View: SPY 5.12.14daily.png

SPY 5.12.14daily.png

Spy daily. Slopers am I crazy? I participate on this site to learn and to share. So give me some feedback here please. I am not really a believer in time cycles. But a couple of years ago when bored on a Saturday afternoon I created this chart in seeing the obvious last couple of "cycles" of SPY. There seems to be about a 6.5 year cycle (as someone pointed out N=2 not impressive) indicated by the larger arcs. Then in playing around there seemed to be an about a 11 month cycle (vertical lines) that seemed to pick fairly well the intermediate highs. I then happened to draw line 3 that had multiple points of contact. (8? can that be chance?) So for some reason I drew a few parallel lines and noticed line 5 had like 9 points of contact at that time. At the time I personally never thought the SPY would ever reach the top line. But it did right at the vertical line and about at the same region of the larger "cycle" as the previous highs. Does this mean anything?? Or is this crazy "lineology"? Feedback: positiv

Comments

TombTomb
Feedback: positive or negative would be appreciated. Have a great week. Tom B 5/11/14
AllSeeing2015AllSeeing2015
Straight cycles, not Hurst cycle methodology per se but still very good work as often long cycles work in their most simplifyed format. Your work [ black arrows] shows the top for the middle of the year. That too is my forecast [ around full moon 2014]. However you have the bottom for approx November 2015. I am forecasting MArch 2015 but I am very flexible on that one :) 5/11/14
zstockzstock
the other side of this coin, is there are bull markets that don't top out for 10 year durations, which makes it 2019, but no further than that. 5/11/14
...