation bugs.
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silver price
silver price
Guess what! Silver is either going up or down. Associated post explains parameters.
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gold/silver ratio
gold/silver ratio
If Gold/Silver ratio is bottoming here (looks like it) get ready for renewed pressure on markets.
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spx
spx
Logical termination point here at the 62% Fib or just above at the SMA 200 (3000). But.... associated post has mor...
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver/Gold ratio bear flag giving birth to a bouncing baby bear flag is not gonna get 'er done for the inflation...
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silver price and cot
silver price and cot
Silver chart is not very good and CoT is only so. But look at that muted little guy (blue line). That's not bearish.
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There is an alternate stock market scenario | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
There is an alternate stock market scenario | Notes From the Rab...
Media is sure trying to BEAR us to death. Later, when they are busy FOMO'ing the naively innocent, the correction...
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30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr 5yr yield curve
30yr-5yr yield curve did tw...
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2
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Don’t try to (re) build Rome in a day | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Words are necessary here. Deflation. That is a word. Inflation. that is another words. Remember it because it's no...
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coronavirus
coronavirus
No words necessary...
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
China large caps vs. US large caps (SPY).
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Semi vs. SPY.
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Big Tech vs. SPY.
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Healthcare vs. SPY.
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Silver vs. SPY.
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vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
vs. SPY | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Gold vs. SPY.
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gdx spy ratio
gdx spy ratio
Gold miners vs. SPY.
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silver
silver
Silver monthly asks 'what if this drop below 14 was a head fake? A monthly candle above 14 could signal bull marke...
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silver
silver
Silver weekly shows resistance more clearly.
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silver
silver
Silver daily... right at absolutely key resistance of 14.
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silver gold ratio
silver gold ratio
Silver and gold are up nominally, but this will be the key to macro inflationary success.
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copper price
copper price
If recent spike below 2 does not hold, monthly copper chart targets 1.38 as no more support until there.
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copper
copper
Copper (daily) has broken below my 2.20 target...
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silver price
silver price
Silver (monthly) looks headed for 8s (if the chart changes w/ an in-month reversal I'll change).
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2
gold price futures
gold price futures
Gold (daily) looks headed for 1300s.
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2
gold
gold
Super simple monthly chart of Gold. It's going to either test major resistance or major support before long.
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A silly question on market sentiment… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
A silly question on market sentiment… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Market sentiment is not risk averse or over bearish. Market sentiment is absolutely 100% TERRIFIED.
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us dollar & gold/silver ratio
us dollar & gold/silver ratio
When they ride together they bring the liquidity destruction. That's happening now. The big question is when will...
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hui
hui
HUI's first impulse banged resistance as expected and as previously noted. Now decision time.
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Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Yikes, check out the Japan 10yr yield. Folks, global deflation is probably not the play after this acute scare.
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Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
SPX is finally on the message of the 2 year yield.
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Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
I don't know, it's just a scary chart is all. And it does not even include the Fed's latest plunge back to ZIRP.
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Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
SPX finally cracks as TIP/TLT had foretold well before effing COVID effing 19. This is the lever.
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tyx
tyx
Powell the effing dove was in the bag even before COVID-19, it's just that he's on steroids now.
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Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
Stories from the bond market as the Yield Curve Steepens | Notes...
Bonds are in full tank mode amid the deflationary rush by the herds... ha ha ha bring on the inflation.
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yield curve
yield curve
Yeah, just another steepening of the curve...
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yield curve
yield curve
Why I do believe we are witnessing a baby yield curve steepener...
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The day the world ended… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The day the world ended… | Notes From the Rabbit Hole
The world has ended I tell you!... so say the headlines.
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hui gold ratio
hui gold ratio
HUI/Gold ratio turns and burns off of 2016 re-test. Meaningful?
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hui
hui
Gold miners go on a gap filling expedition. Daily chart...
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